Morning Call: pick of the papers

The ten must-read comment pieces from this morning's papers.

1. Miliband needs Balls the pragmatist (Financial Times)

The shadow chancellor is a useful corrective to the Labour leader, says Janan Ganesh.

2. Why this year's freshers are just part of a failed experiment (Guardian)

Higher education is pumping out people with degrees into a jobs market that doesn't need them. It's blighting lives – and undermining the university system itself, writes Aditya Chakrabortty.

3. The west must act judiciously over Somalia if these horrors are to end (Independent)

Somalia’s problems have been worsened by bungled intervention from outside, writes Ian Birrell.

4. It was Iron Balls' best shot, but will Tory scare tactics win the day? (Guardian)

Cameron's economic policies are in disarray, but his team's supreme skill is in sticking the stiletto into Labour, says Polly Toynbee.

5. Merkel the visionary is misunderstood (Financial Times)

The chancellor sees that German voters’ interests do not conflict with keeping the euro alive, writes Gideon Rachman.

6. RBS's mad rise and catastrophic fall can't all be blamed on Fred Goodwin (City AM)

The rise of RBS is a very simple one about hype and the human tendency to manias, says Iain Martin.

7. Ed is haunted by the ghosts of politics past (Times)

The Labour leader’s heart lies with old socialism, but his head knows he must appeal to the centre, writes Rachel Sylvester.

8. Angela Merkel’s triumph is good news for Britain (Daily Telegraph)

David Cameron must seize his moment to reverse the drive towards closer union, says Mats Persson.

9. Why is Apple so shifty about how it makes the iPhone? (Guardian)

The paragon of modern tech risks losing its shine by dodging queries about Indonesia, and an orgy of unregulated tin mining, writes George Monbiot.

10. Now I know why I hate the nasties of UKIP (Times)

It’s because it starts from a belief that Britain is under siege from enemies, then goes looking for them, says Hugo Rifkind.

Ukip's Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttall. Photo: Getty
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Is the general election 2017 the end of Ukip?

Ukip led the way to Brexit, but now the party is on less than 10 per cent in the polls. 

Ukip could be finished. Ukip has only ever had two MPs, but it held an outside influence on politics: without it, we’d probably never have had the EU referendum. But Brexit has turned Ukip into a single-issue party without an issue. Ukip’s sole remaining MP, Douglas Carswell, left the party in March 2017, and told Sky News’ Adam Boulton that there was “no point” to the party anymore. 

Not everyone in Ukip has given up, though: Nigel Farage told Peston on Sunday that Ukip “will survive”, and current leader Paul Nuttall will be contesting a seat this year. But Ukip is standing in fewer constituencies than last time thanks to a shortage of both money and people. Who benefits if Ukip is finished? It’s likely to be the Tories. 

Is Ukip finished? 

What are Ukip's poll ratings?

Ukip’s poll ratings peaked in June 2016 at 16 per cent. Since the leave campaign’s success, that has steadily declined so that Ukip is going into the 2017 general election on 4 per cent, according to the latest polls. If the polls can be trusted, that’s a serious collapse.

Can Ukip get anymore MPs?

In the 2015 general election Ukip contested nearly every seat and got 13 per cent of the vote, making it the third biggest party (although is only returned one MP). Now Ukip is reportedly struggling to find candidates and could stand in as few as 100 seats. Ukip leader Paul Nuttall will stand in Boston and Skegness, but both ex-leader Nigel Farage and donor Arron Banks have ruled themselves out of running this time.

How many members does Ukip have?

Ukip’s membership declined from 45,994 at the 2015 general election to 39,000 in 2016. That’s a worrying sign for any political party, which relies on grassroots memberships to put in the campaigning legwork.

What does Ukip's decline mean for Labour and the Conservatives? 

The rise of Ukip took votes from both the Conservatives and Labour, with a nationalist message that appealed to disaffected voters from both right and left. But the decline of Ukip only seems to be helping the Conservatives. Stephen Bush has written about how in Wales voting Ukip seems to have been a gateway drug for traditional Labour voters who are now backing the mainstream right; so the voters Ukip took from the Conservatives are reverting to the Conservatives, and the ones they took from Labour are transferring to the Conservatives too.

Ukip might be finished as an electoral force, but its influence on the rest of British politics will be felt for many years yet. 

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