Morning Call: pick of the papers

The ten must-read comment pieces from this morning's papers.

1. Miliband has great strengths – but can he convince the voters in time? (Independent)

He may not look prime ministerial, but his background gives him more experience of power than Blair, Brown, Cameron, Osborne and Clegg had when they came to office, writes Steve Richards.

2. Germany: the Age of Merkel (Guardian)

Angela Merkel has not so much clung on to power in Germany, as she did in 2009, as hugely increased her grip on it, says a Guardian editorial.

3. The American dream has become a burden for most (Guardian)

As wages stagnate and costs rise, US workers recognise the guiding ideal of this nation for the delusional myth it is, writes Gary Younge.

4. What Labour must do to win power (Financial Times)

Policies must make sense for business, job creation and investment, says Peter Mandelson.

5. Into the Minotaur’s cave of diplomacy: how Russia became Syria’s deterrent (Independent)

The Syrians, who often memorise poetry, like Lavrov: they believe he writes it in his spare time, writes Robert Fisk.

6. At last, we see Ed in his true colours, waving the red flag (Daily Telegraph)

The Labour leader wants more socialism, an idea that has failed all over the world, writes Boris Johnson.

7. In my opinion politics needs columnists (Times)

It’s hard to divert the supertanker of voters’ views, but we scribblers can help to navigate the waters, writes Tim Montgomerie.

8. How Labour can win (Guardian)

Ed Miliband must bury his party's tribalism and forge links with union members and Lib Dems, says Chris Huhne.

9. Ed must clarify Labour’s muddled message (Times)

Supporters hope that this conference will provide the confidence they crave, writes Jenni Russell.

10. Congress is putting the dollar in peril (Financial Times)

Fresh evidence of US self-harm would hasten diversification to other currencies, writes Edward Luce.

The ten must-read comment pieces from this morning's papers.
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Theresa May gambles that the EU will blink first

In her Brexit speech, the Prime Minister raised the stakes by declaring that "no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain". 

It was at Lancaster House in 1988 that Margaret Thatcher delivered a speech heralding British membership of the single market. Twenty eight years later, at the same venue, Theresa May confirmed the UK’s retreat.

As had been clear ever since her Brexit speech in October, May recognises that her primary objective of controlling immigration is incompatible with continued membership. Inside the single market, she noted, the UK would still have to accept free movement and the rulings of the European Court of Justice (ECJ). “It would to all intents and purposes mean not leaving the EU at all,” May surmised.

The Prime Minister also confirmed, as anticipated, that the UK would no longer remain a full member of the Customs Union. “We want to get out into the wider world, to trade and do business all around the globe,” May declared.

But she also recognises that a substantial proportion of this will continue to be with Europe (the destination for half of current UK exports). Her ambition, she declared, was “a new, comprehensive, bold and ambitious Free Trade Agreement”. May added that she wanted either “a completely new customs agreement” or associate membership of the Customs Union.

Though the Prime Minister has long ruled out free movement and the acceptance of ECJ jurisdiction, she has not pledged to end budget contributions. But in her speech she diminished this potential concession, warning that the days when the UK provided “vast” amounts were over.

Having signalled what she wanted to take from the EU, what did May have to give? She struck a notably more conciliatory tone, emphasising that it was “overwhelmingly and compellingly in Britain’s national interest that the EU should succeed”. The day after Donald Trump gleefully predicted the institution’s demise, her words were in marked contrast to those of the president-elect.

In an age of Isis and Russian revanchism, May also emphasised the UK’s “unique intelligence capabilities” which would help to keep “people in Europe safe from terrorism”. She added: “At a time when there is growing concern about European security, Britain’s servicemen and women, based in European countries including Estonia, Poland and Romania, will continue to do their duty. We are leaving the European Union, but we are not leaving Europe.”

The EU’s defining political objective is to ensure that others do not follow the UK out of the club. The rise of nationalists such as Marine Le Pen, Alternative für Deutschland and the Dutch Partij voor de Vrijheid (Party for Freedom) has made Europe less, rather than more, amenable to British demands. In this hazardous climate, the UK cannot be seen to enjoy a cost-free Brexit.

May’s wager is that the price will not be excessive. She warned that a “punitive deal that punishes Britain” would be “an act of calamitous self-harm”. But as Greece can testify, economic self-interest does not always trump politics.

Unlike David Cameron, however, who merely stated that he “ruled nothing out” during his EU renegotiation, May signalled that she was prepared to walk away. “No deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain,” she declared. Such an outcome would prove economically calamitous for the UK, forcing it to accept punitively high tariffs. But in this face-off, May’s gamble is that Brussels will blink first.

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.