Morning Call: pick of the papers

The ten must-read comment pieces from this morning's papers.

1. The hidden truth of local cuts will soon be revealed (Guardian)

It is worse than under Margaret Thatcher, writes David Blunkett. As living standards fall and services are slashed, revolutionary fervour may return.

2. Until David Cameron learns to explain himself, voters will not trust him (Daily Telegraph)

Many natural Tories are losing faith in a party that appears to ignore their opinions, says Bruce Anderson.

3. Seismic events will shape the Middle East (Financial Times

The region offers no respite to international or local actors, writes David Gardner.

4. End this failed marriage of Church and State (Times) (£)

Even the Archbishop can see the benefits, writes Philip Collins. It’s Anglicans who have most to gain from disestablishment.

5. Welfare reform: history today (Guardian)

The newly released cabinet papers from the fourth year of the first Thatcher government are a prequel to the 2012 welfare reforms, says a Guardian editorial.

6. It's time for America to do the right thing (Daily Telegraph)

Economic stability appears to have been abandoned in favour of infighting and point-scoring over the "fiscal cliff", says a Telegraph editorial.

7. Why have the Tories rejected the spirit of 2012? (Independent)

The Conservatives’ new tactic is a betrayal of all that Cameron stood for when he became leader, writes Mary Ann Sieghart.

8. An apprenticeship will soon match all a degree has to offer (Daily Telegraph)

New routes are rapidly opening into valuable and highly paid professional careers, says Matthew Hancock.

9. Mr Clegg's contempt for democracy on EU (Daily Mail)

The deputy PM demonstrated how he remains as detached from the views of the electorate on Europe as ever, says a Daily Mail leader.

10. Why it's good to walk (Guardian

Strolling around the neighbourhood is an antidote to ignorance, and empowering too, says Lynsey Hanley.

Ukip's Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttall. Photo: Getty
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Is the general election 2017 the end of Ukip?

Ukip led the way to Brexit, but now the party is on less than 10 per cent in the polls. 

Ukip could be finished. Ukip has only ever had two MPs, but it held an outside influence on politics: without it, we’d probably never have had the EU referendum. But Brexit has turned Ukip into a single-issue party without an issue. Ukip’s sole remaining MP, Douglas Carswell, left the party in March 2017, and told Sky News’ Adam Boulton that there was “no point” to the party anymore. 

Not everyone in Ukip has given up, though: Nigel Farage told Peston on Sunday that Ukip “will survive”, and current leader Paul Nuttall will be contesting a seat this year. But Ukip is standing in fewer constituencies than last time thanks to a shortage of both money and people. Who benefits if Ukip is finished? It’s likely to be the Tories. 

Is Ukip finished? 

What are Ukip's poll ratings?

Ukip’s poll ratings peaked in June 2016 at 16 per cent. Since the leave campaign’s success, that has steadily declined so that Ukip is going into the 2017 general election on 4 per cent, according to the latest polls. If the polls can be trusted, that’s a serious collapse.

Can Ukip get anymore MPs?

In the 2015 general election Ukip contested nearly every seat and got 13 per cent of the vote, making it the third biggest party (although is only returned one MP). Now Ukip is reportedly struggling to find candidates and could stand in as few as 100 seats. Ukip leader Paul Nuttall will stand in Boston and Skegness, but both ex-leader Nigel Farage and donor Arron Banks have ruled themselves out of running this time.

How many members does Ukip have?

Ukip’s membership declined from 45,994 at the 2015 general election to 39,000 in 2016. That’s a worrying sign for any political party, which relies on grassroots memberships to put in the campaigning legwork.

What does Ukip's decline mean for Labour and the Conservatives? 

The rise of Ukip took votes from both the Conservatives and Labour, with a nationalist message that appealed to disaffected voters from both right and left. But the decline of Ukip only seems to be helping the Conservatives. Stephen Bush has written about how in Wales voting Ukip seems to have been a gateway drug for traditional Labour voters who are now backing the mainstream right; so the voters Ukip took from the Conservatives are reverting to the Conservatives, and the ones they took from Labour are transferring to the Conservatives too.

Ukip might be finished as an electoral force, but its influence on the rest of British politics will be felt for many years yet. 

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