Morning call: the pick of the papers

The ten must-read pieces from the morning papers.

1. Medieval, barbaric — a woman’s death to shame even the Pope (Sunday Times) (£)

India Knight on the tragic death of Savita Halappanavar.

2. Elections: if you can't be bothered to vote, the person most to blame is you (Observer)

Politicians and the media share some of the responsibility for low turnouts, but the public is guilty too, writes Andrew Rawnsley.

3. Ed Miliband is facing his Clause Four moment (Sunday Telegraph)

The Labour leader’s remarks are not a conversion to Euroscepticism, writes Matthew D'Ancona.

4. Need help? Call in the wedge wizard (Sunday Times) (£)

David Cameron has arrived at his Thatcher moment, says Martin Ivens.

5. Things must be bad when even Gove disagrees (Independent on Sunday)

Almost invisibly, collective ministerial responsibility has broken down, says John Rentoul.

6. And now, without the aid of a safety net, it's Dave on the EU high-wire! (Mail on Sunday)

Europe will dominate British politics this week, says James Forsyth.

7. Matrimonial tax breaks: paying people to marry is divorced from any reality (Observer)

MPs who want to reward marriage through tax are expressing their unreasonable horror of the many who don't conform, says Catherine Bennett.

8. We’re heading for economic dictatorship (Sunday Telegraph)

The whole of the West is falling into the economic black hole of permanent no-growth, says Janet Daley.

9. Dragging us into a futile war is a job for the political blowhards, General - not YOU (Mail on Sunday)

Afghanistan is not worth the life of one more British soldier, writes Peter Hitchens.

10. Back to basics for the BBC (Independent on Sunday)

We should focus on accountability, or, rather, the lack of it, says Janet Street-Porter.

Jeremy Corbyn, Labour leader. Getty
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Can Jeremy Corbyn win the 2017 general election?

Does the Labour leader have a chance of becoming prime minister?

 

After less than two years as Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn is leading the party into a snap general election. This isn’t the first vote of national significance since his election, however, since he was in office during the 2016 EU referendum.

It’s also not his first serious challenge: after the Brexit vote, his MPs voted “no confidence” in him and Owen Smith challenged him for the leadership. Corbyn saw off that threat to his position convincingly, so can he pull out another electoral triumph and become prime minister?

Can Jeremy Corbyn become prime minister? The polls

Since May 2015, the Conservative Party has consistently led in the polls. The latest polls gives Labour ratings in the mid-20s, while the Conservatives are on the mid-40s – numbers which, if borne out at the polls, would give Labour its worst result since 1935.

But should we believe the general election polls? Glen O’Hara, professor of modern and contemporary history at Oxford Brookes University, points out that the polls have been wrong before, and could be overstating Labour’s collapse. However, a 20-point gap is far outside the margin of error. A Corbyn win would be an unprecedented upset.

Can Jeremy Corbyn become prime minister? Electoral record

At the 2016 local elections, Labour did not gain any councils and lost 18 seats and 4% of the vote. James Schneider, the co-founder of Momentum who is now Corbyn’s head of strategic communications, said this showed Labour was on the right trajectory, but it’s a disappointment for an opposition to make no gains. And at the Copeland by-election this February, Labour lost the seat to the Tories – the first government gain in a by-election since 1982.

Can  Jeremy Corbyn become prime minister? The verdict

Jeremy Corbyn’s path to power would be one of the greatest surprises in British politics. But unlikely doesn’t mean impossible. It would take some extraordinary events, but it could happen. Check out the latest odds to see how the markets rate his chances.

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