Oiling the wheels

Martin Markovits and Sebastian Kennedy

Published 27 September 2007

Observations on Venezuela

President Hugo Chávez, who made diverting oil profits to the poor a hallmark of his administration, is faced with a series of corruption scandals that are threatening to undermine the state oil company Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA).

Earlier in September, PDVSA reported a 65 per cent loss in earnings over the previous year, prompting critics to declare the industry in crisis. They say that Venezuela, hugely dependent on oil sales, is producing less crude since Chávez expelled foreign oil companies from the country.

Government supporters, on the other hand, maintain that PDVSA is still recovering from the deeply damaging 2002 national strike organised by Chávez's opponents. Historically, the popularity of Venezuelan presidents has been determined by fluctuations in the oil prices. But it is the regularity of accusations of corruption and mismanagement that are chipping away at what would otherwise be a period of unrivalled prosperity for the country.

A few weeks ago, Venezuelan oil minister and PDVSA president Rafael Ramírez admitted that there were systematic financial irregularities dating back to 2005. One such irregularity is the ongoing scandal involving a Venezuelan-American who was caught smuggling a briefcase containing $800,000 through Argentine customs.

The businessman in question, Guido Antonini Wilson, had worked for PDVSA locating and contracting US drilling equipment for Venezuela, leading to accusations that he was attempting to launder kickbacks - an allegation his lawyer denies. Investigators have since submitted documents to the Venezuelan National Assembly amounting to what they called "a wheelbarrow of corruption charges" - 63 in total - against the state oil company.

Such accusations are not new for PDVSA, which operated with impunity throughout the 1970s and 1980s for the exclusive economic benefit of American and European multinational corporations operating there, and the Venezuelan political class. As economic disparities rocketed, resentment among Venezuela's poor majority reached a pitch that paved the way for the election of Chávez.

Chávez restructured the country's oil industry to invest profits in social programmes providing free education, health care, subsidised food and housing for the poor. Over his eight years in office, basic illiteracy has almost been eradicated, while poverty rates have declined (though the reliability of government statistics has been called into question).

This has been achieved by nationalising the abundant oil fields and massively increasing the taxes payable by multinational oil companies to operate there.

In August this year, Ramírez was fined over Ł4,000 for a controversial speech he made in the run-up to last December's presidential elections, in which he said that PDVSA is "revolutionary red", and that anybody who opposes the company's political alignment should quit their jobs and make way for those that support Chávez's "Bolivarian Revolution".

This statement was aimed at the dwindling minority of PDVSA workers who outwardly oppose the Chávez government. Most - over 20,000 of them, representing 30 per cent of the highly skilled workforce - were fired after the 2002 strike.

Accusations have continued to surface from inside PDVSA that those employees deemed to have a "politically unsuitable profile" are subject to discrimination and even outright dismissal.

One source who quit her position said that the political discrimination she was subjected to was "worse now than 30 years ago". She maintained that an "underhand war" is taking place between PDVSA executives and workers who express opposition to Venezuela's socialist government. Her aim now is to find work abroad, like many former PDVSA employees, whose cumulative knowledge and expertise represent a severe loss to the oil company.

Fortunately for President Chávez, the recent spike in international oil prices has provided a timely financial stop-gap for the Venezuelan economy, which is almost entirely dependent on crude exports.

With a barrel of oil selling at almost $80 on the international markets, the Chávez government can afford to paper over any cracks in the country's turbulent oil industry. But a significant fall in oil prices would reveal the depths of the difficulties afflicting PDVSA, and raise question about its ability to finance President Chávez's costly socialist revolution.

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18 comments from readers

joseary15
27 September 2007 at 23:48

Dear Sirs,

You sincerely need to get your facts strait. Oil was nationalized in 1975. Oil production went down and hasn't recuperated since an oil workers strike after which half (50% +) the personnel in the industry was fired. What he did was forcefully buy out companies that were developing heavy crude oil deposits under a certainly very favorable tax regime. There's not enough space to correct all the inaccuracies or mendacious data.

Yours truly,

Jose A Ramirez

bayofpigs
28 September 2007 at 20:31

This is the first time I heard that Wilson had worked for PDVSA. He lives in a million-dollar home in Miami, has apparently made many short one or two-day trips to Argentina in the last year, many times using a US passport. Sources connect him to Venoco, an oil company that works with PDVSA, and Venoco owner Carlos Kaufmann has affirmed this, stating that Wilson helped the company "to acquire machinery in the United States." He is also associated with the arms business according to Argentine Newspapers.

bayofpigs
28 September 2007 at 20:45

In para. 4, I don't like the way that an alleged admission by Rafael Ramírez (context please) has been linked to the Wilson affair, implying that the affair is a PdVSA "financial irregularity". Shabby journalism.

Nerys
28 September 2007 at 23:06

Oh no, not more bs reporting on Venezuela from the New Statesman. Where on earth do they get these muppets from?? Is it the Arts Correspondent again? Or some new interns??

1) President Hugo Chávez, who made diverting oil profits to the poor a hallmark of his administration, is faced with a series of corruption scandals that are threatening to undermine the state oil company Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA).

Er no, this aint the big issue in Venezuela right now. Doh, check the Constitutional reform issue.

2) Earlier in September, PDVSA reported a 65 per cent loss in earnings over the previous year, prompting critics to declare the industry in crisis. They say that Venezuela, hugely dependent on oil sales, is producing less crude since Chávez expelled foreign oil companies from the country.

Er, perhaps there is some kinda logic here NS boys. Less oil = higher prices DOH! Check the recent OPEC statement

3) Government supporters, on the other hand, maintain that PDVSA is still recovering from the deeply damaging 2002 national strike organised by Chávez's opponents.

Yep

4) Historically, the popularity of Venezuelan presidents has been determined by fluctuations in the oil prices. But it is the regularity of accusations of corruption and mismanagement that are chipping away at what would otherwise be a period of unrivalled prosperity for the country.

As evidenced in what poll surveys? This is just bs journalism. Where are the facts of this,

4) A few weeks ago, Venezuelan oil minister and PDVSA president Rafael Ramírez admitted that there were systematic financial irregularities dating back to 2005. One such irregularity is the ongoing scandal involving a Venezuelan-American who was caught smuggling a briefcase containing $800,000 through Argentine customs…The businessman in question, Guido Antonini Wilson,

Who was never employed by PDVSA … and the connection is … er, this one was not a connection made by Ramrez

5. Accusations have continued to surface from inside PDVSA that those employees deemed to have a "politically unsuitable profile" are subject to discrimination and even outright dismissal.

Yep and that is what happens when opponents paralyze an industry causing $17bn of oil export revenue losses. Hey, go check the guys at SIAC. They bought the whole IT dept of PDVSA for Ł1000. That is the bigger story here. But hey, this is NS after all, not exactly the forefront of hot journalism. Go Arts Correspondent Go!!

6. With a barrel of oil selling at almost $80 on the international markets, the Chávez government can afford to paper over any cracks in the country's turbulent oil industry.

Doh, the Venezuelan basket trades at $20 less than OPEC basket. Who the hell is writing this stuff, YES it is the Arts Correspondent.

7. But a significant fall in oil prices would reveal the depths of the difficulties afflicting PDVSA, and raise question about its ability to finance President Chávez's costly socialist revolution.

Er, no, Oil is budgeted at a conservative $29/b in 2007 and with international reserves of over $30bn + $19bn in offshore accounts (and a low foreign debt) the costly revolution would survive a dip.

Carl Jones
29 September 2007 at 00:08

Chaves is a CIA puppet....enough said.

Flyer
30 September 2007 at 15:03

Duncan and Millie's comment is a slur against the writer. Repeated insults such as the use of the word "muppet" and the overall smug, arrogant tone do not encourage a fair, balanced critique of the issues being raised - which deserve a mature level of discussion, not childish name-calling and sneering. This always happens in discussion forums on Venezuela - why does it always end up being reduced to this? If a reader is so convinced he or she is right, they should calmly present the facts, not seek to discredit the writer with unacceptable, aggressive language.

gnuneo
30 September 2007 at 15:28

this drop in oil was warned of over 2 years ago.

it is largely caused because chavez replaced many execs with cronies, who then failed to continue the *absolutely* essential investment in maintaining the oil fields - Venezuela has oil fields unlike the ME, and these require continuous maintenance, else production falls.

that maintenance was cut for apparently largely political reasons, and basic oil-engineering ignorance by these new political appointees, and now we are seeing the result of this mismanagement.

whilst i have great sympathy for chavez, certainly when compared to the US muppets he replaced, and his social policies are to be admired, his almost marxist grasping for total power is far less than endearing, and will, unless checked by more moderate elements in his govt and his regional neighbours, inevitably lead once again to a south american dictatorship, with the likely result that at some point the poor and disenfranchised will get pooped on yet again.

his admiration for castro is also misplaced, he would be far better served by looking to the most efficient part of the Cuban economy, which is decidedly not state socialism, but privately owned cooperative partnerships.

i wonder what he will do, when these newly literate and educated venezualans learn about the rapidly growing cooperative movement in argentina, and want to emulate it, thus ending his control over the economy?

let us hope by this point he has not fallen too far into hubris, the curse of most long-term rulers, and can see that democracy by the people is better than autocracy, even by well meaning marxist socialists.

Flyer
30 September 2007 at 16:46

Now let's address Duncan and Millie's points, one by one:

1. "Er no, this aint the big issue in Venezuela right now. Doh, check the Constitutional reform issue."

- This is an editorial decision. Just because Constitutional Reform is on the agenda, should no other topic be discussed? Many observers in Venezuela commented that Chavez had presented his proposal for constitutional reform much earlier than expected in order to distract unfavourable media attention from the Antonini Wilson case, and the regular negative front pages denouncing the continued revelations of deep corruption afflicting Pdvsa and other government institutions. Wake up people, there is as much corruption ad political discrimination in the Chavez administration as in any other previous Venezuelan government.

2. "Er, perhaps there is some kinda logic here NS boys. Less oil = higher prices DOH! Check the recent OPEC statement"

- Which OPEC statement? Please specify. If you are suggesting that Pdvsa is deliberately producing less oil to manipulate world oil prices then why are they lying about their production figures? Nobody, even OPEC, believes that Venezuela is producing 3.3mbd. It is more like 2 - 2.5 mbd. Why would they lie? Because they do not want to admit that Pdvsa is suffering from the issues raised in the article - i.e. deep corruption and political discrimination - to the extent that operations are being affected. If Pdvsa is perceived as incompetent on the world stage, so is Chavez and his entire administration. Yes, less oil does mean higher prices, but even sources within Pdvsa are saying that Venezuela cannot afford to hold back on a single barrel. The only thing that holds the Venezuelan economy together is oil. Thats the way it has always been, and probably always will be, without enormous investment in alternative industries.

3. "Yep"

- No need to comment here.

4. "As evidenced in what poll surveys? This is just bs journalism. Where are the facts of this,"

This is obvious and does not need a long explanation. High oil prices = more income for Venezuela = more prosperity = increased popularity of President.

No poll is going to reveal that president X is popular because voters say "oil prices are high". But clearly in the case of Venezuela, where the performance of the economy is hardwired to oil sales, a precondition for prosperity is high oil prices. When society prospers, people feel good and generally approve of whichever President is in power at the time. Of course there are other factors, corruption being a big one too.

If you want an example, look at Venezuela in the eighties when oil cost less than $10 per barrel and Venezuelans found that the living standards of the majority were reaching unacceptable levels (corruption being a compounding factor here). When Carlos Andres Perez raised fuel prices to compensate for reduced state income, Venezuelan truckers decided they had had enough, and went on strike. This soon turned into a popular and widespread uprising - the Caracazo - which was quelled with the use of extreme force and cost many lives - and, ultimately, Perez his Presidency. Would any of that have happened if oil cost $100 a barrel? I for one doubt it.

4. (that's Duncan and Millie's erroneous numbering, not mine) - "Who was never employed by PDVSA … and the connection is … er, this one was not a connection made by Ramrez."

- No, and the issue is clearly not that Ramirez is connecting the Antonini Wilson case with other financial irregularities. But the fact is that he openly admitted that such irregularities exist in Pdvsa's finances in the wake of the eruption of the Antonini Wilson scandal - it was certainly an unusual moment to make such an admission and did nothing to improve Pdvsa' image.

BayofPig's comment is correct that Wilson worked for Venoco, an oil company that works with PDVSA. But do not forget that Wilson arrived in Argentina on a privately hired jet, travelling with high-level executives from PDVSA and Enarsa (Argentina's state energy company). No explanation has yet been provided as to why he was travelling with them, and whilst the Enarsa officials who were on board have been sacked, Ramirez has refused to even offer an explanation, let alone mete out any sanctions against the pdvsa employees who were also on board.

5. "Yep and that is what happens when opponents paralyze an industry causing $17bn of oil export revenue losses."

- Yes, the oil strike was a despicable and unforgivable act of destabilisation. But the majority of those who took part were highly skilled technicians. As the article rightly points out, the loss of these employees' "cumulative knowledge and expertise represent a severe loss to the oil company." That is the big picture here - yes, maybe Chavez felt justified in tearing Pdvsa apart after the strike, but look at the consequences. The average years of professional experience of Pdvsa employees dropped from 9.5 (pre-strike) to just 3 - you can't do that and expect production to recover overnight. This has been compounded by the harassing of those anti-government Pdvsa employees who did not strike (and thus did not lose their jobs) but did later sign for the recall referendum. They have been identified and are being gradually hounded out of Pdvsa - at exactly the time when Pdvsa needs them to help get operations up to speed. There is no danger of another Pdvsa strike now, and the harassment of these individuals is not necessary.

6. "the Venezuelan basket trades at $20 less than OPEC basket."

- So what? Oil prices are high. Venezuelan oil is selling at a much higher price than ever before, that's the point.

7. "Oil is budgeted at a conservative $29/b in 2007 and with international reserves of over $30bn + $19bn in offshore accounts (and a low foreign debt) the costly revolution would survive a dip."

- These are interesting figures. Could you please source these?

Thank you for reading.

Flyer
30 September 2007 at 17:03

Jose A Ramirez: "Oil was nationalized in 1975."

Yes. And the nationalisation of the Orinoco Basin came into effect on 1st May 2007.

I don't quite get your point - give us a clue, please.

bayofpigs
30 September 2007 at 18:02

**No explanation has yet been provided as to why he was travelling with them**

Flyer

State oil giant PdVSA announced the resignation of Diego Uzcategui, whose son had invited a Venezuelan businessman carrying the suitcase of cash onto a flight to Buenos Aires chartered by Enarsa, Argentina's state energy company.

“Given that violations of our internal norms have been detected and in the spirit of facilitating the investigations, Mr. Diego Uzcategui has resigned,” PDVSA said in a statement on its Web site.

http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/world/20070817-0902-venez...

bayofpigs
30 September 2007 at 18:35

The Argentinian Justice has confirmed the names of the people aboard the aircraft that landed in Buenos Aires:

* Guido Alejandro Antonini Wilson. Mr. Wilson left for Montevideo 24 hours later. The FBI has located him in his residence in Miami, sources told Argentinian daily newspaper La Nación. To this date he has not been arrested.

* Claudio Uberti , director of the government agency which controls the freeway concessions (OCCOVI) in Argentina, a close contact of Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez. Juan Mussa, a Peronist leader who was present at the time has denounced that Mr. Uberti threatened the customs agents not to check Antonini's suitcase.

* Ezequiel Espinosa, president of ENARSA, Argentina's state Oil and Gas Company.

* Victoria Bereziuk, a young employee of ENARSA, secretary of Ezequiel Espinosa who has been romantically linked to President Nestor Kirchner.

* Daniel Uzcateguy Speech, son of vice president of PdVSA in Argentina. He supposedly invited Antonini Wilson to board the plane.

Where are the high ranking PdVSA people on board????? and how can Ramirez sack non-existent people.

Flyer
30 September 2007 at 20:32

Bayofpigs - I am interested to know, what is your interpretation of the Antonini Wilson affair?

bayofpigs
30 September 2007 at 21:55

I should explain my last post - It has been widely reported that there were two PdVSA officals joined the plane at Caracas - they aren't on that list ... why? They don't seem to have been named - did they exist ... I wish I knew.

I've been trying to find a piece that I read where Wilson was interviewed and said that he wanted to explain the whole thing - he said it would be worse for Argentina than for Venezuela, but wouldn't go into details. I think we need to wait for the extradition and what follows.

bayofpigs
30 September 2007 at 22:04

go it ...

"Alex is hesitating, but Frank (Franklyn Davis Durán Guerrero, Antonini Wilson's partner) is certain that the best strategy is surrender," the source said.

"There is much tension between both of them. Frank wants Alex to clarify his situation and to do things his way. But Alex does not want to end up in jail. The situation is complicated because both of them are involved in oil-related businesses and arms and security systems sales. There is plenty of money involved," he added.

According to the source, last September 7 Antonini Wilson and Durán met with their lawyers to assess the terms for Antonini Wilson's surrender.

"If Alex talks, they say, it will be worse for the Argentinean government than for the Venezuelan government," the source stated.

el universal 12th September

Flyer
01 October 2007 at 01:02

I could not find the article you are referring to, Bayofpigs - only this:

http://buscador.eluniversal.com/2007/09/12/pol_art_en-urugua...

Can you provide a link please?

bayofpigs
01 October 2007 at 12:12

Certainly:

http://english.eluniversal.com/2007/09/12/en_pol_art_antonin...

I'm dubious about this report. I doubt that De Vido was on the plane - I've not seen it reported elsewhere.

Stiles
01 October 2007 at 15:40

"PDVSA reported a 65 per cent loss in earnings over the previous year" is I think quite a misleading claim. From this link http://www.globalinsight.com/SDA/SDADetail8808.htm

it seems that there has been a fall of 37% in net profits but the cause of that fall is not due to a fall in earnings from sales (which are actually up) but due to a massive increase in PDVSA spending on social development. Update: this report in El Universal http://english.eluniversal.com/2007/09/14/en_eco_art_pdvsa-r...

talks about a 15.9% drop in net profits and this report http://english.eluniversal.com/2007/09/11/en_eco_art_pdvsa-d...

talks about a 65% fall in "domestic profits". I would contend that "domestic profits" are not the same as earnings.

Pookalabella
03 October 2007 at 20:41

"Chaves is a CIA puppet....enough said."

Are you retarded? Chávez (note the spelling) hates America. Or is that all a front so that he can cover up his CIA background? That way when he makes life difficult for British interests we won't know that the Americans are secretly behind it. Curse those clever Americans!

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