Respect candidate wins Bradford byelection with a majority of 10,140.
By George Eaton [1] Published 30 March 2012 7:54Respect candidate wins Bradford byelection with a majority of 10,140.
He called it "the most sensational victory in British political history" and few will argue with that this morning. Until a few days before the Bradford West byelection, when Ladbrokes suspended bets on his candidacy, almost no one had spoken of the possibility of a George Galloway victory [2]. Today he stands as the constituency's new MP with a majority of 10,140 [a 37 per cent swing away from Labour].
Unlike his famous victory in Bethnal Green and Bow in 2005, attributable to anti-war sentiment, there was no obvious trigger for a Galloway win. But his demand for an immediate withdrawal from Afghanistan and his calculated appeal to the seat's Muslim voters [in a letter [3] to "voters of Muslim faith and Pakistani heritage" he wrote: "I, George Galloway, do not drink alcohol and never have. Ask yourself if you believe the other candidate in this election can say that truthfully."] allowed him to take votes from all three of the main parties. The Tories, who might have expected to benefit from a split in the left vote, saw their share of the vote plummet by 22.78 per cent to 8.37 per cent.
But it is the scale of Labour's defeat, in a week when the party is leading by 10 per cent [4] nationally, that is truly remarkable. Ed Miliband's unbroken run of byelection victories [five in total] has come to an end in the most dramatic fashion. What began as a disastrous week for David Cameron has ended as one for the Labour leader.
Was this a one-off or does it represent a new far-left threat to Labour? The former is the answer. In British politics, Galloway, a formidable campaigner, orator and political pugilist [as well as a supporter of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Bashar al-Assad], is a unique figure. Respect, the party which he founded and will represent in Parliament, has neither the financial nor the organisational capacity to mount a national challenge to Labour. Yet Galloway's victory marks the start of a dangerous period for Miliband's party. If, as the polls currently suggest, Ken Livingstone loses the London mayoral election and the Scottish National Party wins Glasgow City Council [5] then May could prove a month of defeat for Labour.
We'll have more analysis and comment on The Staggers shortly but for now here's that stunning result in full.
George Galloway (Respect) 18,341 (55.89%, +52.83%)
Imran Hussain (Labour) 8,201 (24.99%, -20.36%)
Jackie Whiteley (Conservative) 2,746 (8.37%, -22.78%)
Jeanette Sunderland (Liberal Democrat) 1,505 (4.59%, -7.08%)
Sonja McNally (UKIP) 1,085 (3.31%, +1.31%)
Dawud Islam (Green) 481 (1.47%, -0.85%)
Neil Craig (Democratic Nationalists) 344 (1.05%)
Howling Laud Hope (Monster Raving Loony Party) 111 (0.34%)
Turnout: 50.78%.
Tags: George Galloway [6] Bradford West byelection [7]