Leader: It is time for Chancellor Merkel to intervene to save Europe

Merkel speaking in the Bundestag
Merkel speaking in the Bundestag in June 2012. Photograph: Getty Images

For more than two years, Europe’s leaders have delayed and prevaricated as the survival of the single currency has grown ever less certain. “If the euro fails, then Europe fails,” the German chancellor, Angela Merkel, has said, implying an unconditional commitment to the single currency. Yet her narrow focus on austerity has left it on the brink of collapse. The Greek people, now enduring a fifth year of recession, may have handed a narrow victory to the pro-bailout New Democracy in their country’s second election in two months but relief among EU leaders was dispelled when Spanish ten-year bond yields climbed above 7 per cent, the level that forced Greece, Portugal and Ireland to seek bailouts.

The prospect that Spain, the eurozone’s fourth-largest economy, and Italy, its third-largest, could default on their debts is the greatest threat to the euro’s survival. The EU has the firepower to keep Greece in the single currency, in the form of the €750bn European bailout fund, but it would struggle to assemble a rescue fund large enough to save Italy and Spain and the single currency itself.

It is this realisation that has finally pushed Mrs Merkel to consider the hitherto unthinkable. Under pressure from Barack Obama, who fears that a eurozone crash could disrupt the fragile US recovery, and the French president, François Hollande, who has won the strongest possible mandate to promote growth rather than austerity, the German chancellor has reportedly agreed to allow the eurozone’s bailout fund to buy up the bonds of EU member states in order to reduce borrowing costs. If so, and we await the full details, the move is welcome. To paraphrase Winston Churchill on the US, Germany has done the right thing after exhausting all the available alternatives. There is no guarantee that this strategy will succeed; bond traders may continue their assault on Spain in the expectation that the EU will blink first. But, for the first time since the crisis began, Germany has recognised the need for extraordinary measures.

A debt purchase programme would be a step towards the creation of a eurobond market, through which Germany would underwrite the debt of the single currency’s poorer members. It is incumbent on Germany, which, as an ex­porting nation, benefited more than any other from the creation of the euro, to throw its full economic weight behind the currency. In addition, it must tolerate higher-than-average inflation as the price for allowing the peripheral countries to rebalance their economies and increase their competitiveness.

From its vantage point outside the eurozone, the British government has delivered a series of increasingly shrill lectures to EU leaders. George Osborne said that the UK’s “recovery” was being “killed off” by the crisis. The truth is that the Chancellor accomplished that all by himself. It was his austerity rhetoric (he compared the UK economy to that of Greece) and his measures, most notably the 2.5-point rise in VAT to 20 per cent, and his absurd claim that Britain was on “the brink of bankruptcy”, that destroyed confidence and choked off growth. With the exception of Italy, Britain is the only G20 country to have suffered a double-dip recession.

In response, Mr Osborne, a “fiscal conservative but a monetary activist”, appears to have subcontracted his growth policy to the Bank of England. The latest policy wheeze from Threadneedle Street – an £80bn “funding-for-lending scheme” – will do little to revive the economy at a time when the creditworthy, for fear of worse to come, are unwilling to borrow and those who are willing to borrow are uncreditworthy. The UK’s fundamental problem, a collapse in aggregate demand, remains unaddressed. As Mr Osborne is so fond of boasting of the UK’s historically low bond yields (though they owe more to the Bank’s quantitative easing programme than to his deficit reduction programme), the least he could do is take advantage of them. He should increase borrowing to fund higher infrastructure spending (the most effective stimulus, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility) and tax cuts.

The one European leader willing to put the case for stimulus over austerity is Mr Hollande, now buttressed by the first Socialist parliamentary majority since 1998. He has called for a €120bn “compact for growth and jobs” to be agreed at a summit in Brussels later this month and implemented before the end of the year. His plan deserves the support of all EU leaders. While the collapse of the euro may be averted, the danger of enduring stagnation remains. If Europe’s prosperity is not to be lost, there will be no alternative to stimulating growth. It is time Mrs Merkel acted accordingly.

14 comments

Mr Humanus Wright's picture

Quote of the Day - Regarding Gareth Williams, “The world was ours for the taking.”. There's a rumour going around that Gareth may of had some sort of a last covert mission with 'Dolly the Sheep', prior to his demise, but it hasn't been fully substantiated! Apparently Alex Chapman didn't know about this covert relationship, but he may have Saw(ers) alot! Ronan Summers definitely didn't have anything to do with it, even though he loves to drink Tenets! We all love Wiltshire (Porton Down) more than Gloucestershire (GCHQ), even more so then Worcestershire (RSRE). Military Radiations Signals Intelligence always use to do 'his head in', especially when using ELF or VLF frequencies, impacting directly on the 'Neural Oscillations' of the Central Nervous System. But taking a 'Nano-Medicine' Paracetamol takes the head to a new level of game play, I'll assure you of that! Nothing to do with BCI, RNM, Synthetic Telepathy ... that would REALLY BE MAD!!! An odd thought shared ... the illegal "watching over" in our individual 'castles' of this beloved Britannia, while entertaining Babar Pappa.

rien ne va plus's picture

You can't spend money you don't own - paying debts with money from a new loan can't be the right way to get rid of any monetary problem at all. Hasan's statements are full of envyand hate (no wonder as he is a wellknown fundamental islamist.
Anyway writing such nonsense gives access to being very present in any media.

mvrs75's picture

We do not want political integration, fiscal union, Eurobonds etc... because they are bad for us. We do not want to pay for Club Med profligacy. Signed, the Netherlands.

Its not just Germans, we too are against it. The Euro is our misfortune. Death to the Euro.

Otto's picture

This is the end of capitalism. It will not be long. Thanks that you can’t go back to Africa because they know you all now too well.

Gis Volk's picture

that's almost sedition, what is written here, but then I ask myself, where the sit real "nazis". But to come to the actual topic, which makes for England against the crisis in Europe? where are the better proposals from england? other countries to abuse unfounded directs, not really the lack of ideas from their own country. prefer your calls on politicians to think with, not racist slander against the crisis help.

Tiit's picture

Creating growth with more debts again?
It seems the politicians in some countries simply do not learn.
Making debts means:
Taking a credit, pay back more.
Who pays the debts and interest?
The tax- payer (it doesn't matter in which country)
Who gets the interest?
The banks.
And from who the banks get their money, which they borrow to the countries?
From the very rich people, which already have enough money.

Making debts is the best way to take money from the "small" people to the rich.
So there is nothing "social" in debts, it is only good for the rich people in the world and the casino- bankers with their annual bonus.

Youfirst's picture

or maybe it's time to trade growth for sustainability.

Galo-Véio's picture

"Leader: It is time for Chancellor Merkel to intervene to save Europe"

Why not put the case (of the rating agencies- machine guns in nowadays war) the other way round:
It is time for PM Camerun to intervene in the (evil financial) markets in the City of London TO SAVE EUROPE.
qua-qua-qua = Camerun to save Europe???? hmducvhyr?jb/
He is doing his best efforts ever to crack down the Euro currency in order to please his $$$$friends in the City.

MAC496's picture

Enough enough. No monetary union works without political union. It works in the UK because we are united sterling is lent to the North East from the South East no one argues because we are the same. It works in the United States to.

It fails when Germans wont lend to Greeks, Irish, Portugal, or Spain. All in the sheer self interest of Germany. Dont lecture us please evil markets Frankfurt has enough bad expoursure to this ill thought out Euro project. You have to be in it together all the way or not at all.

Also bear in mind how the US saved you and Japan after WW2. The massive loans from the Marshall plan mmmmmm ponder that one

MAC496's picture

Enough enough. No monetary union works without political union. It works in the UK because we are united sterling is lent to the North East from the South East no one argues because we are the same. It works in the United States to.

It fails when Germans wont lend to Greeks, Irish, Portugal, or Spain. All in the sheer self interest of Germany. Dont lecture us please evil markets Frankfurt has enough bad expoursure to this ill thought out Euro project. You have to be in it together all the way or not at all.

Also bear in mind how the US saved you and Japan after WW2. The massive loans from the Marshall plan mmmmmm ponder that one

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