New research suggests the opposite - voters were more likely to back Labour if they thought they would win.
If the young don't turn out, the result will be Brexit.
Movement to Leave in the polls at this point in the cycle is what we'd expect to see, says Peter Kellner.
There is reason to be sceptical of the surge to Leave, says Peter Kellner.
These polls seem meaningless, but they reveal things more conventional ones miss.
A series of bad polls have pro-Europeans panicked. Are they right?
On the behind-the-scenes story of Hillary Clinton’s closest aide.
The shadow chancellor's gambit could prove decisive.
Frontman Matt Healy perhaps isn’t aware that the Electoral Commission is not, in fact, the government (or believes that this is part of a wider conspiracy).
Independent, Green Party backed candidate Alexander Van der Bellen has won the Austrian presidential election
The ward-by-ward breakdown of the London result defies much of the initial punditry.