The sun rises over the City of London. Photograph: Getty Images.
Show Hide image

Whose recovery is this? The top 1% are gaining most

As the highest earners have gained, the bottom 90 per cent have seen their share of income shrink.

Most people are familiar with the old adage about the "rich getting richer", but should we just accept that this will be at a much faster rate than for everyone else? The latest statistics on income, since economic growth finally returned, paint a disappointing picture of increasing inequality in Britain; they show that the richest one per cent have increased their share of income while the bottom 90 per cent on middle and lower incomes have seen their share shrink. While unemployment is falling, the continued squeeze on the pay of ordinary workers means that growth has mostly benefited the top.

Here’s how this story emerges from the Treasury’s own data: the latest "Income Tax Liabilities Bulletin" from HM Revenue and Customers, makes projections for the share of total income for percentile groups, setting out the changes affecting the least well-off and the richest in society. After three years of stagnation, growth has begun to gradually return throughout the past year 2013/14. But who has benefited from this growth in the past year?

It turns out the wealthiest one per cent are expected to see their share leap, even after tax has been taken into account, from 8.2 per cent of total UK income to 9.8 per cent of the total. This is a gain of a huge extra £15.4bn of income, shared among less than 300,000 of those at the top. Significantly, 90 per cent of the rest of the country – 27 million taxpayers - have seen their share of total income actually shrink from 71.3 per cent to 70.4 per cent.

What can we conclude from these new figures? First, it appears that we may be experiencing a recovery that is heavily skewed towards those already at the top of the pile – tilting the benefits of growth away from the many and handing them increasingly to the few.

Second, the tax cut for those lucky enough to earn over £150,000 per year in 2013/14 has been of great significance, especially for those receiving executive bonuses that had been held back until the 50p rate had gone.

Third, the shrinking share of income for 90 per cent of the rest of society should set alarm bells ringing; this isn’t just bearing down on the poorest, but a real squeeze on middle-income earners. When the overwhelming majority of the population now see the wealthiest one percent zooming off into the distance, people will rightly ask whether the government are doing enough to build a fair economy that works for working people.

Perhaps people expect David Cameron and George Osborne to fashion an economic recovery which serves the very wealthiest, but we all know this is unbalanced and unsustainable. If the benefits of economic growth are not felt fairly by the vast majority, then the cost of living crisis will persist and divisions will worsen.

George Osborne used to say "we’re all in this together" – but that claim has long since been abandoned. Creating a genuinely One Nation recovery should mean the richest one per cent contribute a fairer share of tax, with a return to the 50p rate for the next Parliament as we get the deficit down. And it should also mean taking action to help the vast majority of working people, with tax cuts targeted at those on lower and middle incomes as a priority and measures to ensure work pays, such as expanding free childcare for parents.

Surely we need the Treasury to step in to ensure the benefits of any growth we get are shared more fairly than this? When 90 per cent of the rest of the country are seeing their share decline then that is a sign something is going badly wrong.

Chris Leslie is the shadow chief secretary to the Treasury

Chris Leslie is chair of Labour’s backbench Treasury Committee and was shadow Chancellor in 2015. 

Getty
Show Hide image

The 11 things we know after the Brexit plan debate

Labour may just have fallen into a trap. 

On Wednesday, both Labour and Tory MPs filed out of the Commons together to back a motion calling on the Prime Minister to commit to publish the government’s Brexit plan before Article 50 is triggered in March 2017. 

The motion was proposed by Labour, but the government agreed to back it after inserting its own amendment calling on MPs to “respect the wishes of the United Kingdom” and adhere to the original timetable. 

With questions on everything from the customs union to the Northern Irish border, it is clear that the Brexit minister David Davis will have a busy Christmas. Meanwhile, his declared intention to stay schtum about the meat of Brexit negotiations for now means the nation has been hanging off every titbit of news, including a snapped memo reading “have cake and eat it”. 

So, with confusion abounding, here is what we know from the Brexit plan debate: 

1. The government will set out a Brexit plan before triggering Article 50

The Brexit minister David Davis said that Parliament will get to hear the government’s “strategic plans” ahead of triggering Article 50, but that this will not include anything that will “jeopardise our negotiating position”. 

While this is something of a victory for the Remain MPs and the Opposition, the devil is in the detail. For example, this could still mean anything from a white paper to a brief description released days before the March deadline.

2. Parliament will get a say on converting EU law into UK law

Davis repeated that the Great Repeal Bill, which scraps the European Communities Act 1972, will be presented to the Commons during the two-year period following Article 50.

He said: “After that there will be a series of consequential legislative measures, some primary, some secondary, and on every measure the House will have a vote and say.”

In other words, MPs will get to debate how existing EU law is converted to UK law. But, crucially, that isn’t the same as getting to debate the trade negotiations. And the crucial trade-off between access to the single market versus freedom of movement is likely to be decided there. 

3. Parliament is almost sure to get a final vote on the Brexit deal

The European Parliament is expected to vote on the final Brexit deal, which means the government accepts it also needs parliamentary approval. Davis said: “It is inconceivable to me that if the European Parliament has a vote, this House does not.”

Davis also pledged to keep MPs as well-informed as MEPs will be.

However, as shadow Brexit secretary Keir Starmer pointed out to The New Statesman, this could still leave MPs facing the choice of passing a Brexit deal they disagree with or plunging into a post-EU abyss. 

4. The government still plans to trigger Article 50 in March

With German and French elections planned for 2017, Labour MP Geraint Davies asked if there was any point triggering Article 50 before the autumn. 

But Davis said there were 15 elections scheduled during the negotiation process, so such kind of delay was “simply not possible”. 

5. Themed debates are a clue to Brexit priorities

One way to get a measure of the government’s priorities is the themed debates it is holding on various areas covered by EU law, including two already held on workers’ rights and transport.  

Davis mentioned themed debates as a key way his department would be held to account. 

It's not exactly disclosure, but it is one step better than relying on a camera man papping advisers as they walk into No.10 with their notes on show. 

6. The immigration policy is likely to focus on unskilled migrants

At the Tory party conference, Theresa May hinted at a draconian immigration policy that had little time for “citizens of the world”, while Davis said the “clear message” from the Brexit vote was “control immigration”.

He struck a softer tone in the debate, saying: “Free movement of people cannot continue as it is now, but this will not mean pulling up the drawbridge.”

The government would try to win “the global battle for talent”, he added. If the government intends to stick to its migration target and, as this suggests, will keep the criteria for skilled immigrants flexible, the main target for a clampdown is clearly unskilled labour.  

7. The government is still trying to stay in the customs union

Pressed about the customs union by Anna Soubry, the outspoken Tory backbencher, Davis said the government is looking at “several options”. This includes Norway, which is in the single market but not the customs union, and Switzerland, which is in neither but has a customs agreement. 

(For what it's worth, the EU describes this as "a series of bilateral agreements where Switzerland has agreed to take on certain aspects of EU legislation in exchange for accessing the EU's single market". It also notes that Swiss exports to the EU are focused on a few sectors, like chemicals, machinery and, yes, watches.)

8. The government wants the status quo on security

Davis said that on security and law enforcement “our aim is to preserve the current relationship as best we can”. 

He said there is a “clear mutual interest in continued co-operation” and signalled a willingness for the UK to pitch in to ensure Europe is secure across borders. 

One of the big tests for this commitment will be if the government opts into Europol legislation which comes into force next year.

9. The Chancellor is wooing industries

Robin Walker, the under-secretary for Brexit, said Philip Hammond and Brexit ministers were meeting organisations in the City, and had also met representatives from the aerospace, energy, farming, chemicals, car manufacturing and tourism industries. 

However, Labour has already attacked the government for playing favourites with its secretive Nissan deal. Brexit ministers have a fine line to walk between diplomacy and what looks like a bribe. 

10. Devolved administrations are causing trouble

A meeting with leaders of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland ended badly, with the First Minister of Scotland Nicola Sturgeon publicly declaring it “deeply frustrating”. The Scottish government has since ramped up its attempts to block Brexit in the courts. 

Walker took a more conciliatory tone, saying that the PM was “committed to full engagement with the devolved administrations” and said he undertook the task of “listening to the concerns” of their representatives. 

11. Remain MPs may have just voted for a trap

Those MPs backing Remain were divided on whether to back the debate with the government’s amendment, with the Green co-leader Caroline Lucas calling it “the Tories’ trap”.

She argued that it meant signing up to invoking Article 50 by March, and imposing a “tight timetable” and “arbitrary deadline”, all for a vaguely-worded Brexit plan. In the end, Lucas was one of the Remainers who voted against the motion, along with the SNP. 

George agrees – you can read his analysis of the Brexit trap here

Julia Rampen is the editor of The Staggers, The New Statesman's online rolling politics blog. She was previously deputy editor at Mirror Money Online and has worked as a financial journalist for several trade magazines.