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The power to save Britain

Mark Lynas

Published 06 March 2008

How our island could be supplying Europe with green electricity. Plus Peter Hain on getting real about renewables

It may not feel like it on a gusty grey day in Rhyl, but this country is blessed. Take a boat out into the choppy waters off the North Wales coast, and you can see why. Thirty bright white turbines spin continuously just five miles off the coast, producing enough electrical power to supply 40,000 homes with clean, green energy. The wind and waves seem limitless and powerful - and they are. If the UK had been more aggressive and far-sighted in developing renewable energy, we would already be exporting green electricity and wind turbines to Europe and further afield.

In renewable energy terms, we would be the Saudi Arabia of Europe. A full 40 per cent of the continent's wind blows across British shores, enough to meet all our energy needs and more. But instead of leading the world in renewable energy and at the same time cutting carbon emissions, the UK languishes close to the bottom of the European clean energy league. Just 2 per cent of our energy comes from renewable sources and the rest from dirty, climate-changing fossil fuels. This is the legacy of years of contradictory policies, conflicting priorities, ideological pig-headedness and government incompetence.

It's a story that shames Britain.

A good place to start is the government's Low Carbon Buildings Programme (LCBP). This was launched in 2006 to provide grants to householders wanting to instal renewable generation technologies - from solar panels to small hydro schemes - on their properties. Ministers acknowledge that micro-generation could play a big part in our clean energy future, and that turning homes into mini power stations is good for energy security, household income and the environment. But what actually happened? Instead of kick-starting a whole new market sector, the government starved it of funds. A measly £12.7m was allocated, with a monthly cap. On the first day of each month all the available grants were snapped up within hours.

This stop-start approach led to frustrated householders and cash-strapped solar installation companies, many of which began to go bust. The number of grants given for solar hot water systems fell by half last year, and the number for micro wind turbines by two-thirds. For ground-source heat pumps, while 100 grants were made in the last three months of 2006, the equivalent number for 2007 was zero. For electricity, we managed to put only 270 solar panels on British roofs last year, while Germany installed 130,000.

Gordon Brown, first as chancellor, and now as Prime Minister, has successfully ensured that it makes no financial sense whatsoever for householders to invest in generating their own energy renewably. If you put up a solar photovoltaic panel in this country, you do it for altruistic reasons only: at present, you are guaranteed to lose money hand over fist.

Germany's renewables sector has rocketed, thanks to a system that guarantees long-term paybacks at above-market rates for cleanly generated power. This is called the "feed-in tariff", which has also successfully catapulted Spain and Portugal to the top of the European clean energy league. Portugal gets 39 per cent of its electricity from renewables and is aiming for 60 per cent by 2020. In stark contrast, the UK government continues to rule out feed-in tariffs, insisting instead on retaining its outdated Renewables Obligation system, a support mechanism which is so complicated and cumbersome that only the biggest players can make any money from it (or, indeed, even understand it).

The RO system reveals another classic new Labour problem: an obsession with the market. Instead of simply guaranteeing a good return for solar or wind electricity over a long enough time period to make this an attractive investment, the government insists on making the Renewable Obligation Certificates tradable. If a company doesn't meet its obligation to generate power renewably, it must buy certificates from another company that has produced a surplus. The result is long-term price uncertainty, which makes investment much more costly, due to the "risk premium" that must be added to any lending. The ROC system has been fiddled with so many times that the British Wind Energy Association (BWEA) now opposes a feed-in tariff system, on the grounds that yet more policy uncertainty might scare off potential investors for good.

Lost business

This catalogue of failure has not only been bad for the climate, it has been bad for business. Britain might once have led the world in wind turbine development. But with no domestic market, production moved elsewhere, and today most turbines installed in this country are imported from Denmark. The leader in solar power is not Britain but Germany, which has pioneered a lucrative export industry in solar photovoltaic cells. In China, too, solar manufacturing is big business: the country's second-richest man leads a solar energy company. This is an energy sector which saw growth last year of roughly 40 per cent, and has attracted tens of billions in venture capital. None of that came to Britain. Instead of creating a brand new industry and thousands of jobs, British-based renewables companies have been going out of business.

Wind should already be our biggest single power source. The BWEA estimates that wind could generate 27 per cent of our electricity by 2020, which, combined with other renewables, could easily meet our EU-assigned target of 15 per cent renewable energy by 2020. Instead, wind accounts for just 1.5 per cent of UK electricity generation today (the equivalent figure in far less windy Denmark is 20 per cent, for Spain 8 per cent and Germany 5 per cent). That 1.5 per cent could be ramped up very quickly if the planning system worked in favour of renewables. According to the BWEA, 220 windpower projects are currently stuck in planning. If all received immediate consent, they could generate 9.3 gigawatts of electricity, enough for an estimated 5.25 million households. If the 39 projects that were refused planning permission last year had instead been allowed it, they could have provided power for 750,000 households, and prevented the emission of three million tonnes of CO2. (Anti-wind campaigners need to recognise their moral liability for these climate-changing emissions.)

While 39 projects were refused planning permission, just 26 projects went ahead. This year, we are level-pegging: seven wind applications have been approved and six refused. It can now take ten years for a windfarm project to get approved and built, and another five for it to get a grid connection (unlike in other countries, renewable generators here have to pay for their own grid connections). This does not look like a country on the fast track to a clean energy future. Indeed, power companies such as E.ON are pro posing to invest billions in hugely polluting coal power plants instead.

The government has proposed to reform the planning system to make it easier for windfarms to get the go-ahead. Environmentalists and conservationists are opposed to the reform, however, for the good reason that it would also make it easier for new motorways, power stations and airports to gain approval, and stifle local democracy in the process.

A greener government might have focused on reforming the planning system for renewable energy projects, gaining support from greens and electricity generators alike. Instead, in its enthusiasm for aviation and nuclear power, the government has bundled windfarms into a planning policy package that will be opposed by almost all. A missed opportunity.

There is some good news. The 1000MW London Array - which will generate enough power from wind for a quarter of London's households - has been given the go-ahead. Several other major projects are under way, and this year the UK will overtake Denmark as the largest offshore generator in the world. The UK also still leads in marine renewables (wave and tidal stream power). With 30 marine technology developers headquartered here, compared to only 15 in the rest of Europe, the UK is able to put its offshore operational skills learned from North Sea oil - now in long-term decline - to good use. At the end of last month the world's largest conference on wave and tidal stream energy, Marine 08, was held in Edinburgh. Tidal power would address the intermittency question: what to do when the wind doesn't blow and the sun doesn't shine. Tidal power is predictable. Wave power is also more dependable. The more sources of energy we can call on, the less vulnerable we will be to losing power in any one sector.

Yet in marine renewables, too, the government has risked Britain losing its competitive edge. The world's first commercial-scale wave-generating array, while built by a UK-based company, is being launched off the Portuguese, not the British, coast. And, mirroring the disaster of the Low Carbon Buildings Programme, the Marine Renewables Deployment Fund - supposed to support the fledgling sector with capital grants and other financial aid - has a tiny budget and a cap per project of £9m, far too little for any British design to make it past the prototype stage into commercial production. Once again, we are wasting a historic advantage.

With the right policy levers pulled, we could in the not-too-distant future be generating 20 per cent of all our electricity out at sea using wave and tidal power, and far more from onshore and offshore wind. We could lead the world in a new manufacturing sector and generate thousands of new jobs. We could have a zero-carbon electricity grid as early as 2030. We could also lead the world in reducing greenhouse-gas emissions.

But, for this to happen, the government will need to admit that its policies have been a cala mitous failure and put clean energy at the top of its long-term agenda, before it is too late.

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21 comments from readers

TheElitesWin
06 March 2008 at 10:25

Why would the members of our government build renewable energy sources, when they are making a real killing with their shares in the utility companies, COME ON!

f111lover
06 March 2008 at 11:11

Never have I read such a fatuous article, while I agree wind energy can and should be used, it should not be subsidised, and if not the wind farm developer, then who should build the connector to the grid, the tax payer? Also it is mentioned that the London array can provide 25% of London householders supply, what about London industry, shops, offices etc. I cannot substanciate this, but I bet 25% of household supplies is more like 3 or 4% of London's real energy requirements. We need a mixed portfolio, wind, tide, hydro, nuclear & coal. Note that I think it is criminal to use gas & oil in the generation of electricity, the energy density of those is just too high to squander when they're needed for other essential uses.

gnuneo
06 March 2008 at 11:39

the stupidity of british politicians could make a Statue cry.

there is tax-payer money to the tune of some billions for wars over oil, there is tax-payer money to the tune of some billions for new aircraft carriers, there is tax-payer money to the tune of some billions for covering over gross financial management caused by deregulation of banks. (whose previous owners raked off billions).

but there is only a few paltry millions for securing our nations long-term energy needs.

why do we pay taxes? In the vague hope that our politicians will use our money to best effect for us. Apparently this means to New-Labour involving ourselves in wars, and handing over our children's future to russia, the US, and the gulf-states.

apparently they are so arrogant, they do not believe they will be punished for this by the electorate, or at worst the votes will go to the other wing of the Labservative party.

perhaps we should prove them wrong.

Pencils
06 March 2008 at 12:33

Gnuneo - I know you know this, but what the hell - they may be 'punished ' by the electorate, but not much - they'll be richly rewarded by the elites whose interest they serve, so why should they care.

This situation is so serious. We generally imagine that we British are born with a silver spoon in our mouths, and we can never starve. Why not? We have next to no agriculture or industry, and our banking sector could take off somewhere else tomorrow. We are dependent on goodwill for our energy supplies. And it is now inconceivable that we could get politicians elected who care what happens to the country - do what the money men want and you've got an after-parliament career, don't and you could be on the dole. How can we change things quickly enough to avert disaster? It might already be too late, but some mechanism to make politicians recallable, if they breach election pledges, maybe? I'm pessimistic because there are so many 'left' think-tanks, study groups, academics, sects, parties, and the only things that have made it into popular consciousness are reform of the house of lords, and proportional representation. And we can see how long it has taken for so little headway. And they won't touch the real problem. Facing an election every four years is NOT accountabiltiy. Until we have accountable representatives, articles like the one above are just pipe dreams or window dressing

Carl Jones
06 March 2008 at 15:50

Mark: there you go again "climate-changing fossil fuels"....I take it that you are deliberately ignoring the latest scientific data which reports an average fall in global tempreratures of between 0.5 and 0.75 degrees...IN ONE YEAR, ALL SUPPOSED CARBON RELATED WARMING HAS BEEN WIPED OUT!!!!!LOL

Record snow fall all over the world and an actual increase in sea ice. Just one very bad volcanic eruption and global temperatures could fall by several degrees.This would bringing crop failures, food rationing and the deaths of millions of people.

There has just been a large climate change conference in New York, I put a link on one of your previous articles. 100`s of scientists carrying out a serious debate, yet there has been no mention of this conference on US tv news and the pathetic US press may have got it on page 10 in the bottom right hand corner.LOL

The British government wants NUCLEAR. Does this answer you missed opportunity question? Time is running out for you Mr Lynas.

Carl Jones
06 March 2008 at 20:31

Mark, I was just reading about the dismal summer in Sydney...no day topped 32 degrees....this is a first since 1956!!!

Sunshine hours were the lowest since 91-92!

Average maximum tempreatures were 25.2, the lowest since 1996-97.

Now, has anyone seen or heard the MSM covering this story? I thought not.LOL

knave
06 March 2008 at 20:54

My god an article in the NS that have intelligence. Well done.

GNichols
07 March 2008 at 08:34

The significance of Germany's installation rate: 1 gigawatt of production capacity in 2007...and climbing. That means that Germany is now adding the capacity of one nuclear reactor every year...purely from solar power, and without law suits or waste dumps.

The power from these plants is also more reliable than nuclear power. While 25,000 people were dying in France's last big heat wave (France gets more than half of it's power from nuclear reactors) the reactors were being *shut down* because the river water used to cool the reactors was no longer cool enough to do so. This goes a long way toward explaining why Germany remains committed to shutting down all of its nuclear power plants...and why France subsequently implemented a Feed-in Tarif for renewable energies, including solar power.

DCarins
07 March 2008 at 08:36

My god: a poster who ironically praised the NS for intelligence, yet amusingly had a grammatical error in his own post. Well done.

British Citizen
07 March 2008 at 10:47

There is no perfect energy source. Few people want a nuclear power station within 100 miles of them. Wind energy is by far the most attractive of all available options, and I happen to find the wind turbines elegant. Britain should be leading the world in this technology, but government failed to recognise the opportunity. Denmark subsidised and supported the technology and that resulted in a world-leading £multi-Billion export industry for their country. The UK government needs to back all the new renewable technologies, but particularly wind, to support our own economy and to wean us off hydrocarbon dependency.

TheElitesWin
08 March 2008 at 10:23

British Citizen! ummm.... is there really one anymore?

Joybells
08 March 2008 at 13:59

Before supporting any alternative energy source, I need more info such as in the manufacture of solar panels, etc. how much non renewable resources are used and how much pollution is created in the manufacture process? How much is climatic change likely to impact on the viability of solar/wind energy? Perhaps a more reasonable energy solution would be not to put all our eggs in one basket but to support a variety of energy solutions providing flexibility to withstand whatever the future may bring.

Whatever the British govt. has not done in supporting solar/wind solutions is a thing of the past, what is needed is to look to the future with a creative but informed mindset.

sigera
09 March 2008 at 02:30

When the wind stops?

Ephemeral power is great, but who gets shutdown when the baseload cannot sustain demand?

d in Minnusa

taghioff.info
10 March 2008 at 11:50

The base-load is maintained by other forms such as tidal, he points that out.

This is an energy security issue. If we are worried about Russia extending its sphere, or about instability in the Middle East, or about rising oil prices, or about global warming, or about the impact of bio-fuels on food prices and political stability , then we will take this seriously.

What is staggering is that these issues are not dealt with in a focussed matter. Surely the heart of strategy is to identify the most pressing long term issues, and use that as a core to how you govern. Energy security seems rather to be treated as an obscure sub-section of planning law.

Perhaps the issue is not too much or too little vision or a lack of or excess of implementation, but rather a lack of overall relationship and sense of proportion in how this country is governed.

The parts do not seem to add up to an effective whole.

Joe Wilson
10 March 2008 at 19:04

The governemnt are money merchants and have no interest in creating a greener future for the next generations to come into our beautiful world. ok there are a lot of downfalls to wind power, like it takes almost 100 tonnes of concrtete to place them in the earth, (this was a real drag when i found this out) but hey how much concrete does it take to hold a nuclear power staton in the growund which weighes a significant amount more than a single wind turbine. I think the british public need to get there morals in order, we constantly moan about how expensive everything is, and yet we have FREE energy and nobody wants it, its even worse that thers an organization out there against the ideas. what is with this withering country our people are condeming ther kids and there kids kids for the sake of a view or noise.

Britian, home of democracy, But just for this generation.

Carl Jones
10 March 2008 at 20:04

Joe; wind is great, but the government wants the majority of wind turbines placed off shore. Now there are good reasons for this, such as the quality of wind. Now, you will remenber that media spate when they were advocating wind turbines on homes, in gardens...even B&Q are selling them...

...but its not rocket science, to see where this is going...many farmers could be off grid, so could many small towns. Before you know it, the national grid has shrunk and those still on it, face rising costs.

This is why the government is determined to limit wind and solar power. Generating your own energy equals FREEDOM. You only have to look at the situation between Britain and Russia. The UK wants to extricate itself from the Russian gas grid.

Colonel Blimp
11 March 2008 at 14:34

I heat Blimp Hall with wind.

Colonel Blimp
11 March 2008 at 14:35

Not through choice you understand - it's an effect of my numerous excursions overseas.

Peter Martin
18 March 2008 at 11:37

"We could have a zero-carbon electricity grid as early as 2030."

Well this target sounds good but is it realistic or possible? What % of electricity generation is possible using renewables? The problem is that they are unreliable and if the figure goes above 20% the grid can becomes very unstable. The simple fact would be that if wind levels fell suddenly, the system would crash.

If this is the case, and we do have to settle for a limit of around this figure, the question arises of what about the other 80%?

It is important not to neglect the question of how the bulk of electricity should be generated by focusing on the 20% renewable component.

The choice seems to be a simple one of coal vs nuclear.

gnuneo
20 March 2008 at 19:51

or mirror concentrated solar generators (NOT solar panels) in deserts.

Peter Martin
21 March 2008 at 00:55

Guneo,

You mean these ?

http://www.abengoasolar.com/sites/solar/en/nproyectos_psoluc...

These can make an important contribution to the energy supply of countries of suitable geographic locations. However, you need to take a look at the numbers. A large nuclear or coal fired station will have a capacity of around 1000MW and be totally independent of weather conditions.

The power output of these is maybe a tenth of that, given favourable weather conditions. Unfortunately, it would be impractical for Northern European countries to have solar power transmitted the 1000 kilometers or so which would be needed.

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About the writer

Mark Lynas

Mark Lynas is a climate change writer and activist, author of the acclaimed book 'High Tide' and fortnightly columnist for the New Statesman. He was selected by National Geographic as an 'Emerging Explorer' for 2006, and blogs on www.marklynas.org

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