The cycle of catastrophe

Andrew Stephen

Published 03 January 2008

Condoleezza Rice in effect signed Bhutto's death warrant when she phoned her in Dubai last October and said Bhutto had full US support

Poor, poor Americans. They just can't help f*****g up the world, just as predictably as Philip Larkin's parents f****d up their children and handed down unhappiness from generation to generation. The moment I heard of Benazir Bhutto's assassination I thought of Larkin's ode to misery, wondering if any American might be able to break the spell of nationalistic self-delusion, and face the fact that it was yet another disastrous US foreign policy that had directly resulted in multiple fatalities, including the death of a famous 54-year-old woman, in December in a faraway land called Pakistan.

But I was wrong. There has been no contrition whatsoever over Bhutto's death, let alone any admission of culpability. Yet Condoleezza Rice, the calamitous secretary of state, in effect signed Bhutto's death warrant when she phoned her in Dubai last October and said Bhutto had full US support to return to contest this month's elections; a week later Bhutto duly did so, and was all but blown to pieces within hours.

In a 13 December email sent on her BlackBerry to her old teenage chum Peter Galbraith, former US ambassador to Croatia, Bhutto appealed for help to obtain the equipment and support to jam roadside bombs. But, by that time, it was too late. The deal had been done, hammered out by Bhutto in negotiations with the state department during two visits to Washington in August and September. It was signed and sealed when Rice's deputy, John Negroponte, flew to Islamabad in September to tell Pervez Musharraf that the Bush administration had decided Pakistan should be ruled jointly, with the then general as president and Bhutto as prime minister.

Musharraf would continue the steely military rule that had kept the lid on Pakistan for eight years, and Bhutto would provide just a whiff of the democratisation the administration holds so dear when it suits its needs. Revolting though the plan was to Musharraf, he has never forgotten the infamous dressing-down he allegedly received from Richard Armitage, the US deputy secretary of state from 2001-2005: "Do what we say, or we'll bomb you back into the Stone Age." It had the desired effect of cowing him into compliance, and his dictatorship has since received roughly $10bn from Washington.

Musharraf duly gave in to US pressure to drop serious corruption charges against Bhutto and to agree to her becoming Pakistan's prime minister yet again. The $250,000 she had paid in the first half of 2007 to Burson-Marsteller, the Washington PR firm whose clientele has ranged from the Argentinian junta to Blackwater, had been worth its weight in gold.

Heaven knows, though, whether Musharraf really did accept Bhutto's return, or whether he hoodwinked the Americans and had her killed. But because of the heartbreaking short-sightedness of US foreign policy, a friend one minute is an enemy the next, and vice versa. Huge sums of American money change hands meantime.

It was not so long ago that an attractive young woman named Benazir Bhutto wooed lecherous old DC politicians into lavishing funds on mujahedin heroically resisting the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan. Yet almost overnight those same mujahedin found themselves labelled as enemy Taliban responsible for 9/11, and Afghanistan was being bombed enthusiastically.

The cycle of catastrophe perpetuates itself. FDR puts the Shah into power in Tehran; Ayatollah Khomeini overthrows him in 1979, finishing off the Carter administration by holding 52 US diplomats hostage for 444 days; Reagan reacts by arming the neighbouring Saddam Hussein to the teeth, even sending the young Donald Rumsfeld to suck up to him; emboldened by US support and his new military power, Saddam invades Kuwait and precipitates war; the second Bush administration declares revenge and plunges Iraq into bloody civil war. Which brings us back to Iran, and the determination of neocon hawks to nuke it back to its senses in 2008.

The underlying problem, I've come to believe, is that Americans make the blind assumption that democracy and freedom are synonymous with their values; that what many Americans still see as their country's manifest destiny bestows on them the right to rearrange the world as they see fit, toying with countries, until they tire and move on to the next. What never fades is an underlying faith that US dollars and might can magically conjure up the scenario that Washington wants. That is a doomed strategy, of course; they don't mean to, these Americans, but they continually f**k us up, you see.

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9 comments from readers

Cybertiger
03 January 2008 at 15:32

Jesus turned water into wine: the catastrophists miraculously turn blood into oil.

factfinder
04 January 2008 at 12:33

Andrew Stephen asserts that FDR put the Shah into power. That is incorrect as he replaced his deposed father in September 1941 - two months before the US entered the second world war. It was the British and the USSR who made that fateful decision.

Cybertiger
04 January 2008 at 14:42

“Poor, poor Americans. They just can't help f*****g up the world …”

If only these poor Americans would f**k off back to America … and pull up the drawbridge too.

gnuneo
04 January 2008 at 17:59

good article, however one is always left with a suspicion, that behind all these f**k ups is an actual plan - perhaps not that every step is planned exactly, but there is indeed a logic behind these moves that fail so regularly.

the logic is very simple, and does not require stepping into the turbulent waters of conspiracists.

it is this: that those in power, seek to expand that power, with the means and policies that they perceive will achieve that.

one would have to be an ignorant fool if one believes that the perceived interests of the mythic 'nation' always, or even rarely, coincide with the interests of the rulers of said nation.

thus we can see, that although *America's* interests are harmed by the catastrophic policies towards the ME, the *rulers* of America are getting rather rich off the tax-dollars of normal Americans. Instability in Pakistan is certainly not in the best interests of the *American people*, but the rulers of America can benefit personally in myriad ways.

when one looks at situations as multiple colliding systems (such as the interests of rulers and People), then a clearer picture emerges.

indeed, such analysis can be taken further.

there was division in the Bush Admin about the GW2 - the militarists wanted a geo-political base, and expanded military spending, with a 'benefit' of a OPEC with US dominance and low oil prices, the oil lobby wanted higher prices, and control of the Iraqi oil-fields and processing facilities.

the people of America benefited from neither angle, and thus were sold a clear lie about WMD.

the UK govt also had its militarists, and its oil lobby, but it also had its own version of "being bombed back to the stone age" threat by the neo-cons.

all of this has been done many many times before in history, it gets quite boring when placed in the larger historical context, especially when a little research shows the same lies told to the people again and again.

what is different now, is that we HAVE WMD, America more than any other nation, but the rulers seem to be still living in the 19th century, dreaming about gun-boat diplomacy, and "their place in history".

the lessons of the world wars have largely been forgotten, and it seems will have to be relearned - we can only hope that future generations will actually have a viable planetary surface to eke out their existence on, afterwards.

Mr Fnortner
06 January 2008 at 05:14

gnuneo, It would be a better world indeed if the rules of war were changed so that only members of governments could be lawful combatants. Only members of governments should be permitted to take up arms and prosecute wars. It should be a war crime for governments to press anyone into service other than heads of state, cabinet officers, and their support staffs, say, one official per 1,000,000 population. There should be no such thing as a soldier, whether conscript, volunteer, or mercenary. Military buildups would be limited to that necessary to arm the quotient of government officials listed on the roster of official combatants. These would include the usual handguns, semiautomatic and automatic weapons, artillery, tanks, assorted motor vehicles, aircraft as needed, a ship or two as practicable, no WMDS, and ammunition. Some rocks and sticks, and a white flag would also be useful. The U.N. could easily oversee this for all member nations with ease. And, I believe, the world would breathe a little easier.

gnuneo
06 January 2008 at 17:50

ROTFLMAO - Mr Fnortner, i can tell you that you certainly have *my* vote! :D

Mr Fnortner
06 January 2008 at 20:28

I say we get started. Who shall we write?

Carl Jones
07 January 2008 at 13:05

"Good article"?lol Mr Stephens, you article is nieve beyond belief. Why is that MSM hacks continue to protray NWO policies, as flawed?lol

The elite continue to get rich and most of the rest are getting getting poorer. We now have a NWO front stretching from Beirut to Karachi in Pakistan. Two of these nations are known nuclear powers and one has 2 nukes, but the NWO doesn`t want you to know it and in case you wear blinkers. Nations off the Middle East are being armed to the teeth.

The NWO could let off a nuke tommorrow and the MSM will be peddling NWO stories that a nuke must have slipped into the wrong hands....oh dear, what a shame.lol

The last NWO report on Iranian nuke developement said Iran stopped this years ago...Bush knew about this reports one week before release. Usually these anti neocon appearing documents are delayed by being sent back for redrafting, or are thrown into the bin. But Bush did nothing, so we should assume that this report will at some stage be shown to be bad intelligence...oh dear, another CIA intelligence oversight.lol

Anyone who believes the UK/US/Israeli NWO axis of evil, is some how chasing events, as Andrew Stephens suggests, is nieve and bordering on foolish.

Dispite the intelligence, the US still has the largest gathring of naval power in the Gulf area since the Second World War. It is rumored that Turkey has over 250,000 troops who can left turn into Iran. The US has built up troop numbers in Iraq...not that they are on the streets...oh no, they are waiting for bigger fish to fry. Even British forces have moved closer to the Iranian border. With two CIA rebble forces numbering around 100,000 men, 250,000 Turks, 80,000 US troops in Iraq and 25,000 in Afghanistan. Thats over 450,000 men on the ground ready to go!lol

At the high tables in London and Washington, there is a new mantra...first use of nukes is legitimate. Even Mr Stephens conceeds that use of nukes by the NWO is very likely in 2008. This NWO policy has everything to do with dealing with Russia and China. India, as it happens sides with Russia and China, so you can see where this is going.

Carl Jones
09 January 2008 at 16:40

Sorry about the mistakes in the comment above.

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About the writer

Andrew Stephen

Andrew Stephen was appointed US Editor of the New Statesman in 2001, having been its Washington correspondent and weekly columnist since 1998. He is a regular contributor to BBC news programs and to The Sunday Times Magazine. He has also written for a variety of US newspapers including The New York Times Op-Ed pages. He came to the US in 1989 to be Washington Bureau Chief of The Observer and in 1992 was made Foreign Correspondent of the Year by the American Overseas Press Club for his coverage.

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