The scramble for Africa's oil
Within a decade, the US will be heavily dependent on African oil. Little wonder the Pentagon is prep
By Christopher Thompson Published 14 June 2007The Pentagon is to reorganise its military command structure in response to growing fears that the United States is seriously ill-equipped to fight the war against terrorism in Africa. It is a dramatic move, and an admission that the US must reshape its whole military policy if it is to maintain control of Africa for the duration of what Donald Rumsfeld has called "the long war". Suddenly the world's most neglected con tinent is assuming an increasing global importance as the international oil industry begins to exploit more and more of the west coast of Africa's abundant reserves.
The Pentagon at present has five geographic Unified Combatant Commands around the world, and responsibility for Africa is awkwardly divided among three of these. Most of Africa - a batch of 43 countries - falls under the European Command (Eucom), with the remainder divided between the Pacific Command and Central Command (which also runs the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan). Now the Pentagon - under the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the defence department - is working on formal proposals for a unified military command for the continent under the name "Africom".
This significant shift in US relations with Africa comes in the face of myriad threats: fierce economic competition from Asia; increasing resource nationalism in Russia and South America; and instability in the Middle East that threatens to spill over into Africa.
The Pentagon hopes to finalise Africom's structure, location and budget this year. The expectation is that it can break free from Eucom and become operative by mid-2008.
"The break from Europe will occur before 30 September 2008," Professor Peter Pham, a US adviser on Africa to the Pentagon told the New Statesman. "The independent command should be up and running by this time next year."
A Pentagon source says the new command, which was originally given the green light by the controversial former US defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld, is likely to be led by William "Kip" Ward, the US army's only four-star African-American general. In 2005, Ward was appointed the US security envoy to the Middle East and he is reportedly close to President George W Bush. He also has boots-on-the-ground experience in Africa: he was a commander during Bill Clinton's ill-fated mission in Somalia in 1993 and he served as a military representative in Egypt in 1998. Ward is now the deputy head of Eucom.
America's new Africa strategy reflects its key priorities in the Middle East: oil and counter-terrorism. Currently, the US has in place the loosely defined Trans-Sahara Counter-Terrorism Initiative, incorporating an offshoot of Operation Enduring Freedom that is intended to keep terrorist networks out of the vast, unguarded Sahel. But the lack of a coherent and unified policy on Africa is, according to some observers, hampering America's efforts in the Middle East. US military sources estimate that up to a quarter of all foreign fighters in Iraq are from Africa, mostly from Algeria and Morocco.
Moreover, there is increasing alarm within the US defence establishment at the creeping "radicalisation" of Africa's Muslims, helped along by the export of hardline, Wahhabi-style clerics from the Arabian peninsula.
"The terrorist challenge [has] increased in Africa in the past year - it's gotten a new lease on life," according to Pham.
But it is the west's increasing dependency on African oil that gives particular urgency to these new directions in the fight against terrorism. Africa's enormous, and largely untapped, reserves are already more important to the west than most Americans recognise.
In March 2006, speaking before the Senate armed services committee, General James Jones, the then head of Eucom, said: "Africa currently provides over 15 per cent of US oil imports, and recent explorations in the Gulf of Guinea region indicate potential reserves that could account for 25-35 per cent of US imports within the next decade."
These high-quality reserves - West African oil is typically low in sulphur and thus ideal for refining - are easily accessible by sea to western Europe and the US. In 2005, the US imported more oil from the Gulf of Guinea than it did from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait combined. Within the next ten years it will import more oil from Africa than from the entire Middle East. Western oil giants such as ExxonMobil, Chevron, France's Total and Britain's BP and Shell plan to invest tens of billions of dollars in sub-Saharan Africa (far in excess of "aid" inflows to the region).
But though the Gulf of Guinea is one of the few parts of the world where oil production is poised to increase exponentially in the near future, it is also one of the most unstable. In the big three producer countries, Nigeria, Equatorial Guinea and Angola, oil wealth has been a curse for many, enriching political elites at the expense of impoverished citizens. Angola is now China's main supplier of crude oil, supplanting Saudi Arabia last year. The Chinese, along with the rest of oil- hungry Asia, are looking covetously at the entire region's reserves.
Realpolitik of what suits
Looming over West Africa is the spectre of the southern Niger Delta area, which accounts for most of Nigeria's 2.4 million barrels a day. Conflict here offers a taste of what could afflict all of sub-Saharan Africa's oilfields. Since 2003, the Delta has become a virtual war zone as heavily armed rival gangs - with names such as the Black Axes and Vikings - battle for access to pipelines and demand a bigger cut of the petrodollar.
Oil theft, known as "bunkering", costs Nigeria some $4bn (£2.05bn) a year, while foreign companies have been forced to scale back production after kidnappings by Delta militants. Such uncertainties help send world oil prices sky-high.
The Pentagon's new Africa policy is to include a "substantial" humanitarian component, aimed partly at minimising unrest and crime. But the reality is that a bullish China is willing to offer billions in soft loans and infrastructure projects - all with no strings attached - to secure lucrative acreage.
"It's like going back to a Cold War era of politics where the US backs one political faction because their political profile suits their requirements," says Patrick Smith, editor of the newsletter Africa Confidential, widely read in policy circles. "It's a move away from criteria of good governance to what is diplomatically convenient."
According to Nicholas Shaxson, author of Poisoned Wells: the Dirty Politics of African Oil, "[Africom] comes in the context of a growing conflict with China over our oil supplies."
Africom will significantly increase the US military presence on the continent. At present, the US has 1,500 troops stationed in Africa, principally at its military base in Djibouti, in the eastern horn. That could well double, according to Pham. The US is already conducting naval exercises off the Gulf of Guinea, in part with the intention of stopping Delta insurgents reaching offshore oil rigs. It also plans to beef up the military capacity of African governments to handle their dissidents, with additional "rapid-reaction" US forces available if needed. But - echoing charges levelled at US allies elsewhere in the "war on terror" - there are fears that the many authoritarian governments in sub-Saharan Africa might use such units to crack down on internal dissent.
Raising hackles
The increased US military presence is already apparent across the Red Sea from Iraq, where, in concert with Ethiopia, Washington has quietly opened up another front in its war on terror. The target: the Somalia-based Islamists whom the Americans claim were responsible for the 1998 bombings of US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. Earlier this year, US special forces used air strikes against suspected al-Qaeda militants, killing scores.
FBI interrogators have also been despatched to Ethiopian jails, where hundreds of terror suspects - including Britons - have been held incommunicado since Ethiopia's invasion of Somalia in December last year, according to Human Rights Watch. The problem with this more confrontational approach in Africa is apparent. "There's definitely a danger of the US [being] seen as an imperial exploiter," says Shaxson. "The military presence will raise hackles in certain countries - America will have to tread lightly."
Nonetheless, the Pentagon is hoping that Africom will signal a more constructive foreign policy in the region and a break with the past. "Politically [Africa] is important and that's going to increase in coming years," says Pham. "It's whether the US can sustain the initiative."
African oil: the numbers
22% of US crude oil imports came from Nigeria in the first quarter of 2007
25% of US crude imports came from Saudi Arabia in the same period
75% of the Nigerian government's income is oil-related
800,000 Nigerian estimate for barrels of oil lost each day through leaks, stoppages or theft by rebels
$2.3bn cost of building Chevron's Benguela Belize platform off the coast of Angola
Research by Jonathan Pearson
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10 comments
Stop right there. Please America, do not form a military command to oversee another looting spree of The African continent. The rest of the world especially Europe and America had benefited immensely from the exploitation of the natural and human resources of the continent. How long will this go on?. The almighty Roman Catholic Church blatantly ordered the partition of the continent to its allies a century ago. Can that establishment own up the mayhem and suffering that was perpetuated on the populace of the continent? Can anyone out there explain the reason why the most endowed continent in natural resources is the most deprived? The ordeal of the African people is a potential bleeding ground for a worst kind of uprising the world will ever see if things continue as'' business as usual''.
Please America do partner with Africa for mutual benefit, not exploitation. Many people in Africa would love a partnership with the USA than with China but on equal therms. China is now a very hungry elephant, they will eat up the resources they can lay hands on at the moment without much ethics. Sudan is a perfect example. They will rather see the masses in Dafour suffer than impose economic restrictions on the Sudanese government because of their economic interest. American politicians and policy makers should go to the drawing board and rethink Africa's policy or a rude awaking is in store for them.
It is time Africa partner with the rising China. Africa has lost its patience with the West who only portray Africa as a crisis and disease ridden continent . Even this article mentioned Black Axe and Vikings as militants fighting for oil rights in the Niger Delta. That information is wrong. The two groups are University fraternities all across the country and have nothing to do with oil.
It is time to stop this misinformation about Africa. Tell your news medias to do their homework and stop showing pictures of hunger, disease, war and HIV as if that is what Africa is all about.
Africa is much more and the Chinese recognise that. We have emerging markets, rich cultures which the World never get to see thanks to the western news media.
I urge African government to get rid of those western aid agencies who perpetrate this crime on Africa by showing the bad side in order to continue getting grants from their respective governments.
Tommorrow belongs to AFRICA and CHINA.
I too believe the United States may come into direct conflict with China over Africa's oil and other resources. Whilst China is offering Africa goods and development projects on a vast scale, the US is only offering paper in return for oil. The dollar is substantially overvalued and the African's, if they play their cards right, could form a strategic alliance with China that could prove of enormous value to them.
This whole terrorism threat is a more or less a sham, designed as an excuse, or propaganda, so the Americans can use military force to gain access to the world's remaining sources of energy at any price.
I think that the West viz. US ,is well on it's way towards world domination, the same as Hitler and Napoleon before him. At least that is the plan. But like the two previous dictators, they will bite off more than they can chew and meet their end.....and that will please me to no end. Terrorism is just a sham and an excuse just like the WMD and the gullible Americans will swallow it with relish. They know in their hearts what their Govt. is trying to do and secretly hope that theysucceed because they think, that will protect their current standard of living. I believe they are in for a major surprise, deservedly.
- Hawkeye
The Road Ahead / Paul Metz
From: "Paul Metz"
Bryan,
In addition to the introduction of Land Value Taxation instead of existing counterproductive taxes on property, I believe that a broad tax reform is a- if not THE - key instrument to achieve a sustainable, i.e. fair for all the world's citizens and ecologically future-proof. That reform can - and should for political acceptance - be revenue neutral and give price incentives that benefit 'goods' and punish 'bads'.One consequence of this concept I have started to promote recently: the recognition that all world's citizens have equal right to emit greenhouse gases. The new foundation B4FET - Business for Fair Emission Trade - will try to educate the negotiators of the Kyoto Protocol and help establish an allocation of emission rights mechanism that is fair and, as a consequence, attractive for the citizens of all countries (not necessarily for the ruling elites). Key outcome would be that each citizen - as a shareholderof Earth's Global Commons - has an annual coupon, which can be sold and generates a "microdividend". This combines climate protection with fair trade and poverty alleviation, also within rich countries - or, as Dave names it, 'redistribution of wealth'. In my experience 'fair trade' is much less unwelcome in the mainstream than 'redistribution of .... anything'.I hope to inform on B4FET soon; we are now acquiring Dutch sponsors first. Now my weekend is over, I have some clients waiting and look forward to rejoin you next week. Paul Metz Sent: maandag 30 januari 2006 21:50
To: 'Paul Metz'
Subject Oil
Paul
I see we agree on the kind of measures needed but I'm not sure about implementation and political will. I'm all ears on any suggestions about getting the global community to co-operate in time. Recently I watched the Indian Minister for the Environment say that India wanted to do its share of polluting and wasting. We in the West have been very hypocritical with our demands and we show little sign of changing. China feels the same way, not to mention the list of developing countries. I agree we are on our own.
Cheers
Bryan
From: Paul Metz
Sent: Tuesday, 31 January 2006 11:41 a.m.
To: 'Bryan Pepperell'
Subject: Environment and Oil
Bryan,
It is even worse: it is in our self interest to make the growth of India, China, etc sustainable. And our leaders do not realize that, they let 'unsustainable outsourcing' happen and thus destroy the planet faster than ever before.
Yes, good governance is the scarcest resource on Earth, precautionary approaches are illusions as a result. But we should not stop promoting and practising them ....
Paul
To: Paul Metz
The Netherlands
Subject Oil
By now the world is using one thousand barrels of oil a second. Your own examples show that demand can only increase with outsourcing.
We can only continue to speak out about this (coming?) crisis. It appears to be moving into a terminal stage.
Perhaps other people in the political strata will begin to speak up. I live in hope.
Cheers
Bryan Pepperell
Wellington
New Zealand
we maybe witnessing the last stages of imperialism,and the u.s. the most to lose.......sad part we have no winston churchill to protest ........
China is clearly trying to take over Africa and is buying the place up. They have bought Sudan's oil and are closley linked to Mugabe. (who is such an Africanist that he lives in a Pagoda and eats rice). But they are not all popular. Cheap imports undermine local clothing industry and shops. The market places are full of cheap Chinese goods, which undermines any attempt to develop local industries. The Chinese traders employ their own families and import workers from China to work the business and industry. Unlike Western investors, Chinese do not employ many local people. There is a lot of resentment. Riots and looting and burning of Chinese shops have taken place in Zambia and elsewhere.
Sub Sahara Africa will soon be a hotbed of discord as it becomes a battleground for the US and China seeking to sate their lust for Africa's bounty at the least cost.
Where Oil, Diamonds, NG, etc. are concerned, he US-EU have a long and storied 'tradition' of enslaving, looting, pillaging and destroying African nations to obtain their fill. More recently, the US-EU (Trilateral Commission) has purposely backed any number of blatantly incompetent Sub Saharan 'strong men' so as to ravage their nations' Wealth. In myriad instances, they have fostered rebellion and assassinated the few competent ones such as a Patrice Lumumba all in the name of GREED.
If African nations have been closely following Iraq's recent history, they would do well to take from it the appropriate lessons...For whether it's George Bush, Hillary Clinton or Al Gore, Africa and Africans would do well to chose relationships with China over the US-EU. They should note that both the US-EU and China are doubtlessly dishonest and dishonerable but the latter is 'down front' in its designs while the deceit of the former is legend...
China's interests in the region are very well established. So is its human rights record. Don't let the left-wing default position of unquestionaingly loathing America blind you to predictably bleaker outcomes under Chinese economic dominance.
Chinese prisoners used to build Angola's railways.
Where is the report in this august magazine or the other MSM on the use of prisoners (slave labour?) by the Chinese at home and in "development" projects in Africa. I have heard reports from people who were in Angola of prison camps for Chinese labour being used to to build the railways in Angola.
People should not let their self hatred and anti Americanism blind them to what is actually happening.
Using prisoner slave labour is a traditional communist practice.