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Let’s step out of the lab as the climate changes around us

Go on out and celebrate: the ozone hole is in recovery. For the first time since the 1987 Montreal Protocol banned the use of ozone-destroying chemicals - notably chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) - scientists have measured an upswing in the level of ozone over Antarctica.

While the party gets going, however, it is worth taking a moment to reflect that the discovery of the hole in the ozone layer was the only thing that mobilised politicians to act. When it comes to global action based on science, only desperate times seem to call for any measures at all.

If scientists want to protect the planet, just publishing the data is not enough. The first practical research evidence of the destructive power of ozone was published in June 1974. It was at once clear, scientifically speaking, that we needed a ban on CFCs, but the science alone couldn't make it happen.

The 13 years that followed were a period of obfuscation, lies and industry-sponsored PR campaigns against those researchers who were most vocal in supporting a ban. Only after they discovered catastrophic environmental damage over the Antarctic - a huge opening through which cancer-causing solar radiation was pouring - did anything change.

It was the same story with uninhibited use of pesticides in America; it was only once the damage to the natural world became too obvious to ignore that the politicians acted. Similarly, the effects of acid rain were felt long after scientists first sounded warnings and long, long before legislation curbed industrial emissions of sulphur dioxide.

Perhaps three precedents will be enough to stop climate change becoming another example, but the scientists involved shouldn't assume anything. Sherwood Rowland, who won a 1995 Nobel prize for his role in making the scientific case for the Montreal Protocol, has cried shame on the passive attitude of scientists.

“What's the use of having developed a science well enough to make predictions," he said, “if, in the end, all we're willing to do is stand around and wait for them to come true?"

Many of Rowland's colleagues ostracised him for his activism. Even James Lovelock called for “a bit of British caution" in the face of his zeal. But right now caution is the last thing we need.

Arrested development

In August, it will be 30 years since the climatologist James Hansen published the first scientific projections of the runaway greenhouse effect. Frustrated by a lack of legislative response in the ensuing decades, he has resorted to activism, repeatedly getting himself arrested at climate-related protests. It is an unusual stance for a scientist to take, especially one who is so senior (Hansen is director of Nasa's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York), but it is becoming increasingly necessary, he reckons. History makes it clear that it is not enough for scientists to publish the research; they also need to work to make sure it gets an appropriate response.

According to the UN Environment Programme, the Montreal Protocol has helped prevent up to 20 million additional cases of skin cancer. Left unchecked, global warming would cause much more damage. It would be astonishingly stupid of us to repeat our mistakes and wait for catastrophe to be our motivator yet again.

Michael Brooks will be appearing at the Hay Festival on 1 June

Tags: Science

5 comments

Ian Eiloart's picture

The State of the Union address might not have mentioned Climate Change directly, it made plenty of indirect references.

Examples from the address: "…join me in setting a new goal: by 2035, 80% of America's electricity will come from clean energy sources…" (he went on to list low carbon sources)

"I'm asking Congress to eliminate the billions in taxpayer dollars we currently give to oil companies. "

"Within 25 years, our goal is to give 80% of Americans access to high-speed rail… "

"we can … become the first country to have 1 million electric vehicles on the road by 2015"

Captain Sensible's picture

Well I notice the autumn leaves in autumn so this must be proof that saxaphones contribute to climate change.

Vincent Kosik's picture

What about ocean acidification due to burning of fossil fuels and the carbon being absorbed by the waters turning it less alkaline? Yes, if we continue on this path marine life will surely die off.
This is such basic science it is hard to deal with those in denial over and over again!

Meme Mine's picture

Here is 100% proof that the “thousands” of consensus climate change scientists grossly, if not criminally exaggerated climate change:
1- 100% silence from the disaster promising climate scientists when Obama didn’t even mention the crisis ONCE, in his state of the union speech in Feb/2011, the year climate change celebrated it’s 25th year of warnings,
2-100% silence from the thousands of consensus and crisis warning scientists when all American IPCC research funding was pulled.
3-110% lack of concern from scientists who, for predicting a comet hit of a global emergency, SHOULD have been crying all over CNN and all media and marching in the streets to regain concern for their cries of “catastrophic” climate crisis.
4-120% lack of anger from you climate change believers, directed to the scientists who obviously road a gravy train of greed and condemned your kids to a certain death by CO2.

And here is proof climate change was kept alive by a liberal ideological agenda:
“Why would the left allow The World Bank, the UN, corporations and carbon STOCK MARKETS to determine how climate mitigation is managed in a fair way to the people of the planet?” Think of climate change being to liberalism what the Iraq Wars were to the Bush family name.

andyg's picture

"Sherwood Rowland, who won a 1995 Nobel prize for his role in making the scientific case for the Montreal Protocol".

Frank Sherwood Roland and Mario Molina to be exact.
And given the ignorance of the commentators above, it was this discovery by these two men that has probably saved humanity from devestation. You would need to begin with Joseph Fourier and Svante Arrhenius to understand the full effects of a depleting ozone layer. The IPCC put their reputation on the line by declaring that human beings had probably contributed to the destruction of the ozone.
The report has one or two inaccuracies.

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