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Leader: World leaders need to become green heroes too

Published 19 November 2009

Without the requisite political will, the prospects for our planet remain bleak

Leadership as yet unseen from Obama is required. Credit: Getty Images

"It may seem impossible to imagine," wrote Elizabeth Kolbert in Field Notes from a Catastrophe, her important book about climate change, "that a technologically advanced society could choose, in essence, to destroy itself, but that is what we are in the process of doing". Few doubt that we are living at a time of emergency. It is understood now how quickly the earth is warming, because of the increase in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases arising from human activity. If it continues at its present rate, we know what our fate will be, and yet we seem set on destroying ourselves.

So it was no surprise when President Obama said that there would be little chance of achieving a legally binding multi­lateral agreement at the United Nations Climate Change Conference, which begins in Copenhagen on 7 December. The Copenhagen event has been used as a focus of environmental efforts by governments, charities and campaigners around the world. Every movement working towards dramatic global change needs a deadline. But the green movement needs it more than most: "Just a few degrees more", writes Kolbert, "and the Earth will be hotter than it has been at any time since our species evolved". The consequences of such warming would be devastating. The world's population is 6.7 billion and that figure is projected to rise to 8.5 billion by 2030. The Met Office calculates that the number of people living in water-stressed regions, currently around 1.5 billion, could increase to nearly 7 billion by the 2050s, because of climate change and population growth. As long as there remains a deadlock between developed and developing countries over who should act first, and, most drastically, on cutting CO2 emissions, this grim outlook will not improve.

Between 1830 and 2000, 30 per cent of carbon emissions were from the US, 30 per cent from Europe and 6 per cent from China. The developed world's debt is much the greater - even if China is the largest CO2 emitter today. To overcome the impasse, a vital combination of humility and political leadership of a kind as yet unseen from any world leader - including President Obama - is required.

In Britain, leadership on climate change has been more ­impressive than in the US. Ed Miliband, the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, has acknowledged the hypocrisy of the rich world's position: lecturing poorer countries on how to manage their economy and energy supplies when it is the developed world's over-consumption and model of aggressive high-growth capitalism that caused the crisis in the first place.
A problem all political leaders face on this issue is a sceptical public. Climate-change denial has become a popular sport. In the US, the number of people who believe that the planet is warming has, over the past two years, dropped from 77 per cent to 57 per cent. Meanwhile, a recent poll for the Times revealed that only 41 per cent of the British population accept as an established scientific fact that global warming is taking place and is largely man-made.

Without the requisite political will, and with the increase in public doubt that climate change is happening at all, the prognosis for our planet remains bleak. However, as our cover story (page 28) demonstrates, the world is not only populated with green villains: the heroes are plentiful, too. None of them is a politician; they are, rather, mostly activists. From Vandana Shiva in India and Wen Bo in China, to Bill McKibben in the US and Franny Armstrong in the UK, these heroes are people who lead from the bottom up, corralling support for their cause by being passionate, committed and practically engaged. If the politicians can only delay and equivocate, we must take matters into our own hands.

 

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2 comments from readers

Gideon Polya
19 November 2009 at 14:02

Well said: "If the politicians can only delay and equivocate, we must take matters into our own hands. "

Unfortunately Copenhagen is shaping up to be a climate policy disaster.

While top climate scientists demand a return of atmospheric CO2 from the current 390 ppm (and increasing at 2.5 ppm per year) to 300-350 ppm, world governments are all committed to increasing GHG pollution.

While according to UK Tyndall Centre scientists a 6-8% annual decrease in GHG is needed just to maintain 450 ppm CO2-equivalent (noting that the atmospheric GHG concentration is currently about 460 ppm CO2-e) (see: http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/journal_papers/fulltex... .) the best on offer is a 2% annual reduction (UK, US) and world leading per capita GHG polluter Australia intends to increase its annual GHG pollution by about 3% pa.

While a conservative scientific assessment is of the need for 350 ppm CO2 by 2050, an appalling 118 out of 120 world MPs polled rejected this as infeasible at a recent Copenhagen Forum (see: http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=49010 )..

Worse still, the annual GHG pollution now appears to be 50% bigger than previously thought, the livestock GHG contribution is over 51% rather than 18% (as estimated some years ago by FAO; see: http://www.worldwatch.org/files/pdf/Livestock%20and%20Climat... ) and major GHG polluters (notably the US and Australia) are committed to ignoring agricultural GHG pollution (i.e. to excluding any action on over 50% of the GHG pollution problem)..

Cowardly, anti-science, corporate lobbyist-informed politicians are betraying the planet. Bottom up action (sanctions, boycotts, climate accountability) is the only way to save the Humanity from a worsening climate genocide that is predicted, from the estimates of Dr James Lovelock FRS, to kill about 10 billion people this century (see "Man-made global warming Is it too late to stop climate catastrophe?": http://mwcnews.net/content/view/34410/42/ ).

writeon
19 November 2009 at 21:37

Bottom up action, by a population increasinglyaware of the disasterous and terrible course we are on as a civilzation, is, realistically, our only hope for systemic change. However, 'climate radicalization' is already seen as a coming threat by our rulers, a direct challenge to their interests, power, wealth, and control. The line between 'bottom up action' and 'eco terrorism', as defined by the corporate state, is fluid and will be stamped down on hard in the future.

In practical terms, the big problem, is how on earth we get the rich countries to consume and pollute less than they do now, when they are on a path towards even more over-consumption of the world's finite resources. A major stumbling-block is the entrenched corruption, brutal conservatism, and subservience to corporate interests, of the US Congress. Getting them to vote for an international treaty with real teeth, which binds the US and reduces it's 'freedom' , is, I fear, an almost impossible task, without some kind of revolt by the American people akin to the Civil Rights Movement and the anti-war movement in the sixties.

Without massive preasure by activists, bottom up democracy if you like, Congress, which is controlled and financed by corporate business interests, will never pass any meaningful climate legislation.

It's not a question of the political will of individual politicians introducing reforms, that is, unfortunately, irrelevant. What really counts is the collective will of the people to force political leaders to change and act to stop runaway climatic disaster. Change is not going to come through the ballot box. That particular avenue is throughly compromised and under lock and key, in a word - controlled - from the top down.

It's not as if we don't have the resources to adapt, reform and change, we do. We could, in theory, divert all the world's grossly wasteful military expenditure towards mitigating climate change, only we can't, because we'd all be cut down in the attempt.

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