Darling ducked the difficult decisions

Mark Lynas

Published 19 March 2008

The Chancellor can no longer afford to ignore the contribution of international aviation and shipping to our carbon footprint

Like the Lord Almighty, the Chancellor giveth, and the Chancellor taketh away. On the one hand a 10 per cent increase in plane duty will force aviation to pay more of its environmental costs and help reduce emissions. On the other, Alistair Darling's explicit support for the expansion of both Heathrow and Stansted airports will force emissions ever upwards. A higher rate of first-year tax on polluting 4x4s will reduce emissions. But postponing the increase in fuel duty will increase them.

If his Budget speech to the Commons is to be believed, Darling has made up his mind: climate change is the greatest challenge facing us all, and "there will be catastrophic economic and social consequences if we fail to act". In response to this, with great determination and steely efficiency, the Chancellor . . . fails to act. There was no more money for the cash-strapped low carbon buildings programme, so the UK domestic renewables sector will continue to decline. Aviation can expand virtually unchecked. By caving in to the roads lobby and postponing the increase in fuel duty, he is making fossil fuel slightly cheaper in real terms, helping to increase consumption.

Darling also wants to "encourage sustainable biofuels", apparently not realising that in today's world the phrase is an oxymoron. He is happy to jump on the Daily Mail's plastic bags bandwagon - a campaign of marginal importance environmentally - but unwilling to do anything to encourage manufacturers to produce goods more sustainably. And so it goes on.

Big decisions have been postponed. Instead of agreeing that the UK's reductions targets should be bumped up to 80 per cent by 2050, in line with the latest science, this decision has been handed to the Committee on Climate Change and put off until December. There were no headline announcements on road pricing; it will be subject to further study. There was no announcement on feed-in tariffs to support micro-renewables, despite this being heavily trailed.

New houses will be zero-carbon from 2016, and commercial properties zero-carbon from 2019. But there is nothing substantial to reduce pollution from the existing housing stock, which at 27 per cent of UK emissions is one of our big gest sources of CO2. The government will give £26m to something called the Green Homes Service, but that has yet to be launched - and £26m really isn't very much money. At this rate of progress, our existing homes will be carbon-neutral by about the year 5000, when most of Britain will be under water.

The inescapable conclusion is that if the government does pass the Climate Change Bill as intended and set itself legally binding cuts in carbon, it will be hard-pressed to achieve them - particularly if the 2050 target is indeed raised to 80 per cent, as the green coalition group Stop Climate Chaos and many others are demanding. A little-noticed win for the climate-change movement was achieved recently when the government agreed to annual indicators of progress on carbon cuts, rather than just the five-yearly budgets. But this will make it even more difficult for ministers to duck difficult decisions, as Darling is doing by pledging commitment to acting on global warming while doing nothing substantial to reduce emissions.

The beauty of the Climate Change Bill approach is that it will forcibly iron out these inconsistencies in government policy. Future chan cellors will not be able to stand up before the country and simply pledge action; they will be judged by what happens with carbon emissions from year to year. If a future Alistair Darling wants to make petrol cheaper for motorists, thereby increasing emissions, he must force even deeper cuts in another sector of the economy to make up for it. There is no middle way.

But the bill still has a rather large hole in it - one large enough to fly a jet or sail a tanker through. International aviation and shipping are still excluded from our domestic targets, on the grounds that this aspect of our carbon footprint is shared with other countries. Ministers pretend that the issue is terribly complicated, but it really isn't. We could simply count all the emissions from each departing plane or ship, but ignore those that arrive. It's all the same to the planet.

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7 comments from readers

DrColes
19 March 2008 at 22:07

Over 400 World Wide Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made Global Warming Claims in 2007. See http://tinyurl.com/2dv6nz

Carl Jones
19 March 2008 at 22:29

DrColes; I posted a link on a previous Lynas article about a recent and serious climate change conference in New York, as usual, the MSM and Mr Lynas ingnored the event.

Mr Lynas is also ignoring the latest climate data which is showing a 0.50-0.75 degree fall in global temperatures in the last year, this wipes out all alledged global warming over the last hundred years.LOL

Custard Pie
20 March 2008 at 00:00

Mr Lynas, the New Statesman 'Environmental Correspondent' actually has no qualifications in science at all and is in fact a self-confessed 'activist' so he's got a vested interest in doom and gloom and climate scarmongering.

He believes that we are on the verge of runnaway global warming and that there are 'tipping points' just around the corner - all with no real scientific evidence to support it.

He is biased and bombastic and a disgrace to the tradition of free intellectual debate at the New Statesman.

In fact his only claim to fame is that he was the idiot who thrust a custard pie into the face of Bjorn Lomborg during a talk at Borders in Oxford because he didn't agree with his stance on global warming!

The guys an idiot. Shame on you New Statesman. No wonder your circulation is plumeting.

TheElitesWin
27 March 2008 at 09:43

I am no scientist, but having read and researched into the matter from many credible scientists and documentaries, I ca say with certainty that global warming is happening, "BUT IT’S NOT MAN MADE" like the parasitic elitist would have us think.

As a consequence of their scaremongering, ordinary people are seeing their food prices sky rocket, because the crops are making so called bio fuels.

Maybe that's all they care about; starve the people whilst the elite get rich on probably their shares in the farming industry.

TheElitesWin
27 March 2008 at 09:50

By the way, governments can reach their CO2 emissions level targets, if they killed off most of the population who produce CO2 when exhaling. This is exactly what the secret bilderburg group want 80% reduction in human population. And don't forget, some of the prominant politicians attend these secret meetings.

TheElitesWin
27 March 2008 at 09:52

And please don't make religous statements such as,

"Like the Lord Almighty, the Chancellor giveth, and the Chancellor taketh away." He is nothing like the lord almighty.

Peter Martin
19 April 2008 at 23:13

Carl Jones

Before rushing out to celebrate the end of the global warming problem, you might just want to take a closer look at your claim of a 0.5C to 0.75C recent cooling or a value large enough to wipe out most of the warming recorded over the past 100 years.

I would suggest that someone has taken the figure for Jan 2007 which was unusually warm at +.63 degrees C above the mid 20th century average and the Jan 2008 figure of +0.05 deg C above average. They have subtracted one from the other and 'hey presto' 100 years of global warming has vanished.

Can we all play this game? If so, I would like to point out that by March 2008 the figure had jumped back to +0.67; or a 0.62 deg C rise in two months. That works out at 3.7 degrees C of annual global warming.

I don't think those polar bears are out of danger quite yet !

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About the writer

Mark Lynas

Mark Lynas is a climate change writer and activist, author of the acclaimed book 'High Tide' and fortnightly columnist for the New Statesman. He was selected by National Geographic as an 'Emerging Explorer' for 2006, and blogs on www.marklynas.org