Say no to protectionism

The most important focus for the left should be on equipping people to live in an uncertain economic

François Hollande may be running for president of France, but his election manifesto reads to me like a sign of the general times for the global left. Parts of it could have been written by the protesters in Athens or Madrid. Parts of it could have been lifted from Barack Obama's recent State of the Union speech. What links them is a sense of lost control and a desire to take it back. Control taken away by financial markets, by the forces of globalisation, in Europe by Brussels and, by implication, Berlin.

This is an important moment for the left. Globalisation is attacked from all sides. Capitalism is apparently in crisis. The EU's collective rush to austerity politics presents a grave threat to growth. The instinct of the left is to position itself against all three, but it needs to choose its targets carefully. This implied warning was the theme of an IPPR report I helped prepare on the "Third Wave of Globalisation".

If the left's strategy is to take back a greater measure of control over our economic lives there are plenty of credible candidates. Tougher regulation of financial markets will help, as will promoting greater long-termism in investment. Reducing deficits at an appropriate pace will help keep the bond market off our backs. But the most important focus for the left should be on equipping people to live in an uncertain economic world, not shutting that world out. Railing against globalisation misses the target.

Because globalisation itself is not really the problem. The pre-globalised world was not a secure and egalitarian paradise. Every politician who has ever uttered the words "export-led recovery" has acknowledged the reality that Britain and Europe need to sell to global markets to prosper. Our huge European single market and the growing markets of the emerging world are critical to our economic future.

However, you cannot realistically be pro-exports but anti-imports in an international economy built on global supply chains, as much of what we import we transform into goods that we then sell abroad. Every politician who has ever worried about the cost of living must have noticed that international production models have lowered the costs of the basics of life to levels that have no precedent in economic history.

The banking crisis discredited certain kinds of financial capitalism and financial regulation, not capitalism in general. It was a warning about consumer debt and the fact that you can't build an economy on it. It was a warning about short-term incentives trumping long-term goals. And in its aftermath we recognise very starkly that the gap between the rich and the rest in our society has grown unacceptably wide. But these are problems of taxation, regulation, corporate culture and personal responsibility. We still have to have faith in the basic model of an open and competitive economy.

What is undeniable is that open markets on a global scale have increased the competitive pressure on the west in a way that has made life a lot more insecure for anyone whose livelihood depends on the production of internationally traded goods, which is a very large and increasing number of us. That insecurity, coupled with the growing inequality of the past decade, is a genuine political problem that demands a real solution.

Holes in the net

The European left should seize the opportunity to argue, contrary to the prevailing political view internationally, that the European social model remains our best tool for living with globalisation. Not because it is a burden on our flexibility to compete but because, designed right, it can be central to our competitiveness. It makes us less vulnerable to volatile collapses in demand by ensuring a minimum level of income. It can make us more flexible and confident if it gives workers confidence that unemployment will not be a life-destroying tragedy. Thoughtful Republican commentators in the US have occasionally drawn the connection between the US's weak safety net and its vulnerability to blue-collar calls for job protection. If losing your job means losing your health care, protectionism will always trump openness.

There is no question that many of Europe's social models need dramatic reform to make them affordable and durable. They can be a dependency trap if badly designed. But this is a challenge of practice, not of principle. A big part of the challenge of exiting from the eurozone crisis is putting in place that reform plan. The current EU fiscal treaty prioritises deficit contraction over everything else in a way that poses a serious challenge to Europe if it is not balanced by a new, concerted growth strategy.

Our long-term strategy has to include a credible plan for deficit reduction and public-sector reform on a realistic timetable. It needs to include a growth plan that spends Europe's structural funds better on building future competitive capabilities and a medium-term prospect for collective liability of eurozone debts.

It also has to include reform of Europe's social models for a different century. The passion, pro-Europeanism and urgency in the Hollande campaign can and should be channelled into all of these aims. A realistic, responsible "Non" to some of the prevailing tenets of conservative economic strategy is needed. The same challenge faces the rest of the European centre left. The left has arguments to win this debate if it can overcome the instinct to lose it.

Lord Mandelson led a policy review for IPPR on globalisation which was published last month

23 comments

mac's picture

Public ownership of the finance industry should be the aim and policy of the Labour Party. You may think we'd need a 6th or 7th Philby-type PM mole to deliver the whole industry, but we don't. Publically owned banks and hedge funds and equal pensions for everyone (why should one 75 year old enjoy (?) a different standard of living from any other?) can be put into the manifesto. As I said, in a Penny comment, Miliband can do that (though possibly not deliver on work equality).
The feeling that capitalism is INHERENTLY unfair and UNREFORMABLE is certainly growing as is the anger THAT is causing. Miliband is behind the curve here and otherwise effective commentators like Max Keiser have it wrong. Legal capitalism is theft as much as illegal capitalism is.

mac's picture

The feeling that capitalism is INHERENTLY unfair and UNREFORMABLE is certainly growing as is the anger THAT is causing. Miliband is behind the curve here and otherwise effective commentators like Max Keiser have it wrong. Legal capitalism is theft as much as illegal capitalism is. And the idea that Glass - Steagall can avoid capitalist speculative booms and credit crunches is ludicrous. Indeed that it could have prevented this one, is wrong too. This one was caused by Bush and Greenspan acting against the Clinton plan that the poor should have cheap house, It was about deflating an economy booming on housing and share inflation and private money creation, an economy that was getting so far into hock to China and India that US capitalism was losing economic control of its own people. Who then would skivvy for US capitalism. Urgent action was required. Goodness, many governments were spending money they weren't going to pay back, that they'd borrowed from the rich, on their poor and needy. These governments were going to argue their loans were money the rich should have paid in tax in the first place. And such arguments should still be used. (Again note how rich people behaving legally at current tax rates would leave them still too rich and the poor poor )

So, the Morrison of public ownership, globally applied, please, not his grandson's 'globalisation', and his apologias for capitalism

Derek Emery's picture

The banking crisis discredited politicians because they are at the top and were supposed to be regulators not sleep at their desks. Labour built an economy based on consumer debt which is not sustainable.
The idea that' the European social model remains our best tool for living with globalisation' is not tenable.

You can't have your cake at eat it. Globalisation means that the whole world has to compete for work and jobs. This means on price for skill levels. EU wages are much higher than rest of the world for the same skill levels. These costs are doubled by EU social costs. Hence work remaining in the EU is high level work where there is little competition. Only a few have the skill levels for this work.
It is inevitable that the EU will become economically poorer as China moves further up the economic food chain and increasingly takes high level work as well from the EU because of its much lower costs.

fairplay's picture

lord slime of slimeland reminding us of how slimey he is

just another bankers puppetmaster

if only people could see thorugh this whole charade

BetterDeadthanEd's picture

Mandelson's talking rot.

Globalisation is a curse that keeps millions of Britons on the dole.

Your cheap tellies and t-shirts come at a price - perpetual dole queues.

Thank you for remaining calm while transition to a low wage economy.

gwilym rhys-jones's picture

Did you pay this sleazeball to write for you?

Mrs.Josephine Hyde-Hartley's picture

A realistic, responsible "Non" to some of the prevailing tenets of conservative economic strategy is needed.

At the moment I take this to mean the way so many so-called high flying innovators and their supporters are still using risk as a way to affect what actually matters and/or is actually happening. Sometimes the notion of risk seems the very stuff of fear and favour and it shouldn't be in our faces this way, I think.

Understandably therefore, common sense tells us we should avoid risk. Avoidance of risk is a tactic best kept for the commons since it can only be really appreciated by ordinary members of the public, in my view.

But we shouldn't be avoiding paying tax. is paying tax classed as a risk? Too many are apparently managing to avoid their responsibilities to the bigger society, eg by holding onto weird tax positions. This can only set a bad example to the rest - altering what we normally class as decent work/life balancing.

These fly by night/ here today, gone tomorrow sort of working characteristics are unbecoming and add to the level of concerns people now have about modern ways of working. It's like there's one rule for them and another for us.

So for me in the practical sense the same challenges concerning risk -what it stands for and where it should be situated- is one of the most important arguments that faces everyone.

Personally I don't think notions of risk, or targets pertaining to firms should be in my face or indeed put in my way as an ordinary law abiding member of the public. But at the moment things seem to be the other way round.. it's high flying executive types who are living a risk free existence ie without fear or favour.

Hugh Markey's picture

Wot, no mention of the poor or poverty? Captial blew it and the left have lessons to learn.
Because the UK is an island it has to ape Singapore a prime example of social engineering if ever there was one.
Of course there is the golf!

Glo-balls

Underspider's picture

Would globalisation be such a problem if there hadn't been such a clamour to deregualte everthing that kept capital in check?

Bill Corr's picture

It is outrageous to think that a 22-thousand-quid Patek Philippe watch - such as the one the Noble Lord so proudly [if unintentionally] displayed at a Labour Party gathering - might be so rendered so expensive by protectionist tariffs that such a watch would be unaffordable to the bovine and submissive Labour-voting masses.

Though cowards flinch and traitors sneer!

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