Is an Irish recovery on the way?

House prices rose over the last year.

According to figures released this week by the Central Statistics Office, Irish property prices rose by 1.2 per cent in the year to June 2013.

This is the first annual increase since January 2008.

It is expected that this increase will encourage buyers who were on the sidelines to enter the market, prompting hopes that a recovery will get under way.

However, despite the rise, it should be noted that Irish property prices are still 50 per cent lower than they were at their peak in September 2007.

Over this same period the Euro, which has been used as the currency in Ireland since 1999, has depreciated by 11 per cent against the US dollar which means the drop in US dollar terms is even higher at 60 per cent. This is significantly worse than UK and US markets which are 34 per cent and 29 per cent below peak as of June 2013 (in US dollar terms).

Ireland’s economy was one of the worst hit in the EU. GDP dipped for 3 straight years (2008, 2009 and 2010) before recovering slightly in 2011 and 2012. This of course followed a period of extremely strong growth between 2000 and 2007 when GDP growth averaged over 5.0  per cent per annum.

In Dublin, residential property prices grew by 1.7 per cent in June and were 4.2 per cent higher than a year ago. 

Interestingly, the prices of Dublin homes valued at more than €500,000 increased by significantly more than lower priced properties over the past 12 months.

The average price of a second hand home in the capital is now €279,000 according to Douglas Newman Good (DNG).

Photograph: Getty Images

Andrew Amoils is a writer for WealthInsight

Ukip's Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttall. Photo: Getty
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Is the general election 2017 the end of Ukip?

Ukip led the way to Brexit, but now the party is on less than 10 per cent in the polls. 

Ukip could be finished. Ukip has only ever had two MPs, but it held an outside influence on politics: without it, we’d probably never have had the EU referendum. But Brexit has turned Ukip into a single-issue party without an issue. Ukip’s sole remaining MP, Douglas Carswell, left the party in March 2017, and told Sky News’ Adam Boulton that there was “no point” to the party anymore. 

Not everyone in Ukip has given up, though: Nigel Farage told Peston on Sunday that Ukip “will survive”, and current leader Paul Nuttall will be contesting a seat this year. But Ukip is standing in fewer constituencies than last time thanks to a shortage of both money and people. Who benefits if Ukip is finished? It’s likely to be the Tories. 

Is Ukip finished? 

What are Ukip's poll ratings?

Ukip’s poll ratings peaked in June 2016 at 16 per cent. Since the leave campaign’s success, that has steadily declined so that Ukip is going into the 2017 general election on 4 per cent, according to the latest polls. If the polls can be trusted, that’s a serious collapse.

Can Ukip get anymore MPs?

In the 2015 general election Ukip contested nearly every seat and got 13 per cent of the vote, making it the third biggest party (although is only returned one MP). Now Ukip is reportedly struggling to find candidates and could stand in as few as 100 seats. Ukip leader Paul Nuttall will stand in Boston and Skegness, but both ex-leader Nigel Farage and donor Arron Banks have ruled themselves out of running this time.

How many members does Ukip have?

Ukip’s membership declined from 45,994 at the 2015 general election to 39,000 in 2016. That’s a worrying sign for any political party, which relies on grassroots memberships to put in the campaigning legwork.

What does Ukip's decline mean for Labour and the Conservatives? 

The rise of Ukip took votes from both the Conservatives and Labour, with a nationalist message that appealed to disaffected voters from both right and left. But the decline of Ukip only seems to be helping the Conservatives. Stephen Bush has written about how in Wales voting Ukip seems to have been a gateway drug for traditional Labour voters who are now backing the mainstream right; so the voters Ukip took from the Conservatives are reverting to the Conservatives, and the ones they took from Labour are transferring to the Conservatives too.

Ukip might be finished as an electoral force, but its influence on the rest of British politics will be felt for many years yet. 

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