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Why have the young been left out of the employment rise?

A puzzle.

More young people out of work. Photograph, Getty Images.
More young people out of work. Photograph, Getty Images.

Some interesting symmetry in the unemployment figures today: overall unemployment dropped by 7,000 over the last quarter, but youth unemployment - the number of people out of work aged 16 to 25 - rose by exactly the same amount.

The puzzle of unemployment falling at all in a recession is often explained by the rise of part-time workers - doing the kind of "jobs" which shift them into the employed category, but provide them with little else in terms of security, predictable hours, or sufficient pay.

But if this is true, it disqualifies some of the main explainers for youth unemployment - that risk-averse employees refuse to budge from existing jobs, and that cash-strapped companies are unable to hire. If fluid shift-work with fast turn-overs and unpredicable hours is the reason for the unemployment drop, you would expect the young to be hired at an equal, if not higher level to the less time-flexible old.

It remains a mystery - and according to a report released last week by the International Labour Organisation, the the number of young people out of work will continue rising over the next five years, predicted to reach almost 13 per cent by 2017, with faltering expectations that some of them will ever make it into the job market.

6 comments

Jon smith's picture

The labour government and NUT spent 15years ensuring their pupils would be unemployable and dependent on state benefits, with no work ethic, Morals and entitlement and human rights - and so voting labour. Then destroying wages with mass immigration of foreign workers needed to do the work.
Global companies in the city simply use expats from their overseas subsidiaries who are far better qualified than the locals , and require no work permits, and whose families go straight on the housing list, so no need to invest in UK training .

Jon smith's picture

The labour government and NUT spent 15years ensuring their pupils would be unemployable and dependent on state benefits, with no work ethic, Morals and entitlement and human rights - and so voting labour. Then destroying wages with mass immigration of foreign workers needed to do the work.
Global companies in the city simply use expats from their overseas subsidiaries who are far better qualified than the locals , and require no work permits, and whose families go straight on the housing list, so no need to invest in UK training .

n's picture

The paper Hysterisis in unemployment by larry ball - easily googled - has many of the answers for people who are not right wing extremists paid to troll...

left turn's picture

Gaining a degree then expecting £30.000 wasn’t going to happen for the overwhelming majority of students and for the less fortunate with fewer or no qualifications uncontrolled immigration of low and unskilled Labour damaged their opportunity of gaining any kind of paid employment.

matthew fox's picture

An over generous welfare state. Pathetic.

employer's picture

Why have the youth been left out.

1. An over generous welfare state means a lot of em don't want a job.

2. The worst schools in Western Europe mean that many of em lack qualifications

3. NuLab let four million people into the country.

Any further questions?

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