Latin America’s revealing reaction to the Venezuelan election
The Bolivarian Revolution vs. the Brazil model.
By Alex Ward Published 09 October 2012 17:34
As the whole world looked on, the indefatigable Hugo Chávez overcame his strongest obstacle yet to claim another six-year term as Venezuela’s President, keeping him in power until 2019.
“Venezuela will continue along the path of democratic and Bolivarian socialism for the 21st century”, Chávez thundered from the balcony of Miraflores palace, holding aloft the sword of Latin American revolutionary Símon Bolivar.
This election was so salient because it showcased a clash of two different ideologies; of two different futures. It was a battle of two visions that pitted a leftist firebrand against one of the Venezuelan 1 per cent; between a populist demagogue and a wealthy elite out-of-touch with Venezuela’s bulging underclass.
Henrique Capriles promised major changes for Venezuela. He pledged to move the country away from quixotic idealism to pursue a more pragmatic foreign policy; away from pariah states such as Belarus and Iran and towards a more sanitised global image.
He promised to depoliticise the economy through spurring private investment and reviving oil deals with outside partners - a notion unimaginable under the current government that holds economic self-sufficiency and state nationalisation as sacrosanct principles of governance.
Crucially for Chávez, Capriles threatened to undermine Venezuela’s role as the flag-bearer for the continent’s radical left; as the leading extoller of Latin American anti-imperialism.
Naturally, for supporters of the chavista cause, Sunday was most certainly a red-letter day; a democratic endorsement of the Bolivarian revolution espoused by Chávez.
“Forward, comrade Chávez”, tweeted Ecuadorian President Rafael Correa. “All Latin America is with you and with our beloved Venezuela”.
“The victory of President Chávez is a victory for democracy, for the Bolivarian alliance, and all of Latin America”, declared Bolivian President Evo Morales.
“Your decisive victory ensures the continuity of the struggle for genuine integration in our America”, proclaimed Raul Castro, Cuba’s de facto President.
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega also paid effuse tribute to him, labelling him an “indisputable leader that will continue leading the Latin American revolution”.
These sentiments were echoed in Argentina as well, with President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner praising the victory whilst Argentines rallied outside the Venezuelan embassy in Buenos Aires to celebrate the news.
However, the response from other major regional players, particularly Peru, Mexico and Brazil was muted, highlighting a degree of indifference to the radical model of leftist politics extolled by South America’s chavista movement.
There is no question over the importance of Latin American independence on the continent. Last year, the establishment of a 33-country “Community of Latin American and Caribbean States” (CELAC) intentionally excluded Washington and other “Western” powers from membership, cementing the region as a power bloc with its own interests and agendas.
But the “Bolivarian Alliance for the Americas” (ALBA), conceived by Chávez in 2004, is a step too far for some. That only the most radical of Latin American governments claim membership (Bolivia, Nicaragua, Cuba and Venezuela) is a telling indicator of the state of South American leftism.
Many often interpret the left-leaning approach of most South American states as a unified, cohesive ideological movement against imperialist forces, but a more nuanced approach reveals some major fault lines.
To some, Bolivarian governance has hit a crisis. With soaring inflation rates, over-reliance on nationalised industry and bloated bureaucracies rife with cronyism, much of Latin America’s far-left finds itself in an unenviable position.
The alternative model, embodied by Brazil, offers a different brand of leftism; one that embraces private property rights and upholds the sanctity of democratic institutions. Since the election of Luiz Ignácio Lula da Silva as President 2002, Brazil has shown that you do not have to stack the courts, censor the media, and politicise a country’s financial system to ameliorate poverty. As an emerging player on the world stage, Brazil has also shown that you can have sovereign independence whilst integrating into the global economy; that you can resist imperialism without having to denounce capitalism.
A signal that the Brazil mould is gaining momentum in Latin America came with the Peruvian election of Ollanta Humala in 2011. Humala originally campaigned under the chavista banner in 2006 and and lost. For the 2011 election, he rebranded as a more moderate socialist and has governed as such ever since.
Does this reveal a political schism in Latin America? Not exactly. Whilst fault lines have appeared, it doesn’t mean incompatibility. Nevertheless, the Brazilian model shows that Latin American governments can have their cake and eat it too; they can remain economically and politically self-sufficient without resorting to authoritarian and isolationist policies that breed malaise.
Whilst Sunday’s election victory has not derailed the Bolivarian revolution, its tight victory margin and the increasing appeal of the Brazilian mould has certainly taken the wind out of its sails.
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9 comments
The article betrays a truly unforgivable level of ignorance about the region's politics. To take just one example: "That only the most radical of Latin American governments claim membership (Bolivia, Nicaragua, Cuba and Venezuela) is a telling indicator of the state of South American leftism." When simply registering facts causes the author to flounder (there are eight member states of ALBA*), can we expect anything of value to issue from his analysis of events in Latin America?
*retrieved from a Wikipedia search.
The other 4 members of ALBA – Antigua & Barbuda, St Vincent & the Grenadines, Dominica, and Haiti – can hardly be deemed pure "Latin American states", hence them being ommitted.
Ecuador joined in 2009, which I know from having stayed there for several months since then and listening to some of president Rafeal Correa's speeches.
A recent poll revealed that 80% of Ecuadorians approve of Correa and the most popular of the region. Indeed, it is hard to think of any other leader or administration that enjoys that level of support.
To present Brazil as one economic model and all of those that have signed up to Alba as subscribers to a different model (by implication, one that is anomalous, and unlikely to have wide appeal across the continent) is very misleading.
Many Ecuadorians I have met have some stake in a micro business or are part of the country's burgeoning middle class, with jobs in new industries like informatics or design. They have an industrious outlook, and in every respect form part of the 'job-creating private sector', much vaunted by the kinds of politicians we have in Britain.
Yet in a country which charges them far lower rates of income tax than they would pay in the US or Britain, they generally support the incumbent's bid for re-election in 2013.
That does not quite marry up with the picture of leftist firebrands who don't get Brazil's more modern and liberal alternative (oh, if only they would behave). Corruption and cronyism is certainly a problem in all of the above countries but no less so in Brazil. Further, if there are fewer resources available for public projects then there will poorer outcomes after the corruption overhead is subtracted.
Vast as the differences may be between the domestic policies of, say, Ecuador, Brazil and Colombia, the remarkable story is one of how co-operative these governments are now as compared to a few years ago.
The facts just the facts
Tibisay Lucena, the National Electoral Council president, said 81 percent of the nearly 19 million registered voters cast ballots, one of the largest turnouts in years. Anybody for “American Democracy”???
Chavez won more than 7.4 million votes, beating Capriles by more than 1.2 million votes, Lucena said.
It has been hard to admit for the West that his cancer was successfully treated by Cuban doctors in Cuba.
Venezuela has the best Gini coefficient - meaning it’s the least unequal country - in the whole of Latin America. In its January 2012 report, the Economic Commission for Latin American and the Caribbean (known by its Spanish acronym, CEPAL) states that Venezuela and Ecuador, between 1996 and 2010, were the champions in reducing poverty across the Americas.
Americans in the US might be amused to know that Gallup has rated Venezuela tied with Finland as the 5th "happiest nation in the world". Salsa, anyone?
Venezuela will grow 5 percent in 2012 - way beyond Argentina (2 percent) and Brazil (1.5 percent). This is a partially socialized economy that is producing more jobs, more credit, more state investment - and the result is steady economic growth.
The fact is scores of young Spaniards with no EU future are coming to Venezuela to find a job [SP].
DrFransBRoosPhD
The article indeed is ridiculous but at the same time it is the typical sort of mixed salad of disconnected ideas and pseudo-analysis one expects from a major western corporate news source when the topic is socialism, Latin America, and a hemispheric rejection of US capitalist-imperialism.
After listing 5 countries - Argentina, Ecuador, Bolivia, Nicaragua and Cuba - who all enthusiastically congratulated Venezuela and their choice of president Chavez, the author mentions three that he considers "muted" and "indifferent" in their response. The comment prior to mine already addressed Brazilian Lula da Silva's embrace of the choice of Chavez by the Venezuelan people. As to Mexico, it is a nearly failed state that just "celebrated" its third fraudulent election in the last five elections and which is engaged in a open war between its corrupt government and its narco-armies. Then the article goes on to mention the rejection by the 33 nation Latin American community of US participation.
The above comment is correct also in mentioning a 55% victory in the US, where a 51 or 52% victory is touted by the press and media as a "mandate" from the people. That on top of the fact that only slightly more than 50% of the US population typically votes in the presidential elections.
I am in Nicaragua as I write this. I was also here for the re-election last November of Daniel Ortega to a second term, after 16 years of what virtually everyone I talk with considers disastrous consequences for the majority of Nicaraguans under self-serving conservative governments. Many here express great relief at the re-election of Chavez because it provides another 6 years of breathing space for not only the nations of Latin America who are most closely aligned with Venezuela but for an entire region defining itself as a block in its own right, separate from US imperial domination.
The redistribution of Venezuela's oil wealth to the people of that country and to allies is considered by a majority in Venezuela and many around the region, not to mention the world, an act of historic justice. It also represents an example - and therefore a threat - to countries like the US and Britain and other European "powers" where pilfering elites continue to look after their own hides at the expense of their peoples.
Thus, Venezuela is disdained and slandered blatantly by powers like the US and more subtlety in misrepresentative articles like this.
He was re-electedbecauseof his reforms since he first came to power. Venezuela is a
better place for the 99% of the population.
He was re-electedbecauseof his reforms since he first came to power. Venezuela is a
better place for the 99% of the population.
What piffle. You say the election was "close," yet fail to mention that Chavez won with over 55% of the vote. That would be considered a landslide in the United States. The last time a U.S. presidential candidate received over 55% was in 1984, nearly 30 years ago. In Britain, it would be considered an even greater landslide. On only a few occasions has one party achieved over 50% of the vote. The Tories gained >50% just once in the 20th century but governed for ~80% of it, often with "landslide" elections, large parliamentary majorities and spoken of as having a "mandate" to govern.
You say that "the response from other major regional players, particularly Peru, Mexico and Brazil was muted" without any evidence to back it support that. As it turns out Lula Da Silva said before the result: “Chavez, count on me…Your victory will be ours… and thanks, comrade, for everything you have done for Latin America.” Hardly evidence of "indifference to the radical model of leftist politics extolled by South America’s chavista movement."
What a ridiculous article! From The Telegraph, Mail or Spectator I'd expect this kind of twaddle but from New Statesman.. Shame on you!
Thankfully Seamus Milne and Mark Weisbrot from The Guardian are talking some sense on this subject.
The election was far closer than the last one. It shows that his support base has slipped somewhat.
...and Lula da Silva is not Dilma Rousseff.