Chart of the day: the public sector job cull
270,000 public sector jobs were cut in 2011 but just 226,000 private sector jobs were created.
By George Eaton Published 14 March 2012 18:06George Osborne's economic strategy has always been predicated on the assumption that the private sector will expand as the public sector contracts. In November 2010, the Chancellor told the House of Commons that private sector job creation would "far outweigh" the job losses in the public sector.
But today's unemployment figures show that he's still missing his target. Last year 270,000 public sector jobs were cut but just 226,000 private sector jobs were created. Since June 2010, 350,000 of the former have been lost and 320,000 of the latter have been created (see graph).

More encouragingly for the government, in the final quarter of 2011, private sector job creation (45,000) did outweigh the job losses in the state sector (37,000), albeit by only 8,000. The Office for Budget Responsibility has forecast that there will be 1.7 million more private sector jobs by 2017 and 710,000 fewer public sector posts. It will be worth watching to see whether this optimistic prediction is revised when the new OBR forecasts are published on Budget day.
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13 comments
Let's not play the coalition's game here by narrowing the whole issue of austerity vs. investment to a simplistic assessment of private sector job gains set against public sector losses. More than anything it's the growth statistics that give us the bigger and more accurate picture. Not only are many of these "gains" part-time, but pay in general may be lower and consequently general purchasing power will be lower (though equally we shouldn't exaggerate the perks of these public-sector jobs either). Yes, you might expect this private-sector labour to be in a more productive sector, but none of this has been reflected in the recent growth statistics.
Yet, even if these reforms do promote overall growth the question is what kind of society we'll have after this shift in the structure of the economy is complete. More of our workforce will be shifted to a sector with lower pay, and lower long-term job (and retirement) security. Labour's decade of excessive personal debt levels - where households lived beyond their means at 120% of their income due to disparities between pay and prices - may end up looking comparatively meagre. The OBR's early forecasts of coalition growth were in fact predicated on increasing personal debt levels, and this explains Cameron's reluctance in the Party Conference to engage on any moral crusade against personal debts.
The price of lower public-sector debt may be greater household debts, and consequently less stability and more hardship for workers - and this, as the past 20 years have shown, is foundation on which to build either a stable economy or a stable society. This I fear is the consequence if you restructure labour into a less secure and more difficult sector, and fail to think fundamentally about changing the whole system of wages & pay - which is what Ed Miliband at least, to his credit, is now looking into.
I see Inastew is doing more ogthe back of a fag packet calculatons.
It is a shame Clegg didnt want to talk about more private sector job losses.
http://tyneandwear.sky.com/news/article/14937
On what basis do Cameron and Clegg and Ed Milliband conclude that good health, good education, fire prevention, road provision, defence forces, courts of justice and provision of good governance are not a necessary basis for any economic system other than slavery.
This is Cameron's Poll Tax moment.
The word "jobs" in the headline of this article should be in inverted commas. NuLab massively swelled the public sector, creating large numbers of sinecures as a way of disguising the unemployment figures and also to create a client state in which large numbers of outreach workers, poly lecturers, etc would then gratefully vote Labour inn return. Only half way there with the cull. Keep up the good work. Tories.
@Bee Clarke
The world economy is weak, even China is slowing down. The UK is doing well given to enormous deficit.
The GDP figures for growth include the impact of government borrowing - as borrowing is slowed the economy will shrink. Its a synical Labour myth that we can borrow our way to economic success - Labour tried that one and look what happended.
Or perhaps you deny Labour borrowed £350Bn before 2008 and the banking crises? Our kids wont deny it as they are the ones saddled with the debts.
@Bee Clarke, the economy shrank by 0.6% in Q4 2010.
I think Inastew prediction that the UK economy would catch up with the US hasn't materialised, he/she talked about us being just a few months behind.
@ indu pendent
Except that the private sector isn't creating wealth. The latest evidence shows the economy shrunk by 0.2%. The poor economic performance of the Tories since they came to power proves the 'crowding out' theory of the public sector is a right-wing myth.
tragic those worth something get nothing
and vice versa
@george
The good news is we are half way. There are another 300,000 public sector positions to phase out through natural wastage and cutting recruitment into the public sector. Which by the way in case you forget Labour supports. Or rather the Labour leader Miliband and (some would say his boss) Ed Balls have said they support even if the rest of the party does not.
So George, your point is? Perhaps the Coalition are not going as fast as Miliand and Balls have signed up to?
"Since June 2010, 350,000 of the former have been lost"
I'm sure you will give the Coalition full praise for slowly shrinking the public sector without resorting to heavy redunancies.
"The latest evidence shows the economy shrunk by 0.2%. The poor economic performance of the Tories since they came to power proves the 'crowding out' theory of the public sector is a right-wing myth."
That's the performance in a single quarter. The economy still grew for the year.
If a single quarter tells the story, what do you make of Labour's -2.3% growth in 4Q08? Ten times worse! And the fully year was negative.
@george
Pls could you do some maths for me.
Assuming 270,000 jobs @ £26k have been lost from the public sector (management grades were cut first so the £26k is likely to be higher). The overhead rate if public sector workers is typically 142% including pensions so the saving to the state is £62.9k per person net of tax on the £26k.
These people have been replaced by 226,000 private sector jobs on similar basic salaries generating wealth.
Could you tell me what the net benefit to the country is.
So you dont support it then?
These figures do not take account of the1.4 million people working part-time only because they cannot find full-time work,
The cuts to the public sector are not nearly deep enough if you ask me, strip the state right back to the bare minimum !!!