Cameron's anti-independence plot bound to backfire
A pre-emptive referendum on independence will only increase the SNP's chance of success.
By James Maxwell Published 04 October 2011 18:13
David Cameron yesterday accused Alex Salmond of being a "big feartie"- an old Scots term meaning 'scared' - for refusing to set a date for a referendum on Scottish independence.
Speaking at a Scots Night event at the Conservative Party Conference in Manchester, Cameron said the SNP leader was guilty of "endlessly trying to create grievance between Scotland and the rest of the United Kingdom" in order to leverage support for his plan to break-up Britain. In an interview with the BBC, the Prime Minister also declined to rule out unilaterally holding a vote on Scotland's constitutional status unless the Scottish Government was more active in bringing forward its referendum proposals.
This idea has been floating around since the SNP won an unprecedented majority at the Holyrood elections in May and appears to be gathering cross-party support.
Last week, Shadow Scotland Secretary Ann McKechin and Shadow Defence Secretary Jim Murphy indicated that they were not averse to a Westminster poll on the grounds that ongoing constitutional 'uncertainty' was damaging Scotland's economic recovery. In the House of Lords, Tory peer Michael Forsyth and Labour peer George Foulkes have each tabled separate amendments to the Scotland Bill which, if successful, would make London solely responsible for instigating a poll.
Technically speaking, the Forsyth and Foulkes amendments are entirely unnecessary: in its current form the devolution settlement does not allow the Scottish Parliament to hold legally binding referendums. But the fact that senior Westminster figures are exploring the possibility of "calling Salmond's bluff"in this manner suggests a rising sense of panic in the Unionist camp. It also reveals that leading Unionists haven't seriously considered the likely effects of such a move.
One of the reasons the SNP has been so successful in recent years is because it has cast itself as the 'National Party of Scotland', rather than just the Scottish National Party. At the May election, this strategy resulted in nationalist breakthroughs in Labour's Glasgow and central-belt heartlands, as well as in traditionally Liberal Highland constituencies. The SNP even managed to win a majority of first-past-the-post seats in affluent, small-c conservative Edinburgh, despite the fact the capital has never been very receptive to the nationalist movement.
Another aspect of Salmond's bid for national dominance has been his relentless promotion of the idea that sovereignty ultimately lies with the Scottish people, not with the Westminster parliament. In a small country with a communitarian tradition and a history steeped in the 'democratic intellect', this carries huge resonance. As such, any attempt by the Tories to impose a referendum on Scotland will only re-enforce the popular impression, cultivated during the Thatcher years, that London is belligerent and dismissive when to comes to Scottish opinion. This would in turn greatly increase the likelihood of a Yes vote.
Finally, it shouldn't be forgotten that neither Labour nor the Conservatives have a mandate to stage a pre-emptive ballot on independence. Although Labour comfortably won the Westminster election in Scotland last year, they did so as a party militantly opposed to the staging of any vote on secession at all. Only the SNP can claim to have the consistently campaigned for and supported the right of Scots to decide for themselves. A sudden, coordinated reversal of policy by the Unionist parties would look cynical, not to mention desperate.
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45 comments
I wonder if a majority of Scots would ever support independence if it was not for the SNP trying to make people THINK it would be beneficial? In most surveys the constitution is fairly far down the list of priorities for Scots after all.
The British People don't understand Referendums at all and will probably vote YES just give the Coalition a kicking and a bloody nose. And then wake up next morning wondering what the hell it voted for.
I cite the Vote on AV, and Vote on Regional Govt some while back. A bit more education in what Referenda are for is necessary.
i'm not sure, the way things are going, and the mess cameron is making alex salmond could end up being the next uk prime minister, maybe thats why he wants to wait.
Gregor A should be wary of generalising about what 'English' or 'Scots' voters want; neither these groups (determined solely by their geographical location) can be sensibly regarded as if they were homogenous blocks of identical human units. The fact is that independence is not popular in Scotland, seldom overstepping low-30s percentages. Scotland, like England, Wales and N Ireland, is a patchwork of communities and social networks, each with its own distinct character and set of loyalties. The majority of people everywhere understand that the interconnectivity of the British peoples, the interweaving crosscurrents of family and friendship, provides an enriching reward which independence clearly doesnt match.
No doubt one of my fellow Scots will now come on to sneer at my supposed unionism. As a longtime advocate of political reform, I look forward to chuckling at such diversionary tactics.
David Lindsay makes the point I was going to, that the north of England (and indeed many other parts of England) have as little sympathy for Toryism as the broad stance of people in Scotland.
As for Gregor's finger-wagging - "There are two separate political cultures north and south of the border. In England the Tories are still a major force, in Scotland they are not. We may have similar social ills but the response to these is different."
I despise this 'different cultures' meme, which is just a step away from saying 'we are different, we are the GOOD people. They are not like us so why should we care what happens to them?' I suppose it comes down a fundamental committment to human compassion. It matters to me what happens to the disabled and disadvantaged in Bradford or Bristol as much as those in Dundee or Dumfries. So when someone witters on about being excited for Scotland, I have to shake my head and question their humanity. As I've said before, my compassion is not determined by a line on a map.
So how's that for foolish naivety, M Gallach?
howdy
independance is not all it is cracked up to be in all fairness we will have less capital to support the country for a start
David cameron rattles on about respecting Scotland but insults your intelligence in every speech,like gordon brown he will not include the word England in any of his speeches in case it upsets you,what sort of feeble minds does he think you have.
Stephen Alexander
Thank you for that, I did wonder after reading through his comments what planet he was operating from, well done.
Well said mike cobley.
I would hope for a friendly seperation of the peoples of the United Kingdom when the SNP call the Independence referndum.
I also happen to think that the Scots will vote in favour of Independence and then the eventual break up of the rump. In years gone by all I wanted was an English Parliament to give equality to all. Now after seeing the way that David Cameron torpedoed The Territorial Extent Bill I want the Break-up of the UK as much as any SNP voter.
swatantra nandanwar,
speak for your self,the British people know exactly what they are voting for.
David Lindsay I don't buy your logic regarding the north of England. Once
England is independent then we English can address the issues of north v south to try and find a less London centric government without the complications of the UK.
I would argue that generally speaking English speaking South Wales might want to split from Welsh speaking North Wales however.
As for David Cameron calling Alex Salmond a "big feartie". I think Cameron is the "big feartie" for dragging his feet on his election manifesto committment to a commission on the West Lothian Question. Where is it Mr Cameron?
The Conservatives secretly WANT independence for Scotland. That's that, 40 safe Labour seats gone in a flash? They know they'll win the majority (not all of course) of all future elections with Scotland gone.
Home Rule for England
David Cameron killed it off by getting his big guns out to vote it down thats what I was on about previously.
Legislation (Territoral Extent) Bill.
Tory whips etc were out in force to vote it down, it would have after all these years answered The West Lothian Question. Check it out if you like its all on-line.
The SNP as a lawful democratic party with a majority in teh devolved legislature can pass the legislation to trigger teh referendum and pass it up to the Federal (Westminster) legislature as soon or as late as it wants. In its manifesto it is pledged to do so at a given year based on its track record in government. Thats democracy.
If you want to stop them, call a Uk wide constitutional convention mandated by the rule of law in Westminster after Lords reform to codify the constitution and define teh devolved legislative settlement for England.
"the SNP won a landslide victory in May; a rejection of Toryism"
No, a rejection of Labour and of Labourism. Toryism, meaning what it has historically meant in Scotland, encapsulates the SNP perfectly. As the composition of its electoral support demonstrates. Of course the Tories are still a major force in Scotland. It is just that they now call themselves the SNP.
Mike Cobley,
You are misrepresenting my views. I don't believe Scots are Good and English people bad. I do believe that there are different political cultures north and south of the border. We have 1 Tory MP. Scotland did not vote for a Tory government. At Holyrood, we have a Scottish Parliament which deals with devolved issues and where there is a substantial SNP majority; this is not the case in England. Voting patterns and political structures differ, even if the same social problems prevail (your disabled/disadvantaged comment) - and the responses to social problems differ accordingly. In Scotland, we have free prescriptions, free bus passes for the over 60s, no Fees for students, and so on. We have political parties which differ from their English counterparts (Labour/Lib Dems). No difference in political culture?
Do I care for what happens to the disadvantaged and disabled in England? Yes. And I care for what happens to the disadvantaged and disabled in the Republic of Ireland, in Germany, in Sweden..and so on. Why wouldn't I? If you think of yourself as British, does it stop you having compassion, Mike? Or is only Scottish people who support independence that you reserve this accusation for? It is silly and misses the point entirely. Through the 80s and 90s Scotland voted Labour and got Tory. Now we are in a similar position. If you think there is no difference in political culture north and south of the border, then I think you are deluding yourself.
Rich, posh (or wannabe posh), mildly Keynesian but no further left than that economically, mildly socially conservative in that Church of Scotland way, and backed up electorally in working-class areas by white Protestant supremacists with nowhere else to go? Sounds like the Scottish Tories of old to me. Now known as the SNP.
My Confessions of an Old Labour High Tory will soon be published by a leading think tank, and my articles have appeared in The First Post, Comment is Free, and elsewhere, including as a regular contributor to The American Conservative’s PostRight blog, which is currently in abeyance while that magazine pursues other projects.
I have exactly 1000 words on the demands that Labour should make in return for supporting the Scotland Bill, on behalf of the North of England that is now Labour’s unambiguous electoral heartland, as well as on the arrangements that the North should make if Scotland and Wales were ever to secede from the United Kingdom.
davidaslindsay@hotmail.com
David Lindsay,
if the SNP are a Tory party alive and kicking in Scotland, why do they support free prescription charges, free travel for the over 60s, no tuition fees, and so on. Hardly Tory policies those, are they? And how come Labour seats in Glasgow were lost to the SNP? Did those Labour people go over to the SNP because they felt they were a Tory party of Scotland? And why did Scotland wipe out the Tories?
As to your "white Protestant supremacists" - Cardinal O' Brien and other prominent Catholics have come out in support of the SNP. You represent an image of both Scotland and the SNP that is unrecognisable.
As for what the North of England should do if Scotland and Wales secede - I return to the point I made earlier that federalism is an option for England that very few people have discussed. Scotland has been talking about constitutional change for decades because it is an issue for us. England tends to assume the Westminster parliament is the English parliament but I note a few people advocating an assembly for the north of England. I'd certainly support that.
Stuart Eels.
I'm fully aware of what happened to Harriet Baldwin's bill. However, that does not relieve the government of its promise to establish a commission to look into the West Lothian Question. They have promised to do it after the October recess but as we know with Mr C. his promises don't guarantee anything!
Qhy can't I post my comment?
Sod it, I have posted the whole thing here -
http://davidaslindsay.blogspot.com/2011/10/tartan-tories-are-no-new-stat...
Sort out whatever is wrong with the comments facility here, please.
David, I have posted a reply on your blog. The title you chose says much about your lack of understanding of Scottish politics. Here's my response:
I really don't understand if you support free prescriptions, no tuition fees, or not. They may be policies that the Tory party historically would have supported, but neither the Tories now, nor Labour support these policies. I'm guessing that's why the SNP are in power in Scotland.
As for Glasgow Council being Tory - it's been Labour for as long as I remember. And as for your "white Protestant supremacists" - I do not recognise that as being a facet of the Tories, of Labour, or the SNP in Scotland. There are prominent Catholics in all of these parties, Protestants too, atheists, Muslims, and so on. Prominent Catholics have given tacit support to the SNP - even in his letter to Alex Salmond today, the Bishop of Paisley writes: "As I said in a recent interview, your government has been very supportive of Catholic education and was very helpful regarding the visit of Pope Benedict XVI a year ago. So I recognise that until now we have had very good relations, and it is disappointing for me to have to write this letter." (The complete letter can be found here: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-15184791) Now, that's hardly the voice of a concerned Catholic addressing a "white Protestant supremacist".
Catholics will not be burned out of Scotland, nor will the English. I regularly have lunch with a friend who is a Catholic and votes SNP. He has not, so far as I am aware, packed his bags to flee. Many English people support the SNP in Scotland and vote for them.
Your views are wide of the mark, David. You can't make something so just by repeating it. If the north of England feels caught between a rock and a hard place, then I sympathise. But without an assembly, I can't see what other options you have - other than to froth and rage at Scotland and the South.
"If the north of England feels caught between a rock and a hard place, then I sympathise. But without an assembly, I can't see what other options you have."
Well, you wouldn't. You are rich enough to vote SNP. People like that care about assemblies. Must be nice. But everyone else, especially at the moment, cares about cash. Devolution has made no difference on that score, because the Scottish devolved body has never raised a penny of its own revenue, despite having the power to do so.
The full text of the Bishop's letter makes it quite clear that any ardour for the SNP is cooling, to put it at its very mildest. The SNP can look forward to a rapid return to its redoubts. In the subculture – the large subculture – that is Tory Scotland.
Yes, I'm absolutely loaded. That's why I live in Scotstoun.
And, David, you know nothing of Scottish politics.
Oh, and your comment has not shown up on my blog. Don't know why not.
Is Jim Murphy wholly ignorant of Scottish politics? He recently as good as described the SNP win as an aberration waiting to be reversed by the inevitable restoration of the natural order. Not his words, but clearly what he meant. The loss of the mild goodwill recently shown by the Catholic hierarchy is a distinct sign that he might be right.
The Conservatives don't care that much either way I recon, as they see it as a win win situation for them. They are quite happy to stay in the union and quite happy to leave it, thereby making Labour lose votes to the snp or look like a Scottish party, leaving England to the conservatives. I might be wrong, but i actually think that they feel quite relaxed about it.
Labour have more to lose, from the break up of the union politically than the conservatives. So i don't think it is that big a deal to cameron.
Given the unpopularity of the Conservative Party in Scotland and the fact that they are seen as a party more suited to the political culture of England than Scotland, any attempt to force a referendum on the Scottish Electorate would be seen as an imposition (like the poll tax). So it doesn't seem like the smartest move.
But let's just think what the real issue is here. Our representative democracy in the UK does not represent the way Scotland votes at Westminster elections. We voted Labour, we got Tory. This happened in the 80s and 90s (Labour called it the 'democratic deficit') and the solution was devolution. Why, after all, shouldn't Scottish voters seek to improve the democratic structures that form the relationship between voters and government?
Devolution, however, was not seen as necessary for all of the UK; it was seen as an answer to the particular problems of the "peripheries". Put another way, the problem is what to do about England. Had devolution taken into consideration BOTH the failure of representative democracy to represent Scottish voters AND the West Lothian Question, we may have ended up with a more federal solution. I believe that such an option lies (largely) in the hands of English voters; it is they who have to decide if they want to preserve the Union and what representation they wish to have. It is, surely, not good enough to do as Kelvin MacKenzie and Quentin Letts do and hope you can abrogate your responsibilities by hoping the Scots will 'go away'.
The political differences north and south of the border are growing. The Unionist parties in Scotland have fallen on hard times. The Lib Dems polled 6% in a recent poll and may be all but wiped out in the next few years. The Tories may split and become two still smaller parties, or remain as they are - insignificant. Labour too are losing support and influence in Scotland.
But forcing a referendum would be meaningless. And giving all of the UK a say in that referendum would resolve nothing. If England votes Yes and Scotland No, Lord Foulkes and Lord Forsyth will be embarrassed. If Scotland votes Yes and England No, then can a country be held in a political union against its will? And how long until the electorate seek another referendum? One they have faith in.
David, the SNP won their first Holyrood election by one seat. It was feasible that Labour could have won the parliament back and the SNP's time in office would have been seen as an 'aberation'. But in May of this year, the SNP won their second Holyrood victory with a massive landslide. They took 69 seats to Labour's 37. A recent poll had the SNP at 49%, up 5% since the election. So the fightback starts here, eh?
As for the days of Labour being able to rely on the Catholic vote, those days have gone. Will you tell Jim Murphy, or will we let him find out the hard way?
Ah Mike - I come not to sneer at your unionism, but will happily sneer at your foolish naivety, and your almost complete ignorance of what actually makes up the four nations that comprise the UK. I'm amazed at Labour's bizarre assumption that Scotland will simply realise that they did not mean to vote for the SNP, but will suddenly come in from the cold and rescue England from that horrible Cameron Man.
You just need to look at the articles on LabourHame or listen to Ed Milleband forgetting the name of favourite for the Labour Leader in Scotland (sic) to understand the complete inability of the Rest of the UK to understand the game changing nature of the SNP’s May Landslide.
For example - “The fact is that independence is not popular in Scotland, seldom overstepping low-30s percentages” – Err last Poll showed a majority (just) for the SNP’s preferred referendum wording, and Labour were on course for a Landslide majority until April this year.
Let’s take this one step at a time. First Scotland is a different country. It has a different legal system, different educational system, and different churches. Its media and newspapers are different, and its planning, environmental, NHS and public procurement systems and agencies are quite different. We still own our own water, and our electricity utilities are vertically integrated.
Different from England OK – like Ireland, like Denmark, like Norway. In other words not the same. Understand.
Next - Now lots of parts of Europe are” a patchwork of communities and social networks, each with its own distinct character and set of loyalties.” But these communities and social networks all tend to exist and work within a nation state that supports and nurtures these self same entities. But when that state (ie the UK) fails that “patchwork of communities and social networks, each with its own distinct character and set of loyalties” (ie Scotland), the peasants tend to revolt.
Like spending 60 years turning a weird fringe party (Scottish Nationalism – what a bizarre concept!) into a movement that by its very presence delivers a National Parliament, and then uses that Parliament to redefine what politics means in Scotland.
Like winning a mandate and majority that allows them to do just what they said they would – deliver for Scotland.
Its sneering attitudes like yours that will help deliver a yes vote in the 2015 referendum.
Keep it up – we appreciate it.
Mike Cobley,
I realise that one can't generalise, Mike. But nonetheless, there does seem to be two separate political cultures emerging north and south of the border. I wasn't talking about independence, actually. What I was talking about was, if Unionists desire to keep the UK together, then the problem should not be seen as a specifically Scottish one. The 'just go away' response isn't good enough. Although communities across the UK (across Europe, I'd argue) suffer from similar social problems, the political responses to these problems differ; hence the difference in voting patterns.
As for independence, I support it. The "interconnectivity" you speak of can still exist without being part of a unitary state. Look at Scandinavia, where there is "interconnectivity" between people in different independent states. Or, if you want an example from closer to home, look at the Republic of Ireland and the UK.
Since you are a "longtime advocate of political reform", perhaps you will see that for many the drive towards independence has more to do with democratic accountability than it has to do with 'family and friendship' (neither of which would be affected by improving our democratic structures). The Scottish electorate voted Labour and got Tory at the last election. The same thing happened in the 80s and 90s. Our representative democracy fails to reflect how Scotland votes at Westminster elections. A federalist system would change that and also help with some aspects of the West Lothian Question. But perhaps that would be a reform too far for you?
As for support for independence, the last poll in Scotland had 39% for and 38% against. It may happen, or it may not. In the meantime, however, the SNP seem to have gained ground in the polls even since the May election where the one with a landslide victory. The Unionist parties, on the other hand, are in decline. The Tories and Lib Dems are at a crisis point and Labour are currently battling to stop the party from tearing itself apart. Why has Scotland so roundly rejected the Unionist parties?
"""""cynical, not to mention desperate."""""
Which is what they are.
The Scottish people haven't forgotten that the Unionist hypocrites (Tory, New Labour, Lib Dems) had ganged up to prevent a referendum in the last Scottish parliament.
Bevan ridiculed the first parliamentary Welsh Day on the grounds that “Welsh coal is the same as English coal and Welsh sheep are the same as English sheep”. In the 1970s, Labour MPs successfully opposed Scottish and Welsh devolution not least because of its ruinous effects on the North of England. Labour activists in the Scottish Highlands, Islands and Borders, and in North, Mid and West Wales, accurately predicted that their areas would be balefully neglected under devolution.
Eric Heffer in England, Tam Dalyell and the Buchans (Norman and Janey) in Scotland, and Leo Abse and Neil Kinnock in Wales, were prescient as to the Balkanisation of Britain by means of devolution and the separatism that it was designed to appease, and as to devolution’s weakening of trade union negotiating power.
Abse, in particular, was prescient as to the rise of a Welsh-speaking oligarchy based in English-speaking areas, which would use devolution to dominate Welsh affairs against the interests of Welsh workers South and North, industrial and agricultural, English-speaking and Welsh-speaking.
Heffer’s political base was in Liverpool, at once very much like the West of Scotland and with close ties to Welsh-speaking North Wales. Betty Boothroyd and Bruce Douglas-Mann supported the Cunningham Amendment that effectively killed off Scottish devolution in the 1970s (the overwhelming opposition of the Welsh killed it off in Wales), and both George Cunningham and Douglas-Mann, together with several more occasional anti-devolutionists, later acceded to the newly founded SDP. Cunningham nearly retained his seat in 1983, and uniquely almost recaptured it in 1987. He has never joined the Liberal Democrats, instead still giving the SDP as the name of his party on the list of those former MPs who continue to hold House of Commons passes.
There was a high vote against devolution – relatively in Scotland, absolutely in Wales – in areas where the Liberal Democrat vote is also high. That same clear tendency was manifest in the referendum on a regional assembly in the North East, when there was also an enormous No vote in traditionally Labour areas.
There is a strong feeling among English, Scottish and Welsh ethnic minorities and Catholics that we no more want to go down the road of who is or is not “really” English, Scottish or Welsh than Ulster Protestants want to go down the road of who is or is not “really” Irish.
The Scotland Office Select Committee is chaired by Ian Davidson, a Co-operative Party stalwart and Janey Buchan protégé who is therefore a hammer both of Scottish separatism and of European federalism.
There is no West Lothian Question, since the Parliament of the United Kingdom reserves the right to legislate supremely in any policy area for any part of the country, the devolution legislation presupposes that it will do so as a matter of course, and anyone who does not like that ought to have voted No to devolution.
It would be pointless for the North of England (with a population considerably larger than that of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland combined) to remain in the United Kingdom if its economically leftish social conservatism serving and served by agriculture, manufacturing and small business, and rooted in Catholicism, Methodism and a High Churchmanship quite different from that in the South, were no longer able to support and to be supported, either by Scotland’s economically leftish social conservatism serving and served by agriculture, manufacturing and small business, and rooted in Catholicism, Presbyterianism and Episcopalianism, or by Wales’s economically leftish social conservatism serving and served by agriculture, manufacturing and small business, and rooted in Catholicism, several varieties of Nonconformity, and the sane High Churchmanship that provides the mood music to the Church in Wales.
The North would be at least as capable of independence as either Scotland or Wales, and would have every reason to pursue that path if they did. But who would then pay for the City to be bailed out next time, and the time after that, and the time after that? And what would the smug South East drink, or wash in?
David Lindsay's works are published by a vanity press. Its reviewers provide all the necessary information about him.
http://www.lulu.com/product/paperback/essays-radical-and-orthodox/16587414
If a referendum was forced on Scotland by the Tories, the SNP would simply advise voters to boycott it, and hold the 'real' referendum later.
Scots will not look kindly on interference from the Tories with their one MP in Scotland.
The SNP won a clear majority in the recent elections and therefore have the right to hold a vote during their clearly stated timescale.
Plus the unionist parties look like complete hypocrites here. They blocked a referendum during the last Scottish parliament, arguing the economic climate was not right..
David Lindsay, if the Highlands of Scotland were 'balefully neglected' under devolution why did the SNP win every seat in the Highland mainland and many of the islands too?
Labour not quite as accurate in their predictions as you make out David.
Every indicator large and small is pointing to Independence. The Scots have seen what it's like to have a Government that actually cares about Scotland and its citizens and they love it, thus the landslide earlier in May.
Salmond has no equal in Scotland and only a few in England and Europe. He has big plans for Scotland which make Scots proud and excited.
There is no reason to continue with the status quo and the avalanche of deceit from the unionist camp failed over 4 years of minority Government, why should it succeed over the next 4 years before the Referendum?
Answer: It Won't!
Let me give you a 'Heads Up' Independence as a State of Mind in Scotland is already here, we're just waiting for it to be made official.
Home Rule for England
I totally agree with you, call me Dave will find a way to ignore, evade or wiggle away from it just as Tony Blair and Gordon Brown did.
Who gets to vote in this referendum? If it is the same franchise as for Holyrood, then that is the local government one, which means every EU citizen living in Scotland. Polish plumbers or whoever get a say in the continued existence of my country, the United Kingdom, but most of that country's people get none? I don't think so.
Of course, everyone knows that there will be a No vote. The vote for the SNP at Holyrood is at least middle-class (Scotland has an average income at one hundred per cent of the national figure, and the SNP victory only confirms how well-heeled the place is) and anti-Labour rather than pro-independence. But Labour couldn't care less, being concerned only with the Westminster seats from which it is manifestly irremovable. It says it all that, even in the current situation, the SNP's supporters are rich enough to care so much about constitutional change.
Neither the SNP nor, politically, Alex Salmond (good but overrated - an example of how the best Scots still either head for Westminster or stay out of politics altogether) could survive a No vote after the last Holyrood result. That is why there is no sign of any referendum. It will only ever happen if Westminster calls the bluff of the SNP in general and Alex Salmond in particular. It, and especially he, are desperate not hold it.
David Lyndsay
Couldn't disagree more. Salmond and the SNP are keen to hold the referendum but on their timetable. They quite rightly calculate that they have the best chance of winning with a few years of Thatcher Part 2 economic policy being forced upon a country which consistently asks for social democratic politics.
The real reason independence is more likely now than ever is because the centre ground in uk politics has shifted so far to the right that Scotland and England have pretty much incompatible politics.
I would never have considered voting for independence had the Labour retained a real commitment to Social Democracy.
That is why they got trounced in May. The electorate now see the SNP as the more progressive party.
I for one can't wait for the day that Scotland finally gets the politics it asks for.
I have rarely read such turgid irrelevant drivel as that spouted by David Lindsay in his comments on this article-he appears to be living in a country called La La Land.
"It says it all that, even in the current situation, the SNP's supporters are rich enough to care so much about constitutional change." David Lindsay.
Is this a plea for keeping people poor so they don't ask for democratic change, David? Is there some nobility in poverty that you want to defend? Should one be poor and unrepresented?
If Scotland were better represented by our representative democracy we would be able to formulate our own responses to our social problems. It is a matter of giving people in Scotland control over the decision making that affects their lives.
There are two separate political cultures north and south of the border. In England the Tories are still a major force, in Scotland they are not. We may have similar social ills but the response to these is different. Scotland largely voted Labour for the Westminster election and the SNP won a landslide victory in May; a rejection of Toryism. What I want to see is a democratic structure in the UK that allows Scotland greater control over finances. I believe that federalism is one option and independence is another. To be honest, the status quo is not an option that will last much longer.
I assume, Mr Lindsay, that you have conducted detailed research among voters as to why people chose to vote SNP? If the vote was anti-Labour, SNP opinion poll ratings would have flatlined at best, when they are, in fact increasing. Indeed, they have massively increased in support in polling for Westminster elections, which is unprecedented.
Like it or not, Scotland increasingly feels like a different country. We have always had our uniqueness maintained through education, law, civic traditions and so on, but there is, for the first time in my lifetime, a sense of optimism and excitement about what the future holds for Scotland. I am not a nationalist, but I truly believe that the people will vote for independence. I tire of the old argument that we are subsidised by English taxpayers, when the facts show that we contribute more revenue per head of population. The UK economy is faltering and unemployment is rising; the reverse is true in Scotland. And as for Mr. Lindsay's risible comment about "Polish plumbers" having the right to vote on Scottish independence: anyone who lives in Scotland, has registered to vote, and wants to vote, is perfectly entitled to do so. It's the same for all elections, and it's how something called DEMOCRACY works.
I, for one, am excited for Scotland, and I hope the overwhelming majority of my fellow Scots (and that means anyone who lives here and can vote) will join me in voting for what can only be a positive change for our nation.
Martin Miller is right to point out David Lindsay's paid-for vanity publication but there's a lot more than that. What Lindsay doesn't tell you is that his single CiF article was never followed up because of what people found out about his methods. He's a fantasist who managed to get a Telegraph blog for a week before the editor discovered he'd faked his CV. Lindsay falsely claimed to be a Durham academic and the fraud was laughably easy to uncover. Lindsay leads an empty life making things up. As well as faking his CV, he pretended to set up a political party that would stand in every seat in the UK. The number was a little less than that - zero. He even ran away from standing in his own home seat. His knowledge of politics is also zero. One of the precious icons of Lindsay's stupidity that Durham students treasure is a screengrab of Lindsay trying to argue about economics. He was so humiliated he had to delete his own comments as well as his commenter's. His stupidest venture of all was to write to hundreds of journalists under a false name begging them to report the activities of David Lindsay. How did they manage to see through him??? His scams were exposed by Palatinate, the Durham mag, where he's been a figure of fun ever since he got expelled from Chad's.