A poll bounce for the Tories
Latest YouGov poll puts the Tories on 39 per cent, just a point behind Labour.
By George Eaton Published 31 August 2011 12:22
The latest daily YouGov poll is the most striking for some time. It puts the Conservatives on 39 per cent, just a point behind Labour on 40 per cent. It's the narrowest Labour lead that YouGov has recorded since January and further evidence of a Tory recovery. The party's lead, which stood at nine points on 22 August has gradually eroded over the past week to seven points, five points, three points and now just one point.

Latest poll (YouGov/Sun): Labour majority of 10
There are various possible explanations for this. The Tories may have benefited from Cameron's robust response to the riots (polls showed that the public favoured disproportionate sentences) and the rebels' victory in Libya may also have aided their cause (public support for the intervention rose as a result). The parliamentary recess also means that there have been fewer of the "bad news" stories that seemed to plague the government earlier this year.
New Statesman Poll of Polls

Labour majority of 58
All the usual caveats apply, of course. The poll could be an outlier and we'll have a better idea of the state of play when the next YouGov poll is published tonight. But it certainly sets things up nicely for the conference season.
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31 comments
Oh Luddite - the facts are as I state: the Con/Dems are led by men who were born super-rich and are now even more rich - step forward Clegg, Cameron, Osborne et al. All their parties' policies are designed to make middle and working class people paymore, to please the IMF. Not a single one of the bankers, financiers, hedge fund managers, derivatives dealers who directly caused the world recession have paid a single penny back to UK taxpayers for the losses of their banks and financial institutions - Fred Goodwin is even wealthier now than in 2008!
You are right in one respect: New Labour are, and were, no better - they too - even though many of them came from humbler backgrounds - were sickeningly pro-rich, craving desperately the love of Murdoch and any old billionaires in sight. Gordon Brown in particular, but also Mandelson, Blair are as bad as Cameron and Clegg...
I want a British party who will - economically - stand up for the UK working and middle class,and stand up against mass Euro-immigration, islamic fascism, multiculturalism, but also be pro-equality, and pro liberal freedoms..I have a dream....!
If there was an election now, Labour would win. But as the cuts and incompetence proliferates everywhere, in a couple of years from now, Labour will romp home.
This is bad news for Ed "theoretically the leader" Miliband as at this stage in the term Labour should have a clear electoral majority if it is to have any hope for forming the next government (compare it to historic data and the out comes of elections).
Whats needed is a couple of bandwagons for the elite to jump on for some short term votes.
FFS New Statesman: SORT OUT YOUR SPAM CONTROLS PLEASE.
"Others" well ahead of the Fib Dems ... who could possibly be benefitting?! There is your real story worth reporting btw - everyone knows that Labour could not win an election, despite what the polls say, without a major shift in their credibility on the economy (unlike with Balls still there).
Scotland and Wales are slowly shifting toward independent futures, nobody in England notices ... what a shock you will all get in 2014/5!
I hate to tell you Righties out there this but Re You Gov this morning. I know we are used to appalling polls ratings for the Lib Dem's but this one takes the biscuit hear are some of the 46 Lib Dem's MPs likely to lose there seats if there was a GE based on commutative op ion polls last month according to electoral calculus all except the first two are ministers. Simon Hughes. Jenny Willott. Sarah Teather. Chris Huhne. Lynne featherstone. ED Davey. Paul Burstow. Jeremy Brown. and Danny Alexander.with out the Lib Dems to prop call me Dave up he is finished. and he knows it
If there was an election tomorrow then the Tories would win by at least 50 seats.
Labour should be well ahead by now.
p j wall. You are going to live a life time of disappointment!! Let's never forget, it was your tribe which run out of our money, it was your tribe that destroyed the retirement plans of millions, it was your tribe that opened the doors to mass-immigration destroying the job opportunities of million of our young people, it was your tribe that dumb downed our eduction system, it was your tribe that turned economic incompetence into a fine art form, and lets never forget your tribes foreign wars.. No!! I'm no fan of the tories.. I just 'despise' Labour more..
The polls are irrelevant, there will be no election for at least 4 years and by then the economy wich cameron is hoping for will not have recovered, the Lib-Dems will still be in the brown stuff and when the GE eventualy comes Labour will win with a working majority!!
I wish I could predict the future as well as some of you, I would win a fortune betting on the outcome of the next election! The result of the next election is likely to hinge on a combination of the health of the economy (which is very hard to predict) and Macmillan's "events", (which are almost impossible to predict). It will be interesting anyway.
Osborne is trying to apply 1980's medicine but without the vast dividend of North Sea oil this time to paper over the cracks. Noone is spending because his cuts have created a climate of fear while the economy slips down the pan. Meanwhile his only priority is a tax cut for the rich. The poor are being cut so the rich can have a tax cut.
I can't see anything other than a very close election again next time.
The Tories could only get a minority of seats despite the economy and Gordon Brown in 2010, Cameron is hurriedly rebuilding the Nasty Toxic brand that turned everyone off in the 90's.
Labour continue to be rudderless and Miliband does not look like a PM in waiting.
Lib Dems will lose a lot of seats but may still have the balance of power in 2015.
The question is would Clegg go with Cameron or Miliband in 2015?
My bet, Miliband.
My prediction is a National Govt in early 2013 as everything builds up to a head and the gasket finally blows.
I think Labour have to bear that scenario in mind, with double dips and recession in the US and the Euro on the point of collapse.
tories are doomed to fail as is the economy
lab outright with a good green showing come the gen ele
Just can't understand how 39% have not twigged that Cameron and Co. are liars and absolute incompetents.They should have been found out by now.
Although the premise on which this article was based was shown to be false 1 day after it was written, it still features prominently on the NS front page. Why? Disinformation or lazy web editors?
Ed Miliband is a force to be reckoned with, Cameron and others under estimate him at their peril.
I guess white British have just got wiser. They can see through labour's divisive agenda and extreme positions to defend the degenerate rioters. Labour fed the Bankers and Labour fed the rioters. You can fool some people....
And no I am not white.
Why comment on one opinion poll result. For what it matters, the latest YouGov poll gives Labour a six point lead.
if labour had anyone saying anything genuinely interesting or good fo Uk they woudn't be in his prdicament- people are tired of BS and they had enough of it after the last labour govt, look where it got us- and the cold hasn't even begun to bite- incredibly, the country will lurch to the Right in a time of cuts cos they are the only ones talking sense, the adults can't have the numptie driving the ship anymore- so the Left has to go away and seriously introspect... it needs to get rid of Balls he' s a maniac, and his followers.
Compare the team to the Tories/lib- they outclass severely- they got 7 guys at least, labour had one hope, and they outed the man- what a bunch of clowns, and when u try and et 'labour' people on thi s site to face facts it's all name calling- sad clowns, u guys coukd disappear for a long time cos u can't face up to a mirror. Balls in the party but david milliband out- u gotta be kidding me, but u guys did it- good luck with the deathwish- If i were backing these guys i'd get them into a room a they'd know about it... shambles, coudn't win a garden fete..
Blame Labour for enthusiastically supporting all things criminal. The public fully understands what needs to be done, and simply doesn't truth Labour to make the right and often painful decision, regarding Labour's massive debt reduction....
Yes Luddite I agree with you but can you say hand on heart that the Tories or Lib-Dems are anymore competent?
this ain't good news for cameron he's not really the heir to blair. after 13 years in power he should be well ahead at this stage, with blair we were still in cloud 9.
It`s soooo funny reading the bitter twisted views of some of the right wingers above!!, you can tell through all the bile they spew out, that deep down they know their dear leader Flashman is a total lightweight and liability, and he will lead the Nasty party to defeat with Gideon by his side!, Their economic plan is already toast, Gideon is so lightweight and incompetent, even more so then Flashman!!, the big problem for the tories is they have become the Nasty arrogant party again!, Flashman and Gideon show no Humility and Empathy at all, just know your place arrogance!, the last thing voters want to see is Gideons condescending stupid grin!!, whilst telling us all that destroying the economy and losing our jobs and houses, is a price worth paying because "we`re all in this together", then he`ll cut the 50% tax rate to prove his point!!!, the twonk!, no matter what any of us think of Ed Miliband, he shows humility and empathy, that is a massive plus in voters eyes, by the time 2015 arrives, the nasty tories will be about as popular as a cup of cold sick!!, and it doesn`t matter what a few bitter right wing twonks say on here, or the meaningless polls predict!.
Poor Ed - the Con/Dems have a total of 49% of the electorate prepared to back them even though these two parties are clearly of the super rich (Cameron, Clegg, Huhne, Osborne), by the super rich, and for the super-rich!
"Just can't understand how 39% have not twigged that Cameron and Co. are liars and absolute incompetents.They should have been found out by now." They are supported by the national narrative as agreed by all commentators, journalists etc. From the moment the banks blew up, all commentators (and the Labour government) agreed that austerity would be required to deal with the "deficit" resulting from bailing them out. There was no debate, it was just assumed as an obvious necessity, a fact. It has never been properly challenged, including by the Labour Party, which therefore finds itself in the position of ideologically supporting the Government's most ruthless and destructive policies. No wonder the Tories benefit, when Labour itself props them up. This isn't just a tragedy for the left, it is a tragedy for the country as a whole, since "deficit slashing" is the cover underwhich the welfare state will be broken up and privatised - without a national debate and without an effective effort to protect it from Labour. Which, let us not forget, began the process under Blair.
gerry. No party helped the rich more than our wonderful previous discredited Labour party. You really do need to do some research before you start talking bollocks.
English Lefties-come and join us in the Utopia that is Scotland.
Stuart Eels.. Just like millions of others. I just keep hoping something better come along!!
p j wall: Have you ever thought it's you that's bitter and twisted?
'humility and empathy' doesn't pay the bills. Ed Milliband is as genuine as a Rolex watch you can buy down the local pub..
You really can`t take criticism of your dear leader Flashman and your idol Gideon, Ha Ha!!, Diddums, Diddums, keep taking the medicine!, and get back to your bedtime read The Tory Manifesto 2010, then count all the lies in it, that should send you asleep, By the way, being put on the dole by your dear leaders Flashman and Gideon doesn`t pay the bills!!, i`m not a big fan of Miliband, but blaming him for your parties incompetence, is a bit of a stretch, even for someone with your mindset!.
As we predicted if a GE were held now it would return a hung Parliament, and that goes for the future too. We are definitely in the era of hung Parliaments and Coalitions like our European neighbours, apart from the French.
So thats one up to the electorate over the coniving politicians.
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