Five pieces of bad news from today's employment figures
Including: vacancies down, youth unemployment up and part-time workers up.
By George Eaton Published 17 August 2011 12:05
After several months of positive employment figures, today's are decidedly negative. Unemployment, which was expected to fall by around 10,000, has actually risen by 38,000 to 2.49m (7.9 per cent). But that's not the only grim statistic in today's data release, below are five other worrying trends.
1. Vacancies down.
The number of vacancies is down 22,000 over the quarter and down 28,000 over the year to 449,000, the lowest number since the three months to November 2009.
2. Youth unemployment up
Youth unemployment has risen by 15,000 to 949,000 (20.2 per cent) over the last quarter. There is a risk that it will rise further as thousands of A-level students enter the labour market for the first time.
The unemployment rate for 16-24 year olds not in full-time education has risen to 18.8 per cent, up 0.5 per cent from the three months to March.
3. Involuntary part-time workers up
The number of people working part-time because they can't find a full-time job has risen to a record high of 1.26m (see graph), up 7 per cent on the quarter and 17 per cent on the year. 16 per cent of Britain's 7.9m part-time workers fall into this category.

4. Involuntary temporary workers up
The number of temporary workers who could not find a permanent job (as opposed to those who did not want one) has risen to 601,000, up 29,000 (5.1 per cent) over the last three months and up 33,000 (5.8 per cent) over the last year. 37 per cent of the UK's 1.6m temporary workers fall into this category.
5. Women hit hardest
Female unemployment rose by 21,000 over the quarter (male unemployment rose by 18,000) to reach 1.05m, the highest figure since 1988. With women making up 65 per cent of the public sector workforce, it's unsurprising that they've been hit hardest by the coalition's cuts.
Women also bore the brunt of redundancies with 69,000 made redundant over the last three months, up 25,000 (56.5 per cent) on the quarter and 20,000 (41.5 per cent) on the year.
The coalition can still point to the fact that there are now 29.27m people in employment, 251,000 (0.9 per cent) more than year ago, and that the rise in private sector employment has (so far) compensated for the fall in public sector employment. There are 520,000 more private sector workers than a year ago, compared with 143,000 fewer public sector workers. But with the biggest cuts yet to come and growth significantly lower than expected, things could be about to get very grim indeed.
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25 comments
Osborne is forcing women to quit work due to increasing childcare costs.
1% you never listen, the cupboard is empty. What's keeping many young women out of employment is the tremendous costs to business from increased maternity leave.
Luddite plays with a dolly, the inflatable variety.
I presume a certain attention seeker among these posts is advocating all women of child bearing age who work, should all be sterilised!!, because of the, quote; "The tremendous costs to business from increased maternity leave", Dear me!!, I really do think you need to increase your medication!!!, Because your beloved Gideon has failed you!, and you`re in total denial, You`re beloved Tories are totally out of their depths, under your hero Flashman!.
matthew fox: Go and play with dolly..
writeon: Gordon Brown isn't a socialist.
Joseph Stalin wasn't a communist. How often to we hear this when state socialism fails to deliver the goods.
1% put on your wellies, and go down the seller. Dolly's waiting.
@Matthew fox,...Spot on, iv`e said this in previous posts, the double standards by the tories is pathetic!!, Labour where vilified in 2008, the worlds finances where in total meltdown!!, The tories kept blaming Gordon Brown for his so called reckless spending, even though Flashman and Gideon pledged to match and even increase what Labours spending plans where in 2007!!, selective memory syndrome, me thinks, Now suddenly, because the Tories have stalled the economy, they`re saying it`s a Global Issue!!!, you`ve got to laugh, if it was`nt so serious!, Gideon`s in total denial, his ideology is destroying peoples lives!!, the guy is a total IDIOT!, along with his groupies and apoligists on here!.
I think, what we are seeing now, is the probable deaththrows of the kind of capitalism the west's been built on for a couple of centuries. Whether capitalism, in some form, will survive in China, or India, or Russia, or Brazil, is another question.
The current crisis could even be so severe that capitalism trashes itself everywhere.
In this sense, Marx and others were correct, capitalism is destroying itself from the inside, not destroyed by an inevitable revolution, but destroyed by its own inner contradictions and structural weaknesses.
Capitalism seems to undermine itself by inexorably pressing demand out of the marketplace, and thereby creating a crisis of demand and surplus production which pushes the entire system over the edge in depression, like we are mired in today, with probably no way out again. It's Keynes, or war. Capitalism's Plan B.
@ writeon
the part about left and right being factions, totally with you there. need some real choice. a new party perhaps??
"Whilst Labour is more sceptical about the 'benefits' of boom 'n' bust policies"
It's a fact of nature that cycles exist- they are inescapable, nothing is a staright line, they exist in trends also, but NEITHER should they be so severe that we become super artificially rich e.g.nonsense house prices, nor should a load of peole become unemployed. In other words, it is the AMPLITUDE of the corrections that policy makers need to concern themselves with.Unless people get that itis simply impossible NOT to have boom n busts, the left and right keep making the mistakes-personally i think the right handle the cycles better, see 1990/94, they increased public spending and by 98 we had a surplus- it's not that they like boom n bust, they are not afraid so much, probably because historically tories are richer, so their saving help them weather the downturn better.
agreed, the cupboard isn't bare, it's got a hew iou's in it though...and the waste is a disgrace, it's immoral.
agreed, it's scary to wonder who is going to buy stuff in the high street, especially with cut backs, and I think thats what Lagarde was saying the other day- there can be medium term cuts BUT also growth must be a priority short term. Currently the numbers for growth are barely positive, having recently tumbled, but encouragingly, borrowing was down today- IT'S VERY EARLY and NOTHING can be drawn from that, but maybe if the numbers keep getting worse, osborne might well try and tap the mkts for some more cash, or ebven maintain the borrowing if indeed the trend of increase in private and decrease in public jobs continues, thus extending his projections of cutting the structural deficit- he can't say that because he'd be accused of being undecisive, inconsistent, and that in turn might scare international investors (makes me boil with rage that we are dependant on them, really it angers me that we got to this). however, the markets know he has to win an election, so they may cut him some slack if they like what he's doing at the time.
Lastly, on capitalism- aren't u simply saying that people become greedy and imbalenced, de-sensitised to their fellow humans. Their insecurities in who has the faster, bigger car/house/boat plane mean people become more and more maniacal in their treatment of others? i don't see what capitalism or socialism has to do with any of these phenomena, there were plent of RICH commies in ex red russia... I just woneder if most of these ailments don't simply boil down to greed and a lust for power
I'm in involuntary part time employment because there seems to be no full time jobs. It is so hard to make ends meet but at least its work. It's not through want of trying to find a full time job though!
p j wall. Our cupboard is bare. That means the services demanded of, and offered by the state will have to be cut back. It is a mystery to me why your supposedly brilliant Gordon Brown didn't understand this obvoius economic fact. Mr Milliband and Ed Balls, the shadow chancellor, were both also advisers to Gordon Brown at the Treasury when Labour's wasteful splurge on public spending was conceived and enacted. A decade of Brownite socialism brought Britain to the point of bankruptcy...
Gordon Brown isn't a socialist, and his economic strategy wasn't anywhere near a socialist alternative.
Essentially, New Labour is little more than a faction, like the Conservatives, of single party, a party of political managers who differ over the same basic economic strategy and the same underlying economic system.
Put simply, Labour believes that role of the state as both benefactor and protector of a healthy capitalist system needs to be prioritized, whilst the Conservative faction, (at least in their publically stated rhetoric) disagrees, prefering to let the 'market' have it's head - regardless, until the state is forced to step in to pick up the pieces, as in the banking crisis.
Whilst Labour is more sceptical about the 'benefits' of boom 'n' bust policies, the Conservatives seem to regard this as a natural state for capitalism and almost something that's beneficial... new, green shoots, rising from the ashes...
Our cupboard isn't bare. This is nonsense. The UK is still a very rich country. That we waste so many resources, is another matter.
In a depression it is madness for the state to cut back. How will creating more unemployment and therefore less demand benefit the economy? Who will buy the goods on the highstreet? Where will the tax revenues come from? All that will happen is a vicious downward spiral into more economic decline. Keynes' recipe for 'saving capitalism' from itself is the only one that really works, as history has proven beyond doubt.
It has to be underscored that Keynes was not a socialist and his recipe was not socialism in action, far from it, but only an attempt to use the power of the state to revive the economy when capitalism had run out of steam and ideas to 'cure' itself, due to ideological blindness, the state we find ourselves in now.
writeon: You will have to do better than that. Didn't we try communism on a few occasions, was it a roaring success? It usually ended with workers face down in a ditch, with a bullet in the back of the neck.
Why is "women hit hardest" an issue? Would "men hit hardest" be one?
Apart from that, good article.
It was always assumed future generations would pick up the bills for this generation party. The lefts ideological enthusiasm for taxation, combined with class-war dogma, and the lefts instinctive suspicion with the nation state and the free market, has after 50 year's undermined the pillars of our economic prosperity and freedoms. No country can borrow it's way out of debt, and back to prosperity, and either can we keep increasing the tax burden on the genuine wealth creators. Tragically, we in Britain are all trapped in this destructive world of self-delusion. The cupboard is empty. In order to spend wealth first we most create wealth. it's not rocket science.
Your accompanying pic is a delight. He scarcely keep the self satisfied smirk off his face. I bet he starts to giggle when the camera is away.
Personally I'm not a big fan of Utopias like communism, or the fantasy of a 'free market', or a democratic utopia for that matter.
Being a product and beneficiary of capitalism, I'd be mad to actually desire its demise, for purely selfish reasons. I enjoy the comfort capitalism provides.
Though I do want capitalism to be intelligent and reigned in, extreme capitalism is, I would argue, a very dangerous beast indeed, one that has a seemingly inbuilt tendency to devour itself, even to the extent of self-destruction.
Just because one uses the word 'capitalism' doesn't mean that one is a socialist or wants to see capitalism vanish. One can actually be a 'conservative' and oppose the excesses of capitalism, if they undermine the very foundations of capitalism and risk destroying everything that's positive about capitalism.
Even Marx saw capitalism as a revolutinary force that was changing the world and sweeping away the old fuedal order, a progressive force; but their was a price involved, which he railed against; massive inequality and the spectre of economic collapse.
In my humble opinion what the government has got wholly wrong is the distinction between public and private sector. Their view that cutting the public frees the private is based on a hopelessley outddated model. In these days of Capita, Group 4 and Serco no one quite knows where the public sector ends and private begins. As Polly Toynbee observed a number of years ago in her book 'Hard Work' in which she worked as a hospital porter for a private sector contractor no one is really actually counting.
It appears that George Osborne is proving ALL his critic's right !
Give it another year and we will all be laughing at George the Economically illiterate boy that has probably never done a hard days work in his life.
writeon: So you aren't a Marxist? May-be a social conservative with strong libertarian tendencies perhaps?
"In many third world countries, children walk miles each day to get a basic education if they are lucky enough to be able to get a place in a school. But then there are incentives, if the have some education they might get a job, if they don't, they are likely to starve.
It is time to stop paying benefits to any school leavers who don't have a sufficient level of education on the basis that by failing to attain a suitable level of education, they have made themselves unemployable."
Horrible fuckwit on the Telegraph who has been recommended by 12 people.
Whats the plan then Anton - the "guaranteed" jobs that Labour bleat on about? or, as those of us with a brain can work out - rebranded benefits to massage the stats.
The fact of the matter is the economy is in the pan and its a global issue. The US kept spending and look what happended, Italy, Spain et al all followed the "balls" model and kept spending and are all in a much worse position than we are.
There are bound to be inter month variances and trend shifts, as long as over the course of a reasonable period, say 2 - 3 years employment in the PRIVATE sector increases fingers crossed we'll pull through this.
We had a global issue in 2008, yet Cameron and Osborne would have none of it.
Osborne killed the recovery and we are seeing the consequences.
The US are spending money on George W Bush's wars, and borrowing on the credit card, to finance his tax cuts.
The government's on going war with women is bearing fruit.
Osborne is forcing women to quit work due to increasing childcare costs.
A great example of joined up government.
Governments over the past three decades have become highly adept at disguising the true jobless figures; the official unemployment rate simply bears no resemblance to reality.
Several years ago, whilst on a New Deal "training" programme, the senior tutor let slip that claimants would not appear in the unemployment statistics for the duration of the course (three months). One of the jobless I met on the course is still out of work but forced to live on his life savings after his entitlement to JSA was cancelled after six months. I suspect there are many more like him who have conveniently disappeared from the official statistics.
The Party of unemployment