Welcome to the New Statesman website. Please sign in or register to participate in the conversation.

The Staggers

The New Statesman’s rolling politics blog

Syndicate contentRSS

Three open goals for Labour - and a trap

Labour is in a strong position so long as it avoids mixed messages and leaves the cuts unmentioned.

Perhaps Ed Miliband is a lucky general after all. After the huge political windfall of Hackgate, the riots have fallen into his lap. While they are a disaster for the country and the communities they have afflicted, for Labour they present a huge opportunity.

Essentially, Ed and his team stand in front of three open goals. All they need to do is boot the ball, straight ahead, and they'll have David Cameron in trouble.

The first open goal is marked "competence". A weak initial police response and the incredible situation where May, Cameron, Clegg, Boris and Osborne were all abroad at once, Cameron stands a few screw-ups away from being the new John Major. The public secretly suspect that most politicians are useless and won't take much persuading to put Dave in that column for his uncertain response to the riots.

The second is marked "out of touch". Cameron and Boris -- and most of the Cabinet -- are millionaires. Their inexplicable failure to respond to the crises by coming home from their foreign holidays brings this line of political attack into play and can be done without the crass "they're all rich boys" line, which smacks of class envy.Yet another PR disaster by a man whose only job outside politics was running the PR operation of a TV firm, whose name was a byword for bad programming when he was working there.

The third is labelled "police numbers". Forcing Cameron to defend his cuts to police numbers will put him on the back foot and dismay his own supporters. Over and over again, Labour politicians must ask: why did David Cameron want to cut police numbers? Labour is fortunate that, at this moment, it has a forensic and forceful shadow home secretary in Yvette Cooper who can mix the policy work with the campaigning efforts to ensure that Labour MPs and activists can take the battle to the Tories at local level.

So far, so obvious. Yet for these attacks to hit home, Labour must forswear any mention of the cuts in any debate on the riots.

Voters look at the mobs and just know that these are not people who are gutted at the closure of the local library or youth centre. Even if the cuts were to blame -- something which would be impossible to prove -- Labour shouldn't make the case for reversing them just because a few thousand unpleasant and selfish people had been emboldened by TV pictures of weak policing to go out and do some early -- and free -- Christmas shopping. To the ears of decent, law-abiding middle class and working class Britain, that sounds like an appeal for Danegeld: pay more tax so we can buy off the boys and girls in the masks, or JD Sports gets it (again).

For an example of how not to do it, Labour politicians should watch Harriet Harman's disastrous encounter with Michael Gove on Newsnight last night. As an MP for a London seat which had seen some trouble, Harriet should have wiped the floor with Gove on competence, police numbers and being out of touch. Instead, while she strongly denounced the riots and looting, and said there was no excuse for the looting, she raised cuts and deficit reduction, muddying the waters -- and Gove floored her. An interview that she should have walked ended with Harriet on the defensive. Fortunately this was only Newsnight, so not many people would have been watching -- although the quotes will have been salted away by the Tories, you can bet on that.

Above all, it was an example of what can happen when you try to mix your messages. There will be plenty of opportunities to press the economic attack in the months ahead -- along with a few opportunities to refine it. But as far as the riots are concerned, from Labour shadow ministers, MPs and councillors, we now need discipline.

 

David Mills was a special adviser at the Cabinet Office and HM Treasury from 2009-10 and produced the GMTV Sunday Programme for eight years.

Tags: London Riots  Police cuts  Spending Cuts  Ed Miliband

31 comments

Chris Baldwin's picture

"Voters look at the mobs and just know that these are not people who are gutted at the closure of the local library or youth centre"

Trouble is, many things that people "just know" turn out to be wrong.

Dickie1's picture

Answer to Rose,

No, I'm not a woman.

Anton Jury's picture

I think that the wider public now see a Deceitful, Dishonest, Hypocritical, incompetent Government thats foundations are built on lies and spin.

These riots were more than one man being shoot by the Police. That was the spark to a deeper and painful reason why people are protesting by rioting. This was rage, anger and pain.

These Tories should wake up and have a reality check because they are part of the problem. Big Time !

Maria111's picture

On a question of why the UK is broken:

A story of the pious Tony Blair and the thousands of handicapped and killed Iraqi children, or how Blair and Bush worked hard to satisfy British Petroleum bosses (and other oil-loving men) with good profits:

http://onlyinamericablogging.blogspot.com/2011/04/uk-plans-to-exploit-ir...

Liz's picture

Interesting article, but appraisal of Gove Harman interview not reflecting general opinion I think. I had a spontaneous discussion with colleagues at work today - all who'd watched Newsnight and all who were disgusted with Gove's personal attack on Harman.

Gove had basically lost his cool, lost his manners and actually made Harman look serene in comparison.

Well done Harriet for posing questions about the causes of the riots which surely everyone is asking.

C Baker's picture

I think Ed is doing OK. He's coming across as being calm and rational, which is what is required. He's putting the gravity of the situation above party politics. As a woman, i've admired Harriet in her vocal contribution regarding equality, but in these modern times, she's sounding more ridiculous and remote. I don't want to play the class issue, as it is as cheap as the labourites going on about etonians etc- but here goes anyway. Ed i get, but Harriet, with her posh background and public sector bolstered income and Red Ken and his massive overspend on his mayoral offices. I try to take them seriously, but can't. Politics has served them well, rather than them serving us well. They just use soundbites and a few ready made blah blah blah same old spin and phrases to argue everything. They might have been forward thinking in the 70's, but I fear they are both stuck in that time warp. Whereas Ed, is more in tune with the realities of England 2011.

Jack the R's picture

There are additional traps which Labour are likely to fall into. Firstly to be seen as trying to gain political advantage while the riots continue. Livingstone was cerainly guilty of this with his early intervention and Harman slightly less so in her spat with Gove. While the political followers may see relevance in the outcome of Newsnight debates and extrapolate this to the world at large, I can assure them that the remaining 99% of the electorate could not care a toss and see it as irrelevant noise coming from the metropolitan elite - be it left or right.

But the biggest trap, and one that Labour doesn't not have an answer to the question - Social disharmony and breakdown has not occured overnight (i.e since the last election). You were in power for the 13 previous years and failed to address it effectively. The 'posh rich, out of touch' approach that you advocate will not wash. It was tried before and failed, and people now are more concerned with disassociation from the types who have directly inflicted the damage of recent days.

Jamie's picture

I can't believe how brainwashed the readers of this site are. Harman was floored by Gove, and quite rightly. If Britain is broken and if kids are angry, it is because Labour broke it during its 13 years of wasted governance. The cuts (across the board, and not just in policing) are necessary because the Tories inherited a bankrupt country from Labour. Any attempt by Labour to blame the Tories for current youth sentiment or unavoidable economic decisions dictated by their own incompetence is hypocrisy of the highest order.

Stiles's picture

"If Britain is broken and if kids are angry, it is because Labour broke it during its 13 years of wasted governance."
No, it was broken during the previous 18 years of Tory Govt, the govt that deliberately created unemployment - "if it isn't hurting, it's not working" So said John Major, as chancellor of the Exchequer, when he was talking about the harsh effects of Conservative economic policies in the late 80s/early 90s.
The tragedy for Labour was that we panicked and elected Blair as leader who accepted the Thatcher legacy.

p j wall's picture

Regarding the Newsnight bout between multi-millionaire,Murdochs close friend, and the INCOMPETENT Gove and Harmen, Gove came across like an overbearing BULLY!!, shouting at, and over Harmen every time she was making a point!!, his face was red,he leaned over at her ranting and being very condescending!, Harmen was calm, until at the very end when she had to raise her voice!, so where you say "Gove floored her", i don`t think so, he came across like a typical,Condescending, Nasty Tory BULLY who could`nt answer the relevent points Harmen was making. The Tories and Cameron are crapping themselves because their so called babies, the Economy, and Law and Order, are both going down the pan under their watch!!, and that`s what the british publics Perception will be!.

Phil Daniels's picture

I agree with all the posters above who did not think that Gove had floored Harriet. Gove didn't argue with what HH was saying, but called it "fatuous", and "demeaning" that HH should even mention it. In the face of someone being so rude, I would have been unable to remain so calm.
It is not the only contrast on video news today. The clip of Ed Miliband in Peckham shows him listening attentively – straining to do so at one point – strikingly different from the Tory leaders making speeches.
On the point of whether or not it would be good strategy for Labour to link the riots to the cuts, it is certainly a difficult point to make. The cuts may contribute to the political atmosphere, but the fact that ‘they haven’t happened yet’ makes the point a awkward one to argue.
With respect to traps, I mean this facetiously but I think the trap that yawns most temptingly would be for Ed Miliband to defer to the Prime Minister on the motivations for wanton destruction as, unlike members of the Bullingdon Club, he has no personal experience of it.

Phil Daniels's picture

Jamie writes: "the Tories inherited a bankrupt country from Labour". For in depth refutations of this falsehood, please refer to David Blanchflower's column.

Luddite's picture

No community wish to see Police numbers fall. Police numbers need to increase substantially. It's always nice to see the police rounding up these criminal gangs and left-wing thugs.

Tim's picture

I think that the parents of children who are going to be up in court shortly may be "gutted" at the closure of the youth clubs that they might otherwise have been attending.

Those children may be "gutted" as they discover the consequences of their criminal record on their futures

Jamie's picture

I've read David Blanchflower's column and it says nothing whatsoever about the state of the economy that the Tories took over, which was unarguably bankrupt. It simply takes issue with the way the Tories have dealt with it. Given that Labour got us there in the first place, I dread to think how they would have handled it. Note how Obama in the US is being pilloried for having taken the opposite approach to the austere Tories.

Keithpp's picture

Just watched the Newsnight clip.

What planet is David Mills on?

I saw Gove ceaselessy attempting to portray the comments of HH as justification for the riots. Even Esler intervened to say that she had done no such thing.

Mike S's picture

"Given that Labour got us there in the first place"

Remind me Jamie - what were Cameron and Osborne arguing should have been done when the Northern Rock crisis arose? And, perhaps you could go on to explain what the consequences would have been if their proposals had been followed.

matthew fox's picture

Indu Pendent is a classic example of Broken Britain.

You will find alot of these rioters are Thatcher's children, not Blair or Brown Children.

I don't remember this level of disorder under Brown or Blair, again Conservatives are in denial, blaming everyone apart for themselves.

Cameron was too busy topping up his tan in tuscany to be concerned with the rioting that happened over last weekend.

David Wearing1's picture

"David Mills was a special adviser at the Cabinet Office and HM Treasury from 2009-10"

..when the Brown governments public relations effort marched seamlessly from one victory to the next.

Phil Daniels's picture

Jamie - 'Bankruptcy ... is a legal status of a person or an organisation that cannot repay the debts it owes to its creditors.' And when that happens, said person or organisation cannot borrow, certainly not cheaply.
DB has mentioned the Tories' patent falsehood (or soundbite) that the UK is/was bankrupt in many of his pieces. I'm not sure why you couldn't find these comments. Have you noticed Treasury bonds going unsold or yields on them skyrocketing?

martybee's picture

Broken Pledges
Bankers bonus
Politicians expenses
Phone hacking
Police corruption..

The problem Is the Kids dont respect authority....I wonder why

Phil Daniels's picture

Jamie, there is a graph (Daily Ten-Year Bond Yields)as part of his 21 July piece "Sanity will prevail in the US but Europe remains gripped by madness" that shows the difference between the cheap credit available to the UK and US, on the one hand, the less cheap credit available to Italy and Spain, and in contrast the yield required when you are perceived as being a credit risk, exemplified by Ireland, Portugal and - of course - Greece (which the UK is nothing like). On the basis of these facts, I would therefore say 'unarguably NOT bankrupt'.

David Mills's picture

David Wearing: Fair point - though if I might get all Hegelian for a moment, the owl of Minerva only takes flight as the dusk begins to fall.

And sure, Gove was rude, and patronising - that's what he does best. But HH opened up a flank that didn't need to be opened. She had more than enough to put Gove in a corner, but clearly wanted to take the EMA fight to Gove because he's Education Secretary. It just muddied the waters and allowed him to get on his high horse (furiously mixing my metaphors), whereas he should have been pressed on the three strong points that I outline above.

FA's picture

Gove was angry - because he was genuinely shocked that Harman would try and score a point about tuition fees which she did. Anyone who saw that who isn't a dyed in the woool Labour loyalist would either conclude that Harman was breath-takingly cynical or actually believed that not tuition fees cause people to loot JD Sports.

All this advice is actually sound and perfectly correct. This looting wasn't caused by the cuts so it doesn't make sense to blame them on the cuts. The ultimate root cause of the looting is decades of failed social policy. New Labour spent a lot of time trying to deal with anti-social behaviour so this is the culmination of an old problem, not a new one. The issue in the public's eyes is police numbers. I think the Lib Dems are actually right that numbers should be cut but a if you're a Labour partisan that's where the most popular attack will be made. And Cameron will concede on it. Which of course causes problems for the Lib Dems, whose grassroots (already demanding more orange water last week), will be the most hostile to the law and order direction which public opinion will head in.

mary8's picture

I watched the Newsnight debate and I was struck by how rattled and genuinely angry Gove was. Like you, I felt he was disturbed by Harriet's reference to the cuts in police numbers and budgets. He seized on her comments on the effects of the cuts and frankly "went off on one." Harriet may have been wrong to make the connection between the austerity measures and the riots, but Gove was clearly losing his temper. He did not look like a man in control.

Indu Pendent's picture

Before 2008, Labour borrowed £350bn and blamed it on the banking callapse. What did the kids then get for the money?

How many of the rioters are Labour's children, who grew up under Labour's project?

Do they have strong moral values, a sense of purpose and a sense of community? How many have long term wealth creating jobs even?

Is Britain broken and when did it happen?

So many question. So much evasive spin.

Lady J's picture

Good article David. Mostly spot on but I must disagree with you on Newsnight.

Harriet got exactly what he wanted. Gove ranting, very unbecoming of a member of the government.

swatantra nandanwar's picture

Thats 3 - 0, on penalties for Team Milliband.

Dickie1's picture

Harriet Harmen was clear about what she was saying and kept cool. She also understands that politics is a large and complex business.

There is a mismatch for me between how she was reported and what actually happened (not just here). 'Floored' is a little overblown I think.

Sue Davies's picture

Well that's three of us who didn't see the Newsnight interview as an own goal for Harriet.

Gove seemed increasingly unbalanced psychologically as he strived for longer and more erudite adjectives to describe how disappointed he was in the hither-to admired Harman.

Rose4's picture

4 of us - I thought Gove was out of control, over personal and as Lady J says ranting. Are we all women?

Post new comment

By submitting this form, you accept the Mollom privacy policy.

Latest tweets