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Miliband's phone hacking bounce continues

For the first time since September, the Labour leader has a higher approval rating than Cameron.

Ed Miliband continues to profit from his decision to lead the charge against News International. The latest YouGov/Sunday Times poll shows that the Labour leader's net approval rating is now higher than David Cameron's for the first time since last September.

Miliband's rating is now -15, up from -21 a week ago and from -34 three weeks ago (before the Milly Dowler story broke), while Cameron's is -16, down from -12 a week ago. Nick Clegg's approval rating is unchanged at -42. However, it's important to note, as UK Polling Report's Anthony Wells does, that this simply means people think Miliband is doing a better job as Labour leader, not that he'd make a better prime minister than Cameron. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Cameron a nine point lead over Miliband as the best PM. But, one hastens to add, this is the lowest lead recorded to date. Miliband has grown significantly in the eyes of the public over the last two weeks.

Given that personal approval ratings are often a better long-term indicator of the next election result than voting intentions, this is encouraging for Labour. The party frequently led the Tories under Neil Kinnock, for instance, but Kinnock was never rated above John Major as a potential prime minister. Miliband still isn't where he needs to be but he is (finally) moving in the right direction. In the meantime, Labour's lead over the Tories (43 per cent to 35 per cent) remains at eight points, up two points since the Dowler story broke. If repeated at a general election on the current constituency boundaries, these figures would give Labour a majority of 96.

Tags: Ed Miliband

14 comments

kenny jenkins's picture

' A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Cameron a nine point lead over Miliband as the best PM'
Given that we don't get to vote for a Prime Minister in this country, why would anybody be interested?

Hannah's picture

My family & I have never voted The Labour party in the past, following recent events &leadership Ed has shown to the country specially with regards to the disgusting NoW co. Ed will definitely going to get our votes, thanks Ed for fighting the tyrants & taking care of the law abiding people & innocent...

Luddite's picture

Let's not get carried away.. Hannah the only tyrants we suffer are one of aspiration.. Labour's got an awful lot of fence building to do, before we English put the Eastern European Marxist in number 10.. there's always something missing in Labour's rhetoric..

Andrew's picture

Kenny, we may not get to vote for the Prime Minister but it's amazing how many of the electorate believe otherwise. In any case, it would be naive to think that a party leader's popularity (or otherwise) has no bearing on its electoral prospects. Why else would Labour and Tory backbenchers have forced out even their most successful leaders?

swatantra nandanwar's picture

You have to bear in mind that this wretched lot are in for another 4 years and there's b****r all Ed or anyone else can do about it. Lets hope Ed has the stamina to keep it going.

adam's picture

Who would have thought it? Labour have an inspirational leader and more importantly one with imagination. Imagination was the one thing David Milliband had none of(as well as a having too many blairish skeletons in the cupboard like rendition).

David Milliband could not have done what Ed has done in the past two weeks - I'll bet Labour are now relieved they picked Ed rather then David as leader.

Edward's picture

T May Must resign now. her scapgoating days are over. She has proven by her own deeds that she cannot be trusted. Cameron must also come clean and rather than bolstering May, he should immediately tell her to resign.
I also hope that Brodie wins his IT for unfair dimissal against May and Cameron [what a pair].

matthew fox's picture

Luddite keeps forgetting what he writes.

He wrote working folk wouldn't vote for Miliband, yet he is 4 for 4 in by-elections.

Didn't William Hague state that President Assad was a " reformer "

My understanding of the Ralph and Marion Miliband, is that they escaped Hitler's persecution.

Ralph Miliband served in the Royal Navy, during World War 2, and worked as a bus driver after the war.

I bet Luddite wished Ralph and Marion had ended up in Belsen or Auschwitz.

whatevs's picture

"Labour's got an awful lot of fence building to do, before we English put the Eastern European Marxist in number 10"

wow. stay classy luddite.

Luddite's picture

think about it...

Tom's picture

Realizing the normal margin or error in polls, what does this tiny number mean?
In the overall scheme of things, nothing.

Maybe the Labour War Room should put actual effort into other actual issues. The whole world doesn't revolve around Murdoch.

mediumal57's picture

I think a cvertain cautionary note needs yo be interjected here. Ed got my vote a long time ago for the leadership of the Party, because I felt instinctively that he would be able to put the Balir/Brown years behind us and move the Perty on. Unlike his much more favoured (in our media at least) brother. He has thankfully repaid that faith I had in him and demonstrated this over the past couple of weeks.

However, there is a long way to go.

The Tories are setting the agenda again and have cleaverly manouvered the political/economic debate onto their natural territory. This phone hacking scandal has proved a useful distraction for Labour, who up and until a few weeks ago had absolutely no answers (at least none that were resonating with the public), by way of challenging what the Tories are doing with the British economy.

The focus now has to be back on Labour's alternative to Tory policy. It has to be credible and it has to be argued for. All I keep hearing is how necessary are the cuts the Tories are making and it's a pain that we are all going to have to get used to in order to come out of this better off. Personally I don't buy it.

But the case for doing it differently still has to be argued for in a consistent and forceful manner. Because believe you me, the Tories have their plans fairly well worked out and they are not going to be easily swayed from continuing along with them. And despite the demise of part of their main cheerleader's coterie, the Tory Party still has most of the British media on their side.

Ivan White's picture

“You have to bear in mind that this wretched lot are in for another 4 years”

I wouldn’t bank on that, swatantra. I tend to agree with ‘Liberal Democrat Voice’ blogger Paul Walter when he writes:-
“Cameron is sitting on a timebomb…….Things will reach the point when he simply can’t go on as Prime Minister. The endless debilitating ‘noises off’ cacophony of Hackgate and Coulsongate will be so loud and remorseless that, finally, it will be unsustainable for him to do his job.”

If Cameron goes, all bets are off as to the survival of the coalition.

http://cuttingedgeuk.proboards.com/index.cgi

frances smith's picture

the polls are moving in the right direction. which is the important thing.

its interesting. i saw someone recently saying that ed miliband was a bit like john major, in that he had this dull geeky intellectualism about him, and it may well be that after the phone hacking scandal that may actually be what the country wants.

as long as he resists attempts to turn him into the next blair he could just about get there.

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