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Vince Cable blunt about Britain’s woes

“We are actually a poorer country,” says the Business Secretary.

In an interview in the Guardian today, Vince Cable has admitted that the government has not adequately communicated the state of Britain's economy. Cable said:

We are actually a poorer country, mainly because of the banking crash, the recession that followed it and partly due to the squeeze we are now under from the changing balance of the world economy . . . Britain is no longer one of the world's price-setters. We take our prices from international commodity markets driven by China and India. That is something we have got to live with and adjust to. It is painful. It is a challenge to us in government to explain it. The political class as a whole is not preparing the public for how massive the problem is.

Cable's words appear to be a challenge to both David Cameron and George Osborne, who are keen to employ the message that Britain is gradually creeping into recovery, and to the opposition:

There is not a sustained critique, pressure or argument from the progressive wing of politics. Ultimately it comes back to this defensiveness and an unwillingness to accept that Britain was operating a model that failed . . .

His frank and negative assessment of the British economy comes on the day Ed Miliband is seeking to rejuvenate his party with an optimistic message. The Business Secretary's stark warning offers a direct contrast and a significant declaration of independence from his own government's line:

The fact is that we are now having to get used perhaps to lower growth and a gradual process of building the economy up again. We have had a very, very profound crisis which is going to take a long time to dig out of . . . It has done profound damage and it is damage that is going to last a long time.

37 comments

simplevips53's picture

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Lou's picture

Mike S

I've sent an email to NS asking for the blog by Danny.

Stuart Eels's picture

The only thing Vince Cable is interested in is Vince Cable. His crack about Gordon Brown going from Superman to Mr Bean is now coming back to haunt him as he is shown to be the Mr Bean of the Coalition. He would walk across the chamber but Labour won't have him.

Lou's picture

"...One cause of current instability is the conflict inside Libya.
The whole House will praise the courage and professionalism of our armed forces, who are trying to bring that conflict to an end and save lives. And I can confirm that the additional cost of military operations will be met entirely from the Treasury reserve"

George Osborne, Budget 23rd March 2011.

Acamar's picture

Stuart, it was Stalin not Superman (Cable's famous quip about Gordon Brown in the Commons).

matthew fox's picture

Looks like St Vince is getting the excuses in first.

You can't start changing your tune, one year into a government.

Acamar's picture

Usually trade ministers do not talk down our economy. A serious mistake.

As to being poorer, the poor certainly are being attacked by Cable and his Tory chums. We, the scum of the earth, are being driven deeper into ruin, thanks to Cable, and thanks to the bankers, who are still living high on the hog.

Sam's picture

There does seem to be a lack of understanding that it will take a long time to sort out our economy.

Our growth over the last decade was dependent on easily available credit. Now we can't go back to that level of easy credit we're going to have to change our economic model to a manufacturing and export one.

The problem is that takes a long time. Plus, it's the same thing that America and much of Europe is looking to do. And then we have China which is looking to move into hi-tech manufacturing but will have much lower wages than the Western world.

And then we have the added bonus of having a failing education system where half of school leavers don't get 5 A-C grades and the ones that do don't have the confidence of businesses and investors because of grade inflation, we're going to have trouble attracting investment when the money could be better invested in better educated countries.

Yep, it's going to be a long, hard slog. If we started working hard now to correct our weaknesses we might be able to begin to get our economy back on track in 10 years time.

Benjamin Rae's picture

Matthew Fox is right. It's a case of getting excuses in early as Osborne's policies are about to be exposed for what they are. The economy is about to go into proper recession again because that idiot Osborne has no idea what he's doing beyond attacking the vulnerable.
You know what the solution will be from this governmen. More cuts.

Lou's picture

Perhaps Vince knows the growth figures are going to be revised downwards this week so he's just getting in the excuses now for why Osbornomics is not working.

AndyW's picture

I believe that politicians all have a major credibility problem. Even when/if they are telling the truth they are not believed because too many lies have been told and too many promises have been broken. It has become impossible to know who to believe or trust.

Anton Jury's picture

David Cameron wanted a conflict with Libya on a hypothetical basis because Gaddafi made threats. So now the United Kingdom is involved with a £3 Million Pound a day conflict when there is no money in the pot.If there is no money in the pot the United Kingdom will have to borrow the £3 Million a day cost for the Libyan conflict from somewhere else with interest on top. That is going to add/increase our deficit or make it differcult to lower.

On top of this David Camerons conflict in Libya has icreased the cost of oil worldwide.This means that the extra cost of oil is going to have a knock on effect that is going to increase the price of every thing that we buy.This will also mean that we will pay more tax because everything that we buy has tax added that the Government gets in the form of (VAT)which is Value Added Tax.Basically higher oil prices means higher prices and more tax on everything from fuel through to everything you buy.

So it is true to say that the United Kingdoms decision to get involved with a conflict in Libya for hypothetical reasons as cost us increases in tax due to higher prices.In fact this British Coalition has caused Worldwide inflation because world oil prices have gone up and that effects everyone.

Maybe Vince Cable should also point this out so that the British Public realise that Tax as gone up even more than they thought.Problem is these politicians dont like to tell us the truth and reality of what damage their decisions have really caused. We are all being conned and taken for a ride !

yuccaplant's picture

Did he add at the end "it's labour fault?the mess left?"

Wouldn't be a complete interview without that

Lou's picture

@Anton

Osborne said in the House that the public would not finance the action in Libya and Danny Alexander said on QT that the 'public will not fund the war in Libya'.

You are absolutely right, the deficit will increase and the public will pay for the war through more job cuts, taxes etc.

Osborne and Alexander are lying, it's all smoke and mirrors. The public is and will continue to pay for this conflict and we are then in a vicious circle, no money, no spending, no growth to the economy ad infinitum

Mike S's picture

"Danny Alexander said on QT that the 'public will not fund the war in Libya'."

Didn't hear that.....who did he say would pay for it??

Lou's picture

Mike S

The Treasury. As did George Osborne.

The QT show was the one around the announcement of action in the House. I commented on here at the time, can't remember who's article beneath, but I quoted the same quote wondering when it exactly became a war and not just operating a no fly zone.

Lou's picture

Mike S,

The QT programme was 24th march.

I may not be quoting him verbatim, my post the day after said.....'I was slightly perturbed last night on QT to hear Danny Alexander when questioned about financing the no fly zone say that no money would be demanded of the public to finance the war in Libya....

Osborne said The Treasury reserve.

matthew fox's picture

Osborne boldly predicted the conflict in Libya would cost tens of millions not hundreds of million.

We are into week 9 of operations, so 63 days times £3 million a day, equals £189 million.

If I remember correctly, Cameron & Co, told the British people, when the bombing start, the Gaddafi regime was crumbling within.

Personally it is ironic Cameron hosted the Crown Prince of Bahrain, this week. Bahrain is still operating under martial law, the centre of the protests, pearl square, was demolished and we have medical staff, who treated injured protesters, arrested.

Welcome to the wonderful world of Cameron's law.

Mike S's picture

"Osborne said The Treasury reserve."

Thanks Lou. Point of information, whose Treasury, whose reserve?

Anton Jury's picture

If George Osborne claimed that a Reserve Fund was going to finance the £3 Million Pound a day No Fly Zone/Conflict why was that Reserve Fund not used to Pay Off or Lower the deficit when the Coalition was formed ?

Is this so called Reserve actually a loan from somewhere else with interest added because George Osborne and David Cameron both claimed that there was no money in the pot when they first came into office last year ! So where did this magical mystery Reserve Fund come from? it can only be a loan/money borrowed with interest to be added from somewhere else.

This Coalition is lying to all of us because they think that we are all idiots.

This Coalition is borrowing money to finance this conflict that will effect our deficit and we are also paying with higher fuel costs which has and will lead to higher prices for everything we buy which also means we pay more tax in VAT on everything that we buy or pay for.

We have all been well and truly conned by this Coalition because it is creating more financial hardship for every british citizen unless you are financially better of.

The Tories love to dish out Double Whammies and this is one massive one.The deceitful liars are inflicting misery far and wide.

Anton Jury's picture

Just checked George Osborne did say in open session in Parliament that a Reserve Fund was to pay for the No Fly Zone/Conflict so where did this rather large Reserve Fund come from ? If it was so big, why was it not used to Pay Off or Lower the deficit when the Coalition was formed because David Cameron and George Osborne did say that the financial situation and deficit was their number one priority. It obviously wasn't if there was such a lot of money sloshing around in a Reserve Fund that they did not want to use it for their number one top priority the deficit. You dont just sit on a lot of money that is in a Reserve Fund just like that when the nation is almost financially incapacitated! They have been lying to us.

Lou's picture

Anton
Another thing that I wonder about is I'm sure reserve funds have really strict criteria around what they can be used for.

Am just reading through this now....
http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/management_official_reserves.pdf

http://archive.treasury.gov.uk/docs/2000/eea4wd.html

Lou's picture

"The Exchange Equalisation Account (EEA) holds the United Kingdom's reserves of gold, foreign currencies and International Monetary Fund (IMF) Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). These holdings, together with the United Kingdom's reserve tranche position(1) at the IMF, make up the United Kingdom's official reserves" (HM Treasury).

About Reserve tranches .....
The proportion of the required quota of currency that each International Monetary Fund (IMF) member country must provide to the IMF, but can designate for its own use. The reserve tranche portion of the quota can be accessed by the member nation at any time, whereas the rest of the member's quota is typically unaccessible

Anton Jury's picture

Even if the money did come from a Reserve Fund such as the one mentioned by Lou is it legal to use it for overseas military operations such as the No Fly Zone/Conflict in Libya ? What are the rules and regulation regarding access and the use of Reserve Funds?

Surely the Reserve Fund should have been used to get the United Kingdoms finances in shape in order to build up another Reserve Fund for he next national crisis that falls uopn the united Kingdom.

I dont have time tonight but it will be interesting to look into the legalities of all this because something is not right but as always it is a legal maze that can be interpreted in many ways with endless loopholes.

What I do know is that we have all been lied to and conned,that is without doubt.

Lou's picture

I think the Reserve Tranche allows a member nation to access it's own preset percentage at any time for it's own use.

As far as I can determine, there are no restrictions on how that particular percentage is spent.

I was thinking Danny Blanchflower shoud do something on HM Treasury reserves and explain reserve tranches, what that percentage is in money, dealing with the whole host of questions Osborne's statement on using the reserves raises economically and what it portends in the future economically.

8910steven's picture

You`re quite right Vince the public don`t understand that the global financial crisis of 2008 represented the end of the road for the model of neoliberal finance capitalism Britain had been following for the previous 30 years ; a major reason why they don`t is the constant bombardment of nonsensical propaganda they have been subjected to from your government ; telling them everything was caused by excessive public spending by Labour; which you know perfectly well (even if George Osborne doesn`t ) is CRAP ...

Lou's picture

Maybe there are different types of HM Treasury Reserves other than the ones mentioned? I can't seem to find mention of any others thus far. I could do with some expert enlightenment.

Mike S's picture

"I was thinking Danny Blanchflower shoud do something on HM Treasury reserves and explain reserve tranches, what that percentage is in money, dealing with the whole host of questions Osborne's statement on using the reserves raises economically and what it portends in the future economically."

I think this is a great idea. I would be grateful for a full explanation of this.

Luddite's picture

matthew fox
21 May 2011 at 11:13
Looks like St Vince is getting the excuses in first. You can't start changing your tune, one year into a government.

Why not? Now that the pandora's box of the previous government failures as being opened, you never knew what nasty little surprises can come crawling out. Like the treasure chest is empty, and the nations debts are you-mungus. It's rather sobering...

matthew fox's picture

Luddite is always capable of nasty surprises, the verbal variety.

I personally think Luddite needs to sober up before logging on, his heavy abuse of Diamond Ice, is taking it's toll.

Calvin1's picture

On top of this David Camerons conflict in Libya has icreased the cost of oil worldwide.This means that the extra cost of oil is going to have a knock on effect that is going to increase the price of every thing that we buy.This will also mean that we will pay more tax because everything that we buy has tax added that the Government gets in the form of (VAT)which is Value Added Tax.Basically higher oil prices means higher prices and more tax on everything from fuel through to everything you buy. http://www.developyourcareer.net/

Anton Jury's picture

I have been trying to get information on Government Reserve Funds and there appears to be next to no information.If I can get this information then it would be possible to try and find out the rules and regulations regarding the access and use of these Reserve Funds then one could look into the legalities but untill one can find out what these Reserve Funds are called/named that is as far as one can go.

I suspect that this Coalition has not dipped into a Reserve Fund and is using the money to fund this Libyan Conflict from here, there and everywhere.One will only know the truth once good information is gained about what these Reserve Funds are and where they come from,whether British money or money loaned from another country naming it a Reserve Fund! After all David Cameron and George Osborne claimed there was no money in the pot when they came into Government last year so you could safely assume that included no British Reserve Fund especially if such a fund was not accessed to Pay Off or Lower the British Deficit when it was claimed to be David Camerons Top Priority.

It is possible that George Osborne and David Cameron are cleverly cooking he books in order to finance this Libyan Conflict and in the process slaughtering the British Public financially because our Deficit will not be brought down like they promised but instead increase and take even longer to pay off.In addition to this our tax burden has silently increased by higher VAT !

Luddite's picture

Diamond Ice. POOR Matthew, is that all you can afford. No wonder you keep turning to your four fingered widowed friend. Matthew after 13 disastrous years of a squandering Labour government. Britain is poorer and more divided, and to keep pretending otherwise is delusional.

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