The New Statesman endorses the Alternative Vote
Why you should vote Yes to AV on 5 May.
By Staff blogger Published 20 April 2011 12:02In this week's Easter double issue (out today in London and the rest of the country tomorrow), the New Statesman endorses the Alternative Vote (AV). We argue that AV, though not a proportional system, would represent a significant improvement on first-past-the-post. Here, for Staggers readers, is this week's leading article in full.
Were one founding a new democracy, it is unthinkable that first-past-the-post (FPTP) would be adopted as the electoral system. It penalises small parties, wastes votes and encourages politicians to concentrate their policies on swing voters in marginal seats. FPTP might have been tolerable in 1955, when Labour and the Conservatives won 96 per cent of the vote and 99 per cent of the seats. But it is unfit for a three-party era in which political loyalties are more fluid. In the last election, Labour and the Tories won just 65 per cent of the vote but ended up with 87 per cent of the MPs. It was with good reason that post-apartheid South Africa, the former eastern bloc countries and the young democracies of Latin America all chose to adopt proportional models of voting, rather than FPTP.
On 5 May, for the first time ever, the British people will have a chance to reject FPTP and replace it with the Alternative Vote (AV). AV is not the system that we would have chosen. In some circumstances, it can lead to even more disproportional outcomes than FPTP. As the Jenkins commission on electoral reform noted, had the 1997 election been held under AV, Labour's majority would have swelled from 179 to 245. A genuinely proportional system, of the kind we support, remains the more desirable option.
But AV would represent a significant improvement on FPTP. It would lead to fewer wasted votes, greatly reduce the need for tactical voting and ensure that most MPs are elected with at least 50 per cent of the vote in their constituency. By requiring candidates to win second-preference votes, it would also encourage the parties to engage with all voters. The adoption of AV would enable the creation of a more pluralistic political culture, in which parties emphasise their similarities, rather than merely their differences.
The relentlessly negative approach of the No to AV campaign has only highlighted the paucity of the arguments for FPTP. In their desperation to preserve the status quo, the opponents of reform have claimed that AV would benefit the British National Party, that it would be "too expensive" and that it would prove to be too "confusing" for the electorate. In reality, no system is better at keeping extremists out; AV would not require expensive voting machines; and a system that is already widely used by businesses, charities and trade unions would not prove too complex for the electorate.
AV is not a panacea and, taken alone, it will not repair Britain's broken democracy. Reform of the voting system must be combined with the creation of a fully elected second chamber and the introduction of a written constitution. An increase in the number of directly elected mayors, as Andrew Adonis writes on page 74, is another measure that could address the democratic deficit. But it would be careless to miss an opportunity to reject the voting system that has done so much to discredit the UK's political system.
Those such as the former Social Democratic Party leader David Owen who have argued for a No vote in the hope of securing a more proportional system in the future are playing a dangerous game. As the Chancellor, George Osborne, has said, a No vote on 5 May would close the question of electoral reform "for the foreseeable future".
Not only would FPTP be preserved but it would be strengthened by a victory for the No campaign. A Yes vote, by contrast, would increase the possibility of a subsequent transition to proportional representation (PR). The claim that there is no appetite among the public for reform will have been exposed as a myth.
If the next election results in a hung parliament, the Liberal Democrats will no doubt demand a referendum on PR as the condition of any coalition. But that is a battle for another day. For now, the priority is to deliver a death blow to the unfair, undemocratic and unrepresentative FPTP system. It is for this reason that we encourage progressives of all parties to vote Yes to AV on 5 May.
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53 comments
Many thanks for share! I really enjoyed the reading and the insight info.
I enjoyed this immensely! I love the author writing style most of all. Your articles are so informative and intelligently written, contrary to what rubbish most "renown" bloggers produce these days. Thank you for all that you do for us readers! Keep up the good work!
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@Phil Ruse
Perhaps you're right about the tone of the article. If I had been writing it I'd have been more positive. Still, the style of this article shouldn't detract from the advantages of AV over FPTP that I outlined above.
@chris8hr
'FPTP is more effective at removing poor governments' - another canard spread by defenders of FPTP. Of course, the definition of a 'poor government' is debatable - to say the least - but in terms of electoral accountability, The current electoral system fails absymally. FPTP is singularly poor at removing governments, good or bad; it allowed the Tories to maintain a majority of MPs in the Commons from 1979 to 1997, and Labour to do the same from 1997 to 2010, without either party ever gaining a majority of the votes in any of the elections they won. FPTP simply allows governments to ignore large sections of the electorate, safe in the knowledge that their votes don't count.
AV is the least worst option on offer. That is why the LibDems are pusinf for it. We've already seen what a sham of a democracy FPTP leads to. My MP can comfortably tell me to stick it because he knows he's in a safe seat where my vote doesn't count. At least with AV people will vote honestly and not tactically.
@jpmb
Ireland does use the single transferable vote but to say that this system elects too many TDs is a fallacy. The electoral system per se does not determine the amount of seats in each constituency. This is an unrelated matter. The problem you mention (clientelism) results from the fact that Ireland is a tiny country of 4.2 million people. The constituencies are even smaller and may have up to three TDs. We then have the distasteful situation whereby some TDs show up at every funeral in his/her constituency. Ireland needs to reduce the number of TDs and perhaps introduce elements of a list system for selecting candidates. FPTP is certainly not on the menu!
So to say that clientelism is a problem 'because' of STV is misinformation.
The population of the UK is several times that of Ireland. If an MP in the UK were to respond to every crank demanding a traffic light outside their house it would be a)unfeasible or b)unworthwhile. The jurisdictions don't compare well on that basis.
"The New Statesman endorses the Alternative Vote"
Izzard, too. That finishes that, then. FPTP till we're all dead.
David Owen isn't just playing a dangerous game. He's being wilfully stupid, to the point that it makes me wonder whether he's serious about electoral reform at all.
The Jenkins commission thought AV was to small and obvious a change to even require a referendum. The only reason we're having a referendum on it is because it's a concession Cameron could grant that wouldn't hurt him too much, and because he knows a no vote (if he gets it) will allow him to shut down any discussion of reform for ever. It's been 80 years since this was even discussed, and that was without the the mandate of referendum behind it.
If you care at all about reform, a Yes vote is simply a moral obligation.
A.V. Is really not that complicated, but the media, predictably, treates the general public like children and come up with flashy comparisons that serve only to confuse the issue.
One of the most common complaints about AV is it would support the BNP, well, no, it wouldn't. It would mean that elections are not two-horse races any more and, if thousands of people would have voted BNP voted for tories/labour in order to keep out tories/labour then yes, that would mean that under AV, BNP would get in. But if there is a majority of extremist voters in this country who are unable to express their political views under FPTP, then surely that is a pretty telling sign that FPTP doesn't work.
If that country votes no on may 5th the politicians will come out with the line "The public has spoken! The country supports First Past the Post!" Questions of proportional representation as an alternative won't come into it once the spin doctors start.
For my whole life politics has been a two-hore race between two equally unsuitable parties. This is our chance, as a country, to make some changes that could vastly improve our lives. Don't throw the chance away just to give Clegg a black eye. He is absolutely not worth it, we're better than that.
Voting yes to AV could pave the way for a host of improvements to the way we all live (including a referendum on proportional representation), we can always go back if it doesn't work. Voting No to AV would pave the way to another generation of the same old slimy, self serving, hypocritical career politicians which most of us gave up on years ago.
Please, this is our chance, dont waste it.
The leading article claims that AV would "ensure that most MPs are elected with at least 50 per cent of the vote in their constituency."
Not so.
Under AV, you could have a scenario where with 3 parties, on 1st preference votes, Candidate A gets 1000, Candidate B gets 900, and Candidate C gets 800. So A gets a minority of the 1st preference votes. As the favoured candidate failed to secure half the votes on the first count, the second choices of those voters who voted for the least favoured candidate are redistributed.
So C is dismissed and her 2nd preference votes are counted. 500 of Candidate C’s 2nd preference votes went to A and 300 to B. So A is elected, even though on 1st preference votes a majority voted against A.
So under this plausible scenario, AV also allows A to win with less than 50 per cent of the vote in their constituency.
Lord Jenkins’ 1998 report on voting reform said that AV should be ruled out because it would actually make the system less proportional and less fair.
Without the cushion of gaining AV, LibDem MPs would have to do more to save their seats, e.g. they might have to back the NHS against destruction.
No to AV, sAVe our NHS!
Matthew Fox claims, "AV is fairer than FPTP."
Not so.
The Jenkins Commission Report of 1998 concluded,
“AV on its own suffers from a stark objection. It offers little prospect of a move towards greater proportionality, and in some circumstances, and those the ones which certainly prevailed at the last election and may well do so for at least the next one, it is even less proportional that FPTP. ...
“Added to this, AV on its own, because it makes use exclusively of single-member constituencies, would fail to address several of the more significant defects of FPTP which we identified earlier. In particular, there would still be large tracts of the country which would be electoral deserts for major parties. Conservative voters in Scotland, for example, might only hope to influence the result through their second choice. And although AV would probably increase the number of marginal seats thus reducing the number of voters effectively excluded from influencing the overall result, most seats in the country would remain safe.”
I'm putting YES to AV on my postal vote after reading Cassandra's take above. What a pity the referendum itself could not have been run using the AV system? Then instead of an illiterate X, I could have voted YES1 NO2
AV: Yawn.
Royal wedding: Yawn.
Both subjects could put an insomniac to sleep.
On the subject of AV: I've created this app on facebook that lets you try out the Alternative Vote for yourself:
http://apps.facebook.com/AlternativeVote/
Enjoy,
Barnaby
No to AV, yes to PR.
Won't let me post my rationale.
AV is fairer then FPTP, that is why the Conservatives hate it.
Then why host adverts for a NO to AV, YES to PR campaign? Which is quite obviously a NO to AV campaign... what did i miss?
If we vote 'no' to AV the politicians will have an excuse to write off proportional representation for generations. They will confound AV with PR and 'assume' that a rejection of the first implies a rejection of the second. "The British public has no appetite for PR", they will say and that will be an end of the matter.
Ideally, AV/PR should only be introduced when the centre ground of British politics has been realigned with the centre of the possible political spectrum, (think of a tug-of-war, knot on rope over mark on ground) but as there is little appetite for repositioning of the knot (which requires a greater and opposite force to achieve)all we can do is prevent the knot being dragged further to the right of the political spectrum.
FPTP has so far failed to prevent this slide to the right so we are left with very little option but to vote for change in the hope that change will operate in our favour.
If AV is better why do only 3 democracies in the world use it AUstralia being the biggest and 60% of people in AUstralia would rather FPTP.
We are seeing an age of Dictatorial nations changing to democracy either via war or internal protest. I think most of these new start up democracies will end up using the FPTP system, which focuses on establishing government quickly and fairly. All Parties start out small and grow depending on how they perform at local levels then moving up, and i dont think they should be given a route directly into parliament without earning the right just because they are less wanted than the others on the ballot paper.
I havent decided yet but im leaning towards NO, as the yes vote is less clear to me!
@ Luke L
As you are still undecided, let me explain why I will be voting YES to AV:
FPTP worked ok when the UK had a two-party system (the two main parties achieved over 90% of the vote). However, the political landscape of the UK has changed - the two main parties only received 65% of the vote at the last election and many more smaller parties stood. The upshot of these changes are that it is now likely an MP will be elected with less than 50% of the vote. This happened in 2/3 of constituencies at the last election.
Take a hypothetical example: you have a constituency in which ten candidates stand. Under FPTP a candidate could technically win with 11% of the vote. What AV does is asks (in seats where no candidate gets over 50% of the vote) what would have happened if fewer candidates had stood. You take out the least popular candidate and the votes are re-counted. If this is still unclear then I'm happy to clarify.
These arguments apply irrespective of how many other democracies use or choose to use AV in the future. We should pick what is right for the UK now without reference to anyone else.
By the way, apologies to anyone who is sick of me posting pretty much the same thing again and again...
Democracy is about choosing people who ask the right questions from the right people. With reflective voting systems, we are asking the politicians to reflect our opinions. This is a bad thing. Under no circumstance do I want politicians pandering to mob ideals. What we need is politicians who are accountable yet reflect the best ideas from civil society. From lecturers, bankers and doctors. Its not perfect, but its better than asking Jack and Jill.
Luke L,
The poll you mention was financed by a right-wing think tank and the responses were influenced by the circumstances at the time.
For an analysis, take a look at Antony Green's blog:
Do Australians really want to Abandon the Alternative Vote? http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2011/02/do-australians-really-want-t...
He writes, "What was not offered in this survey was the Alternative Vote option being offered in the UK. The Alternative Vote is is optional rather than compulsory preferential voting, a system used at elections in the Australian states of New South wales and Queensland. As the survey stated, it is compulsory to give a preference for every candidate on the ballot paper to vote at Australian federal elections."
and
Survey shows Australians want the Alternative Vote: http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2011/02/more-australian-surveys-of-t...
He concludes, "I'm still trying to find a survey which has offered the three options together, but on the basis of this survey, it's not that Australians want first past the post voting, but rather they don't want to have to give preferences to every candidate on the ballot paper."
Great article and pretty unanswerable case for AV, given the circumstances we're in politically and constitutionally. Especially appreciate the mention of election of the second chamber. Not much has been said about this - the UK has an hereditary head of state, an unelected second chamber and a government that is nearly always a minority one in terms of actual votes cast in an election. There is a lot more to do if the political system ins to become democratic and I think a No vote will make sure it never even gets started.
Av seems to me to be more representative of how people feel about voting. Many people i know do not side wholeheartedly with the policies of one party and this system allows different ideas of parties to be appreciated and given some weight in peoples voting.
Ps at Barry, i doubt many people here care about what a BNP voter will be doing on thursday as you are part of an irrelevant archaic breed of morons!
This referendum feels like an election in which the government of the day has decided that only two parties (including its own) are allowed to stand. My first inclination was to boycott it, to refuse to participate in this sop to Nick Clegg, in the hope that if enough people did likewise, it would be discredited by a poor turnout and that one day we will get a real vote on electoral reform, with more than one alternative to FPTP. I also can’t see why a Yes to AV will hasten the introduction of PR; we’d no doubt be told that it will take time to see how AV performs.
The leading article says that “if the next election results in a hung parliament, the Liberal Democrats will no doubt demand a referendum on PR as the condition of any coalition”. Why next election? That should have happened last May, but Nick Clegg fluffed it. He could have said that without at least the option of PR on the ballot paper, the Tories would have to rule as a minority, perhaps with “confidence and supply” – but that’s for another discussion.
This thread exposes why AV appears to be the worst of all worlds. It makes hung parliaments and coalitions more likely, hence its appeal to the Liberal Democrats. The thought of Nick Clegg in government in perpetuity ought to be a clinching argument for a No vote! Yet at the same time, AV can make landslide majorities even bigger (“Labour’s majority in 1997 would have swelled from 179 to 245”), which can hardly be good for democracy.
An argument for changing the voting system is that only 65% of voters chose Labour or the Tories in May 2010, and that FPTP doesn’t work if there are more than two parties in serious contention. If the opinion polls are to be believed, 80% of voters now support just two parties. Those who support this appalling government will vote Tory next time, while those who want to get rid of it have no realistic alternative other than to vote Labour.
I agree that the No campaign has been poor, and it’s also been hypocritical. A leaflet from the predominantly Tory No camp dropped through my letterbox this morning, and it attacks “unpopular” Nick Clegg for his broken promises on tuition fees, the VAT increase, job and public spending cuts. You could be forgiven for thinking that the Tories had nothing to do with any of that! It complains of “back-room deals after the election”, those very deals that handed Cameron the keys to Number 10. The claims about the cost of the referendum (which the Tories agreed to hold), and how the money could be spent on doctors, teachers and nurses instead (when we all know that it wouldn’t be spent by a Tory-led government with a pathological hatred of the public sector, and that in any event the money could only be spent once) are just beneath contempt.
The Lib Dems don’t really want AV. For Clegg the introduction of such “a miserable little compromise” would just be a face-saving exercise and would delay his downfall. Writing in ‘The Guardian’ in February 2010, Chris Huhne compared AV to “an ill-fitting corset attempting to squeeze all the diverse strands of opinion in our society into an inappropriate and deeply uncomfortable shape”
http://cuttingedgeuk.proboards.com/index.cgi?board=uk&action=display&thr...
I think the Labour Party, which I support, would be harmed by AV. A year ago I would have given a second preference vote to the Lib Dems under AV, but I wouldn’t now. I can’t believe that Labour would want to enter a coalition with the Lib Dems, especially in view of the way in which Labour is regularly slagged off by the likes of Clegg, and even by bloggers at ‘Liberal Democrat Voice’. I hope that one day we will be given a real vote on electoral reform, and I can wait for that. On 5 May, I will hold my nose and vote No.
Sorry, but long time subscriber to the NS as I am, I am still in the NO camp. Look, a general election in this country is 650 small local elections. If you win a lot of them, you'll gain a majority.
And the winners will have gained the most first choice votes. AV just produces MP's with lots of second third and fourth choices.
I'm personally glad Ed Milliband won the Labour leadership, but he was just a lot of people's second or third choice. Everyone knows his brother was most people's first choice.
AV is like Arsenal beating Liverpool 2-0, but declaring Liverpool the winners because they had the most near misses.
I'm a BNP supporter so how do I vote? Do I vote Yes even though to my party AV is worse than FPTP but one that might hold out the prospect of Britain finally growing-up and becoming a democracy with PR or do I vote with the self-serving, selfish scumbags of the Tories and vote No for a system which is better for the BNP but which is also saying that the archaic and blatantly undemocratic FPTP system is the best one ever devised?
Er No.
well, i have voted yes in my postal vote.
Voting is such a small part of democracy, whereas accountability and participation is the whole point. FPTP beats AV on those counts.
Why is it that so many endorsements of AV begin with how much better PR is than FPTP? Your entire first paragraph is therefore irrelevant - that'd be the paragraph that's supposed to grab the reader with your argument of how good AV is.
Then you mention the smear tactics with respect to the BNP. I agree the "No" campaign was dreadful, but perhaps you should navigate to the "Yes" campaign website and you'll discover how they are equally culpable - "BNP say No, therefore vote Yes".. erm, what happens when the BNP say "Yes" to PR? Talk about cynical...
Good. Better than sitting on the fence. Not that they'll pay a blind bit of notice though.
The NS these days is widening its readership into facists anarchists climate change deniers and Lib Dems.
@chris8hr
Can you explain why you think FPTP leads to more accountability and participation than AV? A bold claim given that under FPTP an MP can be elected with a small share of the vote.
Like Clare Jordan, I've voted Yes by postal vote.
@Phil Ruse
You are incorrect. The first paragraph explains why FPTP is not suited to the current political landscape in the UK. It is suited to a two-party system. Now there are multiple parties and only 65% of people vote for the two main parties. This means that under FPTP it is possible for an MP to be elected with much less than 50% of the vote in their constituencies. AV tackles this problem by asking, in seats where no candidate achieves 50% of the vote in the first round, what would have happened in a scenario of fewer candidates?
I disagree that AV is a miserable little compromise. I think it addresses problem of FPTP in a multiple-party system whilst retaining a majoritarian system and single-member constituencies. The debate about majoritarian vs proportional systems is separate.
definitely! Let's hope for a yes in May
@Katherine:
I think that the first part of chris8hr's statement gives his(?) game away:
"Voting is such a small part of democracy"
It is egregiously counterfactual, is it not?
I'd say that it is deliberately so, in order to stun the reader's mind into quiescence, and in to not noticing that the rest of the statement - "whereas accountability and participation is the whole point. FPTP beats AV on those counts" is actually a complete inversion of the truth.
Whislt multiple-member constituencies *would* remove any hope of one's elected representatives ever being accountable to their constituents, using AV will make MP's MORE accountable; because they'll have to try to attract second-preference votes, rather than just relying on the people who'd vote for an Archer or a Mandelson to be their MP as long as he were wearing the 'right' rosette.
Not bad, i agree a push towards proportional representation is what i would like to see, so if no will galvanise FPTP i can't say no.
with regards to the accountability comments the voting system doesn’t effect that. whoever gets elected is subject to the same rules (i.e. expenses) irrespective of the election system.
and with regards to a constitution the idea seems like positive discrimination as freedom isn't about rights its about not having restrictions.
@Katherine - On the basis that FPTP is more effective at removing poor governments. People often vote "against governments", as opposed to, "for parties". Tactical voting is important - under AV if I don't want the Tories but want to have all my votes cast, I may have to vote for a party I actually don't want.. but just don't want less than the Tories..!
Participation as in civil society - which is the biggest contributor to democracy - not voting. Voting is a blip that allows accountability. AV is irrelevant to civil society, it may in some cases nullify it. The less your voice is heard at elections, the more you shout in between elections. I know its counter-intuitive, but its also accurate.
Oh Cassandra, If only your name wasn't so and I may believe you.
Trying for second preference is not the way things will pan out. If I had three votes, I'd vote for three left parties - If I had one vote, I'd vote for the leftist party that stands the best chance of winning.
Furthermore, accountability is responsibility is being kicked out - not changing your mind so you get in next time. Short term politicians and those who look for votes is exactly who we don't want. This is not the house of representatives, this is Parliament.
"Whislt multiple-member constituencies *would* remove any hope of one's elected representatives ever being accountable to their constituents"
What rubbish is this? One of the main criticisms of the Single Transferable Vote in Ireland (which at the last eletion had 43 multi member constituences electing between 3 and 5 TDs) is that it makes TD's too acountable to their constituents, so that they spend too much of their time dealing with local issues.
@chris8hr But with AV people can vote 'against a government' more strongly than with FPTP, by putting them lower down their preference list!
@deltoro87
On that basis they are equal, not stronger, as in FPTP - just don't vote for them.
The adoption of AV would enable the creation of a more pluralistic political culture...
what, by permanently eliminating any independent third party, like in Australia?
For now, the priority is to deliver a death blow to the unfair, undemocratic and unrepresentative FPTP system
what, by replacing it with a less democratic, less reperesentative system where a party's share of the seats bears even less relation to its share of the votes?
Australia has a version of AV called compulsory preferential voting.
In Federal elections and variously in State elections a valid vote requires indicating support for all candidates in order of preference.
Thus extreme right wing, pro-war, pro-Zionist, human rights-abusing, pro-coal, pro-gas, anti-environment Labor scraped home on the preferences of the anti-war, pro-environment and anti-racist Greens to form a Minority Government in the 2010 elections, with the extreme right wing Liberal-National Party Coalition just failing to form a government.
First past the post would have delivered a landslide victory to a salivatingly extreme right wing, pro-war, pro-Zionist, human rights-abusing, pro-coal, pro-gas Coalition Government opposed by a (bare) majority of the people.
The Australian federal system also involves being potentially gaoled if you advocate the deliberate spoiling of your ballot (informal voting) and being fined if you don't vote, this now making most Australians complicit in the horrendous war crimes of the Liberal-National Party Coalition and Labor (the so-called Lib-Labs) in Occupied Iraq and Occupied Afghanistan (post-invasion violent deaths plus non-violent, war-imposed avoidable deaths totalling 2.6 million and 5.0 million, respectively; see "Iraqi, Holocaust, Iraqi Genocide": https://sites.google.com/site/iraqiholocaustiraqigenocide/ and "Afghan Holocaust, Afghan Genocide": https://sites.google.com/site/afghanholocaustafghangenocide/).
@Katherine - Surely if this article endorses AV it should lead with at least something in the opening paragraph about why AV - and not concentrate so heavily on something that isn't being offered.
@chris8hr
Well actually, FPTP only allows you to vote FOR one candidate. You have voted equally AGAINST all the other candidates. This is unlikely to be reflective of your views. As you mentioned before, under FPTP you are forced to vote for the most "electable" left-wing party rather than the one perhaps closest to your views. AV gives you the opportunity to demomstrate your genuine order of preference without risk of letting in, say, the Tories, by doing so. So, given that you are at least equally able to vote AGAINST governments under AV and actually more able to vote FOR your preferred candidates then surely you should vote YES to AV! :-)
I of course agree that the duty of a citizen to be informed and politically active does not end at the polling booth but I think a fair voting system is a prerequisite for a healthy democracy even if it is not sufficient for one.
@Katherine - excellent argument (even though I'm voting no).
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