The voters are finally turning against the Tories
Lib Dem “human shields” are no longer protecting the Tories from the cuts backlash.
By George Eaton Published 11 February 2011 14:46Latest poll (YouGov/Sun) Labour majority of 98.
Until recently it was common to hear Labour MPs warn that the Tories' use of the Lib Dems as "human shields" would insulate them from anger over the cuts. Their fears were supported by polls showing that support for the Conservatives had risen since the general election while support for the Lib Dems had fallen as low as 7 per cent. But this week, that began to change.
The latest daily YouGov survey puts Labour on 44 per cent, with the Tories on 35 per cent and the Lib Dems on 10 per cent. Conservative support is now at its lowest level since the election and what was a 3-5 point Labour lead has become a 7-9 point lead. Five of the last eight YouGov polls have put the Tories on less than 37 per cent.
New Statesman Poll of Polls
Labour majority of 80 (uniform swing)
The VAT rise, combined with the stalled economic recovery, has turned public opinion decisively against the party for the first time since May. The boos that greeted Francis Maude's comments on Labour and the deficit on last night's Question Time were a sign of how the mood has changed.
In truth, they merely confirmed what polls have shown for some time: the majority of voters oppose the speed and scale of the coalition's fiscal retrenchment and largely blame the banks and the global recession for the deficit, not Labour.
The political result of the Tories' plummeting support will be a growing demand for what Tim Montgomerie calls "mainstream Conservative" policies and an impatience with perceived concessions to the Lib Dems. For months, Tory cabinet ministers have been more focused on the Lib Dems' poll ratings than their own but, after this week, that should begin to change.
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31 comments
Jack
You were lucky to get on QT at all ot perhaps not, I and several others can confirm everything you say.
Ang
Brown left the UK with it's biggest deficit ever, was going to pursue the same cuts as the Tories, you seem to conveniently forget that!
Coming from Wales you wouldn't know a lot about Revie and Bremner, the fact that Brian Clough couldn't stand them says it all. Stick to Rugby!
Whoops the last sentence wasn't aimed at Ang was it Ehtch Tee?
So 45% of voters still back the Cons and Dens, which is more than back Labour...and your point is?
gerry wrote, "So 45% of voters still back the Cons and Dens, which is more than back Labour...and your point is?"
The point is that if a General Election were held that would give Labour a majority of 80 to 134 seats.
The concept that is spun to us as big society, is a backward step toward the days of lawful slavery. For the complex needs of many will fall upon the few, without the help and honesty to see the whole thing through. So what's the point in starting something else thats doomed to fail, like the end of free school bottled milk and the death of british rail. For the cost it will be measured and the savings must be made, but it's yet another government that's failed to make the grade. Or tackle real life issues like poverty and pain, it's just like being kicked hard when your down again and again and again. So now you know my opinion of big society for short i call it BS and a stain on democracy.
Gerry, since the Justice Secretary Kenneth Clarke let the cat out of the bag, that spending cuts are still to be felt. Then I can only see the percentage of voters who back the Labour party will increase. I remember the last Conservative Governement and the load of debt that they left behind them. Roll on the election.
If I had a £ for every time I have heard a member of this vile coalition blame the last government for the reason they are devasting this country with their unfair cuts, I could have paid the deficit off myself. Brilliant response from the QT audience last night. We don't want to hear this Tory led garbage any more....
Labour, and its affiliated goons, do a good job of rabble rousing, but what, aprt from fang dripping opposition, have they to offer.....Nothing.
Question Time is not representative of the people, it is stuffed full of activists. I know, I have attended several of them.
gerry,
Today's poll: "Labour has overtaken the combined LDs and Tories for the first time in any poll since the General Election.
"YouGov puts Labour on 45%, the Tories on 35% and the LDs on 9%.
This time 12 months ago we were on 30%, the Tories on 39% and the LDs on 18%."
http://lukeakehurst.blogspot.com/2011/02/labour-overtakes-combined-coali...
@Jack.
Quite a desperate thing to say, that because a randomly picked audience doesn't agree with tory lies, they must be activists. OMG!
I am glad Francis Maude brings up the subject of Debt.
He is an MP, whose party saddled the country with £400 Billion of debt. Strange how he fails to mention that, as well as forgetting about the £300 billion of North Sea Oil Revenues Major and Thatcher blew.
Conservatives who lecture about debt just don't get it.
People will soon be musing of the good old days of Blair as team manager and Gordon Brown as team captain like a mistey eyed remembered combo of Revie and Bremner from an early 1970s Leeds United footie team, maybe.
Maybe only north of Milton Keynes and west of Swindon, apart from Manchester, and Liverpool, and maybe, perhaps, Newcastle - but they still hold respect there in Toon, Revie and Bremner that is, not Cameron/Clegg, methinks.
It's about time people woke up and realized what a vile lot this coalition is. Question Time was heartening and I don't for one minute think it's done to a reactionary activist audience - just people booing those they have had enough of.
It's U Turn time on so many of the policies this lot thought they'd get away with, it's an experiment which hasn't taken off.
How anyone can seriously imagine Cameron and Clegg standing side by side in a sunny rose garden in 2015 is beyond me. I rather suspect the image would be ruined by piles of stinking garbage behind them and a heckling audience pelting rotten tomatoes at two inherently rotten people.
The media are turning, that's the sign they are on the slippery slope.
Next GE in 2015, no way on earth.
The only reason Labour are polling at 45% is because they have no chance of being in power.
Regarding Question Time....everyone knows it was just a few rent-a-mob who had been brought in to shout down Francis Maude.
Jackie Smith was a disgrace.....as she yawned. She is lucky not to be in court for her expenses fiddling.
Labour left the country bankrupt.
Some of you young lefties have been brainwashed by Labour.
Give someone else a chance....you might be pleasantly surprised.
Pam
It's about time people woke up and realized what a vile lot this coalition is. Question Time was heartening and I don't for one minute think it's down to a reactionary activist audience - just people booing those they have had enough of.
It's U Turn time on so many of the policies this lot thought they'd get away with, it's an experiment which hasn't taken off.
How anyone can seriously imagine Cameron and Clegg standing side by side in a sunny rose garden in 2015 is beyond me. I rather suspect the image would be ruined by piles of stinking garbage behind them and a heckling audience pelting rotten tomatoes at two inherently rotten people.
The media are turning, that's the sign they are on the slippery slope.
Next GE in 2015, no way on earth.
Francis Maude is quite clearly a dickhead. But so is Jackie Smith. Mehdi Hasan is a religious bigot. Menzies Campbell is an innefective dinosuar and the right wing twat who I can't even remember the name of was so wet that there shood have been a flood alert whenever he spoke.
What a fantastic representation of the current state of British politics.
On the same figures (44, 35, 10), the BBC calculator gives the following result:
Labour: 392 seats
Con: 210 seats
Lib Dem: 21 seats
Labour majority of 134 seats
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/election_2010/8609989.stm
How can people still not understand the desperate state Labour left our countries finances in. All public jobs are paid for by the taxes on the private sector, which then are recycled in pay to workers, who then pay tax back to the exchequer.
Labour know what a cock-up they made (again) We got so used to the bloated nanny state sector that we have forgotten what it is like to live within our means. labours legacy-incompetence, waste, war, lies, mass immigration and the erosion of our British way of life.
Nick; How can the coalition be any more odious than Blair, all teeth and tan, with his multi millions, or Prescott with his philandering in office, his croquet parties and total incompetence. Billions wasted on hair brained regional assemblies, road schemes and anything else they tried to amuse him with so he wouldn't rock the boat. Labour were drunk on the trappings of office and many ensured they will enjoy well funded lifestyles, while they have left so many people jobless and in despair.
Labour always bring class into the equation. It was labour who introduced the hated student fees, denying students the very debt free education they themselves enjoyed. Hence Gordon Brown for instance, never had to get a real job to pay off his student loans, Disgraceful!
Hopefully this Co-opt government will not last the fifteen rounds or that it will be stopped- a la Hollywood - in the final seconds.
Credit has got such a bad rep. Mass consumption, even the world's stock-exchanges depend on this form of deferred settlement. Bankers' interest would be lost without it.
Surely such techniques as 'short-selling' and credit derivatives are still very much in use in the City.
And Cameron, Osborne and Clegg seem to be running short of it.
Like the guy in the Florida swamp - they're up to their a**** in alligators.
Ring-sider
The problem they have in distance between their rhetoric and reality. They have tried to soften up the public to public sector cuts by making spurious claims that all the savings will be made by efficency savings without any frontline services being effected and that the public sector is full of huge bloated salaries. When people see low paid workers being laid off and libraries and swimming pools closing they stop believing this nonsense. People's patience also does not last for the blame labour approach. But is is unfair to say the there is no plan B on the economy. There is always blame the weather!
The Question Time moment was absolutely beautiful to behold.
Of course, this is completely meaningless as there are going to be massive changes over the next four years.
The good thing is the socialists and social democrats who used to support Lib Dems have now left for Labour and the Greens so the Lib Dems can concentrate on becoming a proper liberal party. There is still a lot of opposition to liberalism from the left of the Lib Dems but hopefully Clegg, Laws and co will be bring through better policies that will make a difference to the country.
Sam, I don't want to spoil your delusions but the last time the Liberals fought an election without the SDP they got 11 seats.
If Clegg truly takes the Libdems to the right for the long term we can expect Labour to win every election without a contest.
Finally, the people are realising what a bunch of incompetent toffs they are.
Francis Maude is repugnant and during questiontime @50.33, was visibly shocked, by the response he got from the audience, when he blames Labour for the cuts to local councils. People don't believe the spin anymore, so give it up, it's embarrassing.
Francis Maudes' response to Jaqui Smiths 'facts' @57.50, was just to insult her.
The facts being that the economy was growing when the Tories entered office in May and borrowing was falling. The opposite is now true. FACT!!!
Times relate to iplayer
It's clear from Questiontime and Ed Miliband's sheet of blank paper that'a week is a long time in politics!'
But, when voters see the deficit totally reduced and the country back on it's feet. The voters will start returning to the Conservative party!
Lets be honest, Francis Maudes and Jaqui Smiths are sad-cases! Medhi was top dog on QT!
Turning against the Tories ?
Not Moi... have never supported them since the 'heir to Bliar' became their leader !
44% sounds good now...but never forget the kinnock defeat of 92? He'd been ahead in the polls for years. But when it came to the crunch the voters couldn't bring their selves to vote for him...I fear it will be the same for "Odd Ed"...even if he gets policy right.
You're living in a dream world, Reginald, as is the right in general. For the last 30 years the monetarists have controlled debate. Now, as a consequence of your own greed and climate changed (caused by those policies by the way), your ideology is looking increasingly flaky and the only answers you have are more of the same. It's like being diagnosed with lung cancer and the doctor prescribing you 200 fags. It won't work. Luckily the public are beginning to see through this lie.
Seeing Maude (who I think is in a competition for cliche of the year) being booed and jeered was a joy to behold. The Tories are going to have to come up with something other than blame Labour and cheap insults. Oh, wait, THAT'S ALL THEY HAVE.