David Cameron: England’s number one fan

So you thought David Cameron was just faking being a football fan . . .

David Cameron has a difficult relationship with football. Heading rallies with Kevin Keegan, à la Blair? Not for him. He purports to be an Aston Villa fan, but judging by his awkward demeanour while watching the football this summer with Angela Merkel he doesn't seem that comfortable with the national sport.

Or perhaps Cameron is so much of an England fan that he was just doing his best to stop himself from screaming "TWO WORLD WARS AND ONE WORLD CUP, DOO-DAH" in the German chancellor's face, followed by a few swift verses of "Ten German Bombers".

Further proof of Cameron's hardcore support for the national team can be found in this video.

(OK, so it's not really Cameron, and it's not even a hooligan, but it does look really like him . . . )

PS: If you've got a bit of spare cash, stick some money on a Cameron accumulator. It includes Manchester United losing to Blackpool and a 6-0 victory by Aston Villa over Liverpool. Confident. He also said he'd been impressed by Wigan this season. That would be Wigan who are currently 18th.

UPDATE: Turns out it might actually be Cameron in the second video.

Ukip's Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttall. Photo: Getty
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Is the general election 2017 the end of Ukip?

Ukip led the way to Brexit, but now the party is on less than 10 per cent in the polls. 

Ukip could be finished. Ukip has only ever had two MPs, but it held an outside influence on politics: without it, we’d probably never have had the EU referendum. But Brexit has turned Ukip into a single-issue party without an issue. Ukip’s sole remaining MP, Douglas Carswell, left the party in March 2017, and told Sky News’ Adam Boulton that there was “no point” to the party anymore. 

Not everyone in Ukip has given up, though: Nigel Farage told Peston on Sunday that Ukip “will survive”, and current leader Paul Nuttall will be contesting a seat this year. But Ukip is standing in fewer constituencies than last time thanks to a shortage of both money and people. Who benefits if Ukip is finished? It’s likely to be the Tories. 

Is Ukip finished? 

What are Ukip's poll ratings?

Ukip’s poll ratings peaked in June 2016 at 16 per cent. Since the leave campaign’s success, that has steadily declined so that Ukip is going into the 2017 general election on 4 per cent, according to the latest polls. If the polls can be trusted, that’s a serious collapse.

Can Ukip get anymore MPs?

In the 2015 general election Ukip contested nearly every seat and got 13 per cent of the vote, making it the third biggest party (although is only returned one MP). Now Ukip is reportedly struggling to find candidates and could stand in as few as 100 seats. Ukip leader Paul Nuttall will stand in Boston and Skegness, but both ex-leader Nigel Farage and donor Arron Banks have ruled themselves out of running this time.

How many members does Ukip have?

Ukip’s membership declined from 45,994 at the 2015 general election to 39,000 in 2016. That’s a worrying sign for any political party, which relies on grassroots memberships to put in the campaigning legwork.

What does Ukip's decline mean for Labour and the Conservatives? 

The rise of Ukip took votes from both the Conservatives and Labour, with a nationalist message that appealed to disaffected voters from both right and left. But the decline of Ukip only seems to be helping the Conservatives. Stephen Bush has written about how in Wales voting Ukip seems to have been a gateway drug for traditional Labour voters who are now backing the mainstream right; so the voters Ukip took from the Conservatives are reverting to the Conservatives, and the ones they took from Labour are transferring to the Conservatives too.

Ukip might be finished as an electoral force, but its influence on the rest of British politics will be felt for many years yet. 

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