Lib Dem MPs lead the way as rebellion reaches postwar high
63 per cent of the party’s backbenchers have voted against the coalition government.
By George Eaton Published 08 November 2010 11:20Many predicted that the expenses scandal would lead to fewer independent-minded MPs, as outspoken backbenchers were replaced with party placemen. But new research by Philip Cowley and Mark Stuart (of the indispensable Revolts) suggests such fears were misplaced.
The research shows that backbench rebellions against the government are more frequent now than at any time since the Second World War. Out of the 110 divisions in the Commons since parliament resumed, there have been rebellions by coalition MPs in 59. As the graph below shows, there has never been a parliamentary term in which a majority of divisions brought rebellions by government MPs.

What's more, the first session of a parliament is typically the most loyal: there are fewer disgruntled former ministers, newly elected MPs are reluctant to defy the whips and the government's authority is at its strongest. As Cowley and Stuart write:
Between 1945 and 1997, the six sessions immediately after a change in government saw rates of rebellion between 0 (1964) and 6 per cent (1979). The current rate of rebellion is therefore nine times what had until now been the postwar peak.
In total, 89 coalition MPs have so far voted against the government – 67 of them Conservatives, along with 22 Lib Dems. If we take into account that 22 of the Lib Dems' 57 MPs are members of the payroll vote, a remarkable 63 per cent of the party's backbench MPs have defied the whip.
But two critical factors have kept the government from coming even close to a defeat (its lowest majority has been 58). First, the average rebellion comprises just six MPs, and second, Conservative and Lib Dem MPs tend to rebel on different issues.
Lib Dems have voted against the VAT increase, the introduction of free schools and the expansion of academies. By contrast, Conservatives have tended to vote against measures such as electoral reform and fixed-term parliaments. As things stand, there is little prospect of them joining forces to inflict a defeat on the coalition.
The government's tuition fees bill will provoke the largest Lib Dem rebellion yet (nearly 60 per cent of the party's backbenchers are expected to rebel) but thanks to near-unanimous Conservative support, there is no chance of a coalition defeat.
But the persistent rebellion of Lib Dem MPs such as Bob Russell, Mike Hancock, Andrew George and Mark Williams offers further evidence of the party's identity crisis.
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17 comments
@Sam. Labour destroying the poor? I don't know where you've been love, but there has been a change of Governmnent!
@Ali. "Vice" Cable, I like it!
The Liberal Democrat party, perhaps alone of all the parties in the UK, has a healthy culture of debate and freedom of thought. It isn't entirely free of ideology, sadly, but it is much better at evidence-based policy setting than the others. We have seen evidence of this in both Vince's U-turn on fees and the larger switch from support for slow to fast deficit reduction. On both occasions the party tried to make it clear that the change in opinion was brought about by being in possession of new facts they had been unaware of prior to being in government.
While We The People continue to chalk U-turns up as weaknesses instead of viewing them as the healthy reaction to a changing situation that they more usually are, we will continue to suffer higher than necessary levels of poor policy making.
This is relevant to the above post because it means that a surprisingly high level of rebellion from back bench Lib Dems may actually point to a party culture that is more tolerant of its MPs holding different views than the other parties are. If so, rather than presaging a "split" it may demonstrate a very happy party full of MPs who feel they have the freedom to make their opinions known without fear of recriminations.
For a coalition to function, it is very important that both parties feel able to express their distinct "voice" and how better to achieve that than through a little back-bench rebellion? That may also explain the surprisingly high level of Tory rebellion and, if it does, it points, perhaps counterintuitively, to a coalition that is functioning at a very high level.
I'm not inside those MPs heads, so I don't know if that's true or not, but it is an alternative hypothesis that you're unlikely to read in the press because it doesn't fit their narrative of a coalition about to crumble at any moment. Of course, the press narrative doesn't fit any of the evidence, but since when has the evidence mattered to most journalists?!
The rebelion will only go so far; they haven't got the guts to vote against in a Votef Confidence, and bring down the Govt. Its all playing to their electorate. Nothing more than that.
@Sam 08 November 2010 at 18:48
"Labour have given up socialism now so there's nothing to stop them."
"socialist policies that Labour has crippled our country with."
Interesting so you believe that, 1 Labour aren't socialists, and 2 Labour are destroying us with their socialism.
Oh well, better luck next time. Thankfully there's nothing self-contradictory about being stupid and a Tory, at least there you are ideologically consistent.
Have to agree the whiff of power is strong and its just showing how strong they are..rather sad really
I think whats been made clear over the last 6 months that theres a very clear right wing bias and indeed ideology within the libdems,cable,kennedy et al are happy with being in a party thats "in power" so whatever minor left wing thoughts they have have been tossed out the window and to hell with the public.
Of course its been done in the national interest of course.
the headline for this is a whole lot better than the story, but hopefully, as you point out how early it is in the government, this trend to vote against the government will grown.
i suspect that the people with most power at this stage are those in marginal tory seats, if they start complaining about what the coalition is doing their mps could get a little scared, after all once an mp has voted against something once it gets easier after that. i suppose we now want them all to do it on the same thing.
Your commets show a stagering level navitey.
all party had exces to government spending and debts reviews, it is not some secret docement kept under rap. the ConDem are just spinning the line that "we didn't know how bad it was..." as their get out of jail free card.
Just ask yourself this why are the majority of the cuts going to effort the poor and unwell (cap on housing befint, VAT raise, billions cut in wealthfare, child tax credit cut, EMA allowence, interest rate on student loans ect)
In addition, the top up fee are not progessive or better off. They say they are getting rid of upfornt fee, however, majority of students pay their fees with tution fee Loan.
most of the thing Lib harp on about that they brought in a not worth the paper they are written on. 3% above inflation on student loans, allows these loans to be treated as commerical loans. how is this progessive.
making Uk have the second most expense state university fees. when other countries are increasing H.E. funding (i.e. germany, USA, Canada ect)
You can see how uncomfortable Vice Cable is with these decison when you see him on debate panels ( has a look of a frighted man).
I hope that Lib dem backbenches vote against this. If not they deserve to be anhilnated in the election.
my last comment was to ellie
I really feel the social democrats in the Lib Dems should go and join Labour. Labour have given up socialism now so there's nothing to stop them.
We have the potential to make our country a better place and we can't allow the people who think the government should enslave the public to its will succeed it stopping us overturning the deadweight of socialist policies that Labour has crippled our country with.
@Sam. Bog off to the Tea Party Tax Payer's Alliance, would you?
I'm surprised at the level of Tory rebellion so far. The Lib Dems were never going to go along with everything.
An MP rebelling on a vote he knows the Government is going to win is one thing. Voting against the Government on the Budget or the Queen's Speech, quite another!
Each rebellion is carefully weighed so that won't bring down the Government - because for the LDs it's about being in power, not about what's the right thing to do. For the Tories, they are laughing up their sleeves because they were not going to get into government, now they have these shmucks holding their coats for them.
The LDs will go along with IDS forced labour scheme. It will be up to others such as the unions, liberty etc, to go to court and quote A4.2 of the European Convention and get it kicked into touch. Nothing less will do.
The graph is very misleading. Parliament has a much more active legislative programme over recent years so there are more divisions full-stop. What is really interesting to see would be the PERCENTAGE of divisions in which there rebellions, not just the raw number. Also, a handful of MPs can generate most of the rebellions. A measure of the strength of the rebellions - not just to say "at least one MP" - would have more political consequence.
Jan Cosgrove - you do realise it was Labour who introduced the 'forced labour scheme', don't you?
Jeremiah - Untill Labour stop destroying the poor and disadvantaged in Britain, I will stay right here spreading the liberal gospel. Emancipation not subjugation! xxx
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