In this week’s New Statesman: The cult of the generals

Will Cameron back electoral reform? | Ayaan Hirsi Ali interview | Nassim Taleb: How to avoid the nex

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In this week's New Statesman, following the dramatic replacement of General Stanley McChrystal with David Petraeus, Mehdi Hasan looks at whether the US is once again succumbing to the cult of the generals.

Elsewhere, our political correspondent, James Macintyre, reveals that David Cameron is "considering" reversing his opposition to electoral reform in an effort to keep the coalition together and David Blanchflower warns that there are already signs that George Osborne's emergency Budget has damaged economic confidence.

Meanwhile, David Miliband explains how Labour can win over England again, Kevin Maguire reports on George Osborne's sudden hair loss and Peter Wilby explains why he's glad that Germany defeated England.

Also don't miss Sophie Elmhirst's interview with the provocative atheist Ayaan Hirsi Ali, Tim Parks on how he was enlightened by Buddhism and a fascinating extract from Nassim Nicholas Taleb's new version of The Black Swan.

Special subscription offer: Get 12 issues for £12 plus a free copy of Andy Beckett's "When the Lights Went Out".

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.

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How Theresa May laid a trap for herself on the immigration target

When Home Secretary, she insisted on keeping foreign students in the figures – causing a headache for herself today.

When Home Secretary, Theresa May insisted that foreign students should continue to be counted in the overall immigration figures. Some cabinet colleagues, including then Business Secretary Vince Cable and Chancellor George Osborne wanted to reverse this. It was economically illiterate. Current ministers, like the Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson, Chancellor Philip Hammond and Home Secretary Amber Rudd, also want foreign students exempted from the total.

David Cameron’s government aimed to cut immigration figures – including overseas students in that aim meant trying to limit one of the UK’s crucial financial resources. They are worth £25bn to the UK economy, and their fees make up 14 per cent of total university income. And the impact is not just financial – welcoming foreign students is diplomatically and culturally key to Britain’s reputation and its relationship with the rest of the world too. Even more important now Brexit is on its way.

But they stayed in the figures – a situation that, along with counterproductive visa restrictions also introduced by May’s old department, put a lot of foreign students off studying here. For example, there has been a 44 per cent decrease in the number of Indian students coming to Britain to study in the last five years.

Now May’s stubbornness on the migration figures appears to have caught up with her. The Times has revealed that the Prime Minister is ready to “soften her longstanding opposition to taking foreign students out of immigration totals”. It reports that she will offer to change the way the numbers are calculated.

Why the u-turn? No 10 says the concession is to ensure the Higher and Research Bill, key university legislation, can pass due to a Lords amendment urging the government not to count students as “long-term migrants” for “public policy purposes”.

But it will also be a factor in May’s manifesto pledge (and continuation of Cameron’s promise) to cut immigration to the “tens of thousands”. Until today, ministers had been unclear about whether this would be in the manifesto.

Now her u-turn on student figures is being seized upon by opposition parties as “massaging” the migration figures to meet her target. An accusation for which May only has herself, and her steadfast politicising of immigration, to blame.

Anoosh Chakelian is senior writer at the New Statesman.

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