Lib Dems back in first place in new YouGov poll

Lib Dems up to 34 per cent in new poll, three points ahead of the Tories.

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Latest poll (Sun/YouGov) Labour 60 seats short of a majority.

The latest daily YouGov poll has just been published and it's more good news for Nick Clegg. The poll puts the Lib Dems up three points to 34 per cent, their best score ever with YouGov, and back in front of the Conservatives. The Tories are down two to 31 per cent and Labour is down one to 26 per cent.

If repeated at the election on a uniform swing, the figures would again leave Labour as the largest single party, 60 seats short of a majority.

New Statesman Poll of Polls

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Hung parliament, Labour 73 seats short.

Elsewhere, a new PoliticalBetting/Angus Reid survey also has the Lib Dems regaining the top spot. The poll puts Clegg's party up one to 33 per cent, with the Tories unchanged on 32 per cent and Labour down one to just 23 per cent.

Finally, the latest Times/Populus poll (written up by the sage Peter Riddell here), the first since the TV debate, puts the Lib Dems up 10 points to 31 per cent, a point behind the Tories who are down four to 32 per cent. Labour is down five to 28 per cent.

We're still expecting a new ComRes poll later tonight, which Andrew Hawkins has promised is a "humdinger".

UPDATE: The ComRes poll has just been released and it should settle a few nerves in CCHQ The poll puts the Tories up three points to 35 per cent, with Labour down two to 26 per cent and the Lib Dems also down two to 26 per cent.

But it's worth noting that the fieldwork for the poll took place on Sunday and Monday, so it's a day older than the other three out tonight. If the Lib Dem poll surge really had ended, I expect we would have seen evidence of it in those polls tonight.

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.

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Commons Confidential: Dave's picnic with Dacre

Revenge is a dish best served cold from a wicker hamper.

Sulking David Cameron can’t forgive the Daily Mail editor, Paul Dacre, for his role in his downfall. The unrelenting hostility of the self-appointed voice of Middle England to the Remain cause felt pivotal to the defeat. So, what a glorious coincidence it was that they found themselves picnicking a couple of motors apart before England beat Scotland at Twickenham. My snout recalled Cameron studiously peering in the opposite direction. On Dacre’s face was the smile of an assassin. Revenge is a dish best served cold from a wicker hamper.

The good news is that since Jeremy Corbyn let Theresa May off the Budget hook at Prime Minister’s Questions, most of his MPs no longer hate him. The bad news is that many now openly express their pity. It is whispered that Corbyn’s office made it clear that he didn’t wish to sit next to Tony Blair at the unveiling of the Iraq and Afghanistan war memorial in London. His desire for distance was probably reciprocated, as Comrade Corbyn wanted Brigadier Blair to be charged with war crimes. Fighting old battles is easier than beating the Tories.

Brexit is a ticket to travel. The Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority is lifting its three-trip cap on funded journeys to Europe for MPs. The idea of paying for as many cross-Channel visits as a politician can enjoy reminds me of Denis MacShane. Under the old limits, he ended up in the clink for fiddling accounts to fund his Continental missionary work. If the new rule was applied retrospectively, perhaps the former Labour minister should be entitled to get his seat back and compensation?

The word in Ukip is that Paul Nuttall, OBE VC KG – the ridiculed former Premier League professional footballer and England 1966 World Cup winner – has cold feet after his Stoke mauling about standing in a by-election in Leigh (assuming that Andy Burnham is elected mayor of Greater Manchester in May). The electorate already knows his Walter Mitty act too well.

A senior Labour MP, who demanded anonymity, revealed that she had received a letter after Leicester’s Keith Vaz paid men to entertain him. Vaz had posed as Jim the washing machine man. Why, asked the complainant, wasn’t this second job listed in the register of members’ interests? She’s avoiding writing a reply.

Years ago, this column unearthed and ridiculed the early journalism of George Osborne, who must be the least qualified newspaper editor in history. The cabinet lackey Ben “Selwyn” Gummer’s feeble intervention in the Osborne debate has put him on our radar. We are now watching him and will be reporting back. My snouts are already unearthing interesting information.

Kevin Maguire is the associate editor (politics) of the Daily Mirror

Kevin Maguire is Associate Editor (Politics) on the Daily Mirror and author of our Commons Confidential column on the high politics and low life in Westminster. An award-winning journalist, he is in frequent demand on television and radio and co-authored a book on great parliamentary scandals. He was formerly Chief Reporter on the Guardian and Labour Correspondent on the Daily Telegraph.

This article first appeared in the 23 March 2017 issue of the New Statesman, Trump's permanent revolution