Election 2010 Lookahead: Monday 12 April

The who, when and where of the campaign.

And so begins week two of the 2010 election campaign:


Gordon Brown is in Birmingham today to launch Labour's manifesto (the Conservatives follow tomorrow, the Liberal Democrats on Wednesday). There has been much pre-launch speculation, including pledges to keep bus fares and children's clothes free of VAT, and raise tax credits for poor mothers.


The news agenda is likely to be dominated by Labour's manifesto, so Tory plans today have a certain "second division" feel to them (© Yvette Cooper). We have the shadow skills minister John Hayes unveiling a Tory apprenticeship scheme at a debate in Birmingham. The initiative includes a £2,000 incentive for small businesses to take on apprentices. Meanwhile, another senior Tory pitches up in Crawley. This time the party chairman, Eric Pickles, will be touring the constituency where Labour has a wafer-thin majority of 37 votes.

Liberal Democrats

Nick Clegg hosts his party's press conference in London this morning.

The media

Television executives are getting excited about the TV leaders' debates, which kick off this Thursday (ITV, 8pm). So, tonight we have Michael Cockerell's How to Win the TV Debate (BBC2, 7pm) and Tonight: Spotlight on the Leaders -- David Cameron (ITV, 8pm). Meanwhile, Panorama (BBC1, 8.30pm) asks Is Britain Full?, to which Ukip answers, "Yes, it is." (Some newspaper listings suggest Jeremy Paxman will be interviewing Nick Clegg at the same time on BBC1, but we're reliably informed that the immigration piece will be going out in its place.)

Away from the campaign

President Barack Obama hosts a global Nuclear Security Summit in Washington, DC. Gordon Brown has chosen to remain on the campaign trail, so while the PM stays at home the would-be Labour leadership contender, and current Foreign Secretary, David Miliband gets an opportunity to do his international statesman routine, flirt with Hillary Clinton and do his leadership chances no harm at all* (*assuming there's a leadership contest, of course).

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Commons Confidential: Fearing the Wigan warrior

An electoral clash, select committee elections as speed dating, and Ed Miliband’s political convalescence.

Members of Labour’s disconsolate majority, sitting in tight knots in the tearoom as the MP with the best maths skills calculates who will survive and who will die, based on the latest bad poll, observe that Jeremy Corbyn has never been so loyal to the party leadership. The past 13 months, one told me, have been the Islington rebel’s longest spell without voting against Labour. The MP was contradicted by a colleague who argued that, in voting against Trident renewal, Corbyn had defied party policy. There is Labour chatter that an early general election would be a mercy killing if it put the party out of its misery and removed Corbyn next year. In 2020, it is judged, defeat will be inevitable.

The next London mayoral contest is scheduled for the same date as a 2020 election: 7 May. Sadiq Khan’s people whisper that when they mentioned the clash to ministers, they were assured it won’t happen. They are uncertain whether this indicates that the mayoral contest will be moved, or that there will be an early general election. Intriguing.

An unguarded retort from the peer Jim O’Neill seems to confirm that a dispute over the so-called Northern Powerhouse triggered his walkout from the Treasury last month. O’Neill, a fanboy of George Osborne and a former Goldman Sachs chief economist, gave no reason when he quit Theresa May’s government and resigned the Tory whip in the Lords. He joined the dots publicly when the Resolution Foundation’s director, Torsten Bell, queried the northern project. “Are you related to the PM?” shot back the Mancunian O’Neill. It’s the way he tells ’em.

Talk has quietened in Westminster Labour ranks of a formal challenge to Corbyn since this year’s attempt backfired, but the Tories fear Lisa Nandy, should the leader fall under a solar-powered ecotruck selling recycled organic knitwear.

The Wigan warrior is enjoying favourable reviews for her forensic examination of the troubled inquiry into historic child sex abuse. After Nandy put May on the spot, the Tory three-piece suit Alec Shelbrooke was overheard muttering: “I hope she never runs for leader.” Anna Soubry and Nicky Morgan, the Thelma and Louise of Tory opposition to Mayhem, were observed nodding in agreement.

Select committee elections are like speed dating. “Who are you?” inquired Labour’s Kevan Jones (Granite Central)of a stranger seeking his vote. She explained that she was Victoria Borwick, the Tory MP for Kensington, but that didn’t help. “This is the first time you’ve spoken to me,” Jones continued, “so the answer’s no.” The aloof Borwick lost, by the way.

Ed Miliband is joining Labour’s relaunched Tribune Group of MPs to continue his political convalescence. Next stop: the shadow cabinet?

Kevin Maguire is Associate Editor (Politics) on the Daily Mirror and author of our Commons Confidential column on the high politics and low life in Westminster. An award-winning journalist, he is in frequent demand on television and radio and co-authored a book on great parliamentary scandals. He was formerly Chief Reporter on the Guardian and Labour Correspondent on the Daily Telegraph.

This article first appeared in the 27 October 2016 issue of the New Statesman, American Rage