Latest poll (Sun/YouGov): Labour 10 seats short of a majority
The latest daily YouGov poll is out and it doesn't make good reading for the Tories. The poll puts them down 1 point to 36 per cent, with Labour up 1 to 34 per cent. The 2 per cent lead is the lowest we've seen since the Sunday Times/YouGov poll last month which gave the Tories their shortest lead since December 2008.
If repeated at the election on a uniform swing, the figures would leave Labour just ten seats short of an overall majority.
It's important to point out that almost all of the fieldwork for the poll took place before today's Budget. The Tories won a significant poll boost from last year's statement and I'd be surprised if they didn't gain another this time round. They'll certainly need one to settle the growing jitters at Tory HQ.
New Statesman poll of polls
Labour 31 seats short of a majority