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The five must-read posts from today, on Ronald Reagan, Iraq and cuts.

1. Checking Blair's "calculus of risk" -- WMDs and regime change

At Open Democracy, Alex Holland says that the risk of biological and chemical attacks by extremist groups is not high enough to justify invading and occupying other countries.

2. "Camp Cameron" should worry about the steady erosion of the Tory lead in the polls

David Cameron needs to find out why the Tories' lead has been slowly eroding over the past year, says Norman Tebbit. Soon there will be no time left for a major change of tactics.

3. Jackie Ashley's theory

Luke Akehurst challenges Ashley's claim that the Iraq war "destroyed progressive politics in Britain for a generation". After all, the 2005 election resulted in an unprecedented third term for Labour.

4. Cameron gets cold feet on cuts?

The FT's Jim Pickard says that David Cameron has wisely softened his rhetoric on cuts in response to the fragile recovery, but has left his party open to charges of inconsistency.

5. Tearing down the Reagan myth: now more than ever

Liberals need to challenge the right's adoration of Ronald Reagan by pointing out some of the progressive (yes, really) policies he adopted, argues the Huffington Post's Will Bunch.

 

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