In this week's New Statesman: Tory special

10 people Cameron should fear | John Pilger: Israel’s true heroes | Boris Johnson interview.

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This week's New Statesman is a special issue on the Tories: who are they and what they do want? David Marquand kicks off our coverage by arguing that the left dismisses David Cameron at its peril. Meanwhile, from the right, Simon Heffer argues that Cameron is no kind of conservative. He writes: "Cameron . . . has very few principles, other than his belief in himself as prime minister."

Elsewhere, Jonathan Derbyshire profiles Iain Duncan Smith, George Walden explores the rise of the new feudalism, and we name the ten people Cameron should fear. One of them, Boris Johnson, has been speaking to our deputy editor, Jon Bernstein. The Mayor of London explains why bankers are to blame for the recession and reveals what he really thinks of Cameron. Also, don't miss our exclusive survey of 101 Conservative candidates. Are they really any different from the old guard?

In the columns, James Macintyre explains why the Tories are losing support, John Pilger names Israel's true heroes, and Roy Hattersley says we should focus on Gordon Brown's ideas, not his tantrums.

In The Critics, Cameron's old Oxford tutor Vernon Bogdanor reviews a new study of the Tory party, we launch our search for the next great music critic, and Lisa Mullen reviews Michael Moore's latest film, Capitalism: a Love Story.

The issue is on sale now, or you can subscribe through the website.

Follow the New Statesman team on Twitter.

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.

Ukip's Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttall. Photo: Getty
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Is the general election 2017 the end of Ukip?

Ukip led the way to Brexit, but now the party is on less than 10 per cent in the polls. 

Ukip could be finished. Ukip has only ever had two MPs, but it held an outside influence on politics: without it, we’d probably never have had the EU referendum. But Brexit has turned Ukip into a single-issue party without an issue. Ukip’s sole remaining MP, Douglas Carswell, left the party in March 2017, and told Sky News’ Adam Boulton that there was “no point” to the party anymore. 

Not everyone in Ukip has given up, though: Nigel Farage told Peston on Sunday that Ukip “will survive”, and current leader Paul Nuttall will be contesting a seat this year. But Ukip is standing in fewer constituencies than last time thanks to a shortage of both money and people. Who benefits if Ukip is finished? It’s likely to be the Tories. 

Is Ukip finished? 

What are Ukip's poll ratings?

Ukip’s poll ratings peaked in June 2016 at 16 per cent. Since the leave campaign’s success, that has steadily declined so that Ukip is going into the 2017 general election on 4 per cent, according to the latest polls. If the polls can be trusted, that’s a serious collapse.

Can Ukip get anymore MPs?

In the 2015 general election Ukip contested nearly every seat and got 13 per cent of the vote, making it the third biggest party (although is only returned one MP). Now Ukip is reportedly struggling to find candidates and could stand in as few as 100 seats. Ukip leader Paul Nuttall will stand in Boston and Skegness, but both ex-leader Nigel Farage and donor Arron Banks have ruled themselves out of running this time.

How many members does Ukip have?

Ukip’s membership declined from 45,994 at the 2015 general election to 39,000 in 2016. That’s a worrying sign for any political party, which relies on grassroots memberships to put in the campaigning legwork.

What does Ukip's decline mean for Labour and the Conservatives? 

The rise of Ukip took votes from both the Conservatives and Labour, with a nationalist message that appealed to disaffected voters from both right and left. But the decline of Ukip only seems to be helping the Conservatives. Stephen Bush has written about how in Wales voting Ukip seems to have been a gateway drug for traditional Labour voters who are now backing the mainstream right; so the voters Ukip took from the Conservatives are reverting to the Conservatives, and the ones they took from Labour are transferring to the Conservatives too.

Ukip might be finished as an electoral force, but its influence on the rest of British politics will be felt for many years yet. 

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