Web Only: the best of the blogs

The five must-read blogs from today, on Miliband, Tory co-ops and Muslim Trots.

1. Is Miliband being a bit premature about the leadership?

David Miliband's reported plan to tour the country in an effort to build support for a leadership bid is highly dangerous, argues PoliticalBetting's Mike Smithson.

2. Will Tory co-ops take off?

Conservative co-operatives are a bold idea that few workers will want to take up in practice, writes the FT's Alex Barker.

3. The Tories don't understand co-op values

Elsewhere, in a guest post at LabourList, Tessa Jowell argues that the failure of the Conservative Co-operative movement proves that the Tories have no idea what co-operative values mean.

4. My response to Fraser Nelson

Daniel Finkelstein says the Spectator editor underestimates how politically and technically difficult it would be would be for the Tories to carry out major spending cuts. "The party is not the paramilitary wing of an op-ed column," he writes.

5. Hizb ut-Tahrir and "Muslim Trots": reply to Ed Husain

Dave Osler responds to Ed Husain's New Statesman article and rejects his comparison between Islamism and Trotskyism.

 

Follow the New Statesman team on Twitter.

Getty Images.
Show Hide image

Amber Rudd's report on the benefits of EU immigration is better late than never

The study will strengthen the case for a liberal post-Brexit immigration system. 

More than a year after vowing to restrict EU immigration, the government has belatedly decided to investigate whether that's a good idea. Home Secretary Amber Rudd has asked the independent Migration Advisory Committee to report on the costs and benefits of free movement to the British economy.

The study won't conclude until September 2018 - just six months before the current Brexit deadline and after the publication of the government's immigration white paper. But in this instance, late is better than never. If the report reflects previous studies it will show that EU migration has been an unambiguous economic benefit. Immigrants pay far more in tax than they claim in benefits and sectors such as agriculture, retail and social care depend on a steady flow of newcomers. 

Amber Rudd has today promised businesses and EU nationals that there will be no "cliff edge" when the UK leaves the EU, while immigration minister Brandon Lewis has seemingly contradicted her by baldly stating: "freedom of movement ends in the spring of 2019". The difference, it appears, is explained by whether one is referring to "Free Movement" (the official right Britain enjoys as an EU member) or merely "free movement" (allowing EU migrants to enter the newly sovereign UK). 

More important than such semantics is whether Britain's future immigration system is liberal or protectionist. In recent months, cabinet ministers have been forced to acknowledge an inconvenient truth: Britain needs immigrants. Those who boasted during the referendum of their desire to reduce the number of newcomers have been forced to qualify their remarks. Brexit Secretary David Davis, for instance, recently conceded that immigration woud not invariably fall after the UK leaves the EU. "I cannot imagine that the policy will be anything other than that which is in the national interest, which means that from time to time we’ll need more, from time to time we’ll need less migrants." 

In this regard, it's striking that Brandon Lewis could not promise that the "tens of thousands" net migration target would be met by the end of this parliament (2022) and that Rudd's FT article didn't even reference it. As George Osborne helpfully observed earlier this year, no senior cabinet minister (including Rudd) supports the policy. When May departs, whether this year or in 2019, she will likely take the net migration target with her. 

In the meantime, even before the end of free movement, net migration has already fallen to its lowest level since 2014 (248,000), while EU citizens are emigrating at the fastest rate for six years (117,000 left in 2016). The pound’s depreciation (which makes British wages less competitive), the spectre of Brexit and a rise in hate crimes and xenophobia are among the main deterrents. If the report does its job, it will show why the UK can't afford for that trend to continue. 

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.