Morning Call: pick of the comment

The ten must-read pieces from this morning's newspapers

1. The road from Copenhagen (Guardian)

The Climate and Energy Secretary, Ed Miliband, admits the failings of the Copenhagen summit and defends the successes, exploring how to go forward. He urges the green movement "not to lose heart and momentum".

2. After the catastrophe in Copenhagen, it's up to us (Independent)

Johann Hari berates politicians at Copenhagen for their failure and calls for collective action: "a mass movement of ordinary democratic citizens" can make the "impossible" happen.

3. Copenhagen was the MPs' expenses scandal writ large (Daily Telegraph)

Over at the Telegraph, Matthew d'Ancona says Copenhagen "dramatised the gulf between political class and public". He urges leaders to focus more on convincing climate change sceptics.

4. Failed state (Times)

It is dangerous to ignore the ongoing crisis in Somalia, the Times leader says. The west must act to tackle the growing Islamisation of a brutalised populace in a lawless state.

5. Dogged Brown can still upset Cameron's enigma variations (Guardian)

Jackie Ashley says that if Labour found new energy we could still see a hung parliament next year, although as things stands, she still expects a Conservative majority government.

6. The end of Britain's long weekend (Financial Times)

Max Hastings looks ahead to Christmas in 2010 and 2011, arguing that things will be much worse, as a Conservative government will "fail in its responsibility" if it does not drastically cut public-sector jobs and allow businesses to go bust.

7. Sickness in health (Times)

Victims of medical negligence deserve redress, and the lawyers who act for them need to be paid, says the Times, but both payouts and legal fees should be in proportion.

8. We must bring in a better law on self-defence (Daily Telegraph)

The Munir Hussain case raises questions about our right to defend our property and person, and this right should be safeguarded, except where it is grossly disproportionate.

9. Eurostar was not just a mechanical breakdown (Independent)

The breakdown of Eurostar over the weekend raises grave questions about our emergency planning, according to the Independent.

10. Heed the great stabiliser's words on banking (Times)

William Rees-Mogg says we should listen to Paul Volcker, Barack Obama's economic adviser, who wants a return to Glass-Steagall rules: the move is right for both Wall Street and the City.

Ukip's Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttall. Photo: Getty
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Is the general election 2017 the end of Ukip?

Ukip led the way to Brexit, but now the party is on less than 10 per cent in the polls. 

Ukip could be finished. Ukip has only ever had two MPs, but it held an outside influence on politics: without it, we’d probably never have had the EU referendum. But Brexit has turned Ukip into a single-issue party without an issue. Ukip’s sole remaining MP, Douglas Carswell, left the party in March 2017, and told Sky News’ Adam Boulton that there was “no point” to the party anymore. 

Not everyone in Ukip has given up, though: Nigel Farage told Peston on Sunday that Ukip “will survive”, and current leader Paul Nuttall will be contesting a seat this year. But Ukip is standing in fewer constituencies than last time thanks to a shortage of both money and people. Who benefits if Ukip is finished? It’s likely to be the Tories. 

Is Ukip finished? 

What are Ukip's poll ratings?

Ukip’s poll ratings peaked in June 2016 at 16 per cent. Since the leave campaign’s success, that has steadily declined so that Ukip is going into the 2017 general election on 4 per cent, according to the latest polls. If the polls can be trusted, that’s a serious collapse.

Can Ukip get anymore MPs?

In the 2015 general election Ukip contested nearly every seat and got 13 per cent of the vote, making it the third biggest party (although is only returned one MP). Now Ukip is reportedly struggling to find candidates and could stand in as few as 100 seats. Ukip leader Paul Nuttall will stand in Boston and Skegness, but both ex-leader Nigel Farage and donor Arron Banks have ruled themselves out of running this time.

How many members does Ukip have?

Ukip’s membership declined from 45,994 at the 2015 general election to 39,000 in 2016. That’s a worrying sign for any political party, which relies on grassroots memberships to put in the campaigning legwork.

What does Ukip's decline mean for Labour and the Conservatives? 

The rise of Ukip took votes from both the Conservatives and Labour, with a nationalist message that appealed to disaffected voters from both right and left. But the decline of Ukip only seems to be helping the Conservatives. Stephen Bush has written about how in Wales voting Ukip seems to have been a gateway drug for traditional Labour voters who are now backing the mainstream right; so the voters Ukip took from the Conservatives are reverting to the Conservatives, and the ones they took from Labour are transferring to the Conservatives too.

Ukip might be finished as an electoral force, but its influence on the rest of British politics will be felt for many years yet. 

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