US Press: pick of the papers

The ten must-read opinion pieces from today's US papers.

1. Israel's Best Friend (New York Times)
President has offered the greatest support for Israel that any president could at this time: He redefined the Iran issue, writes Thomas Friedman.

2. The Future of the Santorum Coalition (New York Times)
Rick Santorum's victories in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota on Super Tuesday, and his very strong showing in Ohio, will give hope to journalists who love the horse race, writes Ross Douthat.

3. Will Occupy be heard from? (LA Times)
The Occupy movement appears to have lost its way. To be a factor in the November vote, it needs to get organized, argues this editorial.

4. Dear Mitt: Ignore the man in the bow tie (Washington Post)
There's no predicting what will happen in November, no matter what the pundits say. But if you go down, enjoy the ride by being fearlessly yourself -- uncool, unafraid, intelligent, experienced, determined and, as you put it, resolute, says Kathleen Parker.

5. Lasting damage for Romney (Washington Post)
The campaign has not been kind to Romney's image. Nearly four in 10 voters said they had a somewhat or very negative view of Romney, compared with one in four a year earlier, says Ruth Marcus.

6. On Iran, patience and power (LA Times)
It is far too early to give up on diplomacy, argues this editorial.

7. The End of Apple's Roach Motel? (Wall Street Journal)
Apple's vast profit margins aren't built to last, writes Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.

8. Apologize like you mean it, Rush (Boston Globe) (£)
Rush Limbaugh's sullen 'apology' only compounds his offense, says Jeff Jacoby.

9. Finding transportation funds (Politico)
Obama and Congress appear unwilling to increase transportation investment, says Slade Gorton.

10. Why the jobs picture remains cloudy (USA Today)
Ohio has a huge "one-stop" job services facility. But drugs, crime and red tape strangle efforts to put people to work, says Don Campbell.

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What does François Bayrou's endorsement of Emmanuel Macron mean for the French presidential race?

The support of the perennial candidate for President will boost Macron's morale but won't transform his electoral standing. 

François Bayrou, the leader of the centrist Democratic Movement and a candidate for the French presidency in 2007 and 2012, has endorsed Emmanuel Macron’s bid for the presidency.

What does it mean for the presidential race?  Under the rules of the French electoral system, if no candidate secures more than half the vote in the first round, the top two go through to a run-off.

Since 2013, Marine Le Pen has consistently led in the first round before going down to defeat in the second, regardless of the identity of her opponents, according to the polls.

However, national crises – such as terror attacks or the recent riots following the brutal arrest of a 22-year-old black man, who was sodomised with a police baton – do result in a boost for Le Pen’s standing, as does the ongoing “Penelopegate” scandal about the finances of the centre-right candidate, François Fillon.

Macron performs the most strongly of any candidate in the second round but struggles to make it into the top two in the first. Having eked out a clear lead in second place ahead of Fillon in the wake of Penelopegate, Macron’s lead has fallen back in recent polls after he said that France’s rule in Algeria was a “crime against humanity”.

Although polls show that the lion’s share of Bayrou’s supporters flow to Macron without his presence in the race, with the rest going to Fillon and Le Pen, Macron’s standing has remained unchanged regardless of whether or not Bayrou is in the race or not. So as far as the electoral battlefield is concerned, Bayrou’s decision is not a gamechanger.

But the institutional support of the Democratic Movement will add to the ability of Macron’s new party, En Marche, to get its voters to the polls on election day, though the Democratic Movement has never won a vast number of deputies or regional elections. It will further add to the good news for Macron following a successful visit to London this week, and, his supporters will hope, will transform the mood music around his campaign.

But hopes that a similar pact between Benoît Hamon, the Socialist Party candidate, and Jean-Luc Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the Left Front’s candidate, look increasingly slim, after Mélenchon said that joining up with the Socialists would be like “hanging himself to a hearse”. 

Stephen Bush is special correspondent at the New Statesman. His daily briefing, Morning Call, provides a quick and essential guide to British politics.