Star Spangled Staggers

US politics from outside the beltway

Syndicate contentRSS

Romney is the inevitable candidate again

Victory over Santorum in Arizona and Michigan means the Republican candidate is almost unassailable.

Ever since Rick Santorum swept three states earlier this month, the question everyone has been asking in the US is: Why don't Republicans like Mitt Romney?

Notice I didn't say why do they like Santorum. Indeed, the socially conservative former US Senator from Pennsylvania has been surging, but largely because his winning -- if only symbolically, as in Missouri, whose delegates don't count -- demonstrated a credible conservative alternative to Moderate Mitt.

Because of this, Michigan, where Detroit and its famed automotive firms are located, has been the focus of superlative speculation. Michigan is Romney's birthplace and where his father, George Romney, served as a popular car company executive as well as a respected and moderate Republican governor. If Romney couldn't win with that history, how could he win at all?

Making matters worse is Michigan's long tradition of holding open primaries, which means anyone can cast a ballot for a Republican nominee, even liberals and Democrats! That exclamation point is intended to be cheeky but it's unclear how funny "Operation Hilarity" is. That's the campaign by the Daily Kos, a liberal political website, that feared a win for Romney meant an end to circus entertainment. By voting for Santorum, the editors said, Democrats can "keep the clownshow going."

News broke on Monday that perhaps the Santorum camp is taking Kos' hilarious cue. Democrats across Michigan received robo-calls asking them to vote for Santorum. A second round of calls went out Tuesday telling voters to support Santorum because Romney opposed the Detroit bailout (which Santorum also opposed, but whatever).

Surveys showed Romney and Santorum in a dead heat, raising alarm among analysts who worried the race was so close that voting for Santorum on a lark would bring the joke of President Santorum one big scary step closer to not funny at all. And Democrats would be to blame!

They can all stop worrying now.

Romney handily won Arizona, where he crushed his opponents. Even so, all eyes were on Michigan. For a while, it was too close to call, but around 9 p.m. EST Romney started pulling away from Santorum and by about 10:30pm, NBC and the Associated Press called it in favor of Romney. Cue the sighs of relief.

With 91 per cent of the votes in Michigan counted, Romney had 41 per cent, Santorum 38 per cent, Ron Paul 12 per cent and Newt Gingrich 6.5 per cent. In Arizona, with 73 per cent of the votes counted, Romney had 47.5 per cent, Santorum 26 per cent, Gingrich 16 per cent and Paul 8.5 per cent.

And perhaps now (though I doubt it) there will be less nit-picking over Romney's bona fides. The conventional wisdom has been that working-class and evangelicals don't like Romney, so they'll likely vote for Santorum, a socially conservative Catholic. But turns out that's only half right. According to CNN, working-class voters (defined by income) were more or less split between the candidates. And given exit poll data provided by CBS News, evangelicals liked Santorum, but Michigan's Catholics went for Romney, the Latter-Day Saint.

Some say even a win in Michigan is a loss for Romney because Santorum took the shine of inevitability off him, just as Gingrich did in South Carolina. Yet a win is more often, in the real world at any rate, a win. This shifting back and forth between being portrayed as the candidate of inevitability and candidate of collapse has dogged Romney from the beginning. Every time his opponents gird their loins enough to take a nibble out of the delegate pie, critics point and shout and say Romney won't be able to eat the whole pie! In fact he doesn't have to in order to secure the nomination. But whatever, now that Romney has won again, the narrative will also return to inevitability, with South Carolina, Colorado and Minnesota remembered as only unpleasant hiccups.

John Stoehr is a lecturer in English at Yale University.

11 comments

McHattie2nupm9's picture

Thanks a lot for sharing this with all people you really realize what you are talking approximately! Bookmarked. Kindly also talk over with my website =). We may have a hyperlink exchange arrangement between us!

Alex's picture

There is no one in the Republican Party thats running to beat Obama except Ron Paul, if Romney wins the nomination consider that the end of all hope for the win for 2012, that will be another 4 yrs of Obama so wake up and start using your brains, because the Obama machine will take Romney apart they cant do that with Ron Paul...just look at Romneys legacy not much there win, he cant even run on his own platform he has to use others.

Marcus's picture

@Alex: I agree 100%

Gideon Polya's picture

Whether supporting Romney or Santorum the neocon- and Zionist-perverted Republicans are the world's worst terrorists in opposing proper universal health care in the US. This perversion is linked to the preventable deaths of 10 million Americans in the last decade as compared to the 9 million Muslims they have killed in the anti-Arab anti-Semitic, Neocon American and Zionist Imperialist (NAZI)-driven US Alliance War on Terror (see "Muslim Holocaust, Muslim Genocide": https://sites.google.com/site/muslimholocaustmuslimgenocide/ ).

The US is one of the richest countries on earth but an estimated 1 million Americans die preventable deaths each year due to gross fiscal perversion whereby trillions of dollars are spent on the military, wars and killing people abroad rather than on keeping Americans alive at home. The traitorous Neocon American and Zionist Imperialist (NAZI) Establishment 1% responsible for this passive mass murder of 1 million Americans each year should be exposed and sidelined by the long-suffering 99% of ordinary Americans (see "One Million Americans Die Preventably Annually In USA", Countercurrents, 18 February 2012: http://www.countercurrents.org/polya180212.htm ).

John Cheese's picture

@isc: you would know about that- you must be a euro, ha..

John Cheese's picture

@Gideon: Ha- Brit's NHS is looking to privatize certain aspects due to inefficiency. Canadians flock to US for timely treatment due to their delays. Reminds me of 10 years ago when leftie activist Martin Sheen screamed there were 1,000's of US homeless people dying ea day on the streets- till he was called out on that lie.

billy webster's picture

@john cleese

straight from the "ministry of funny statements!"

benniec's picture

ROMNEY IS UNFIT THE BIG GAME WILL EAT HIM UP, HE HAD TROUBLE WITH A DISPICABLE. DEMS WAITING AND LAUGHING

John Cheese's picture

Cat got your mind billy-willy?

John Cheese's picture

0bams is a one & done..his "magic" record (of failure) won't save him this time. 0bamstacare healthcare is an albatross. Heck, his Treasury Secretary is a tax cheat

ISC's picture

@John
Have you considered changing the first part of your nom de plum to Richard.

I am sure it would add impact to your comments.

Latest tweets