US Press: pick of the papers

The ten must-read opinion pieces from today's US papers.

1. Public turns against war on pot (Chicago Tribune)

The stupidity and futility of the federal war on weed has slowly permeated the mass consciousness, writes Steve Chapman.

2. No Peace for Prisoners (Washington Post)

The Israeli-Palestinian prisoner swap offers little new hope for peace, writes this editorial.

3. Occupy the Classroom (New York Times)

Want to close the equality gap? Providing early childhood education would be a great place to start, and it might even pay for itself, says Nicholas D. Kristof.

4. Re-examining our bio-defense (Politico)

According to Jeffrey Runge, Congress needs to take a fresh look as it prepares to reauthorize BARDA.

5. How to Clean Up the Housing Mess (Wall Street Journal) ($)

Millions of foreclosures are ruining millions of lives. We can do better than Social Darwinism, says Alan Blinder.

6. A shortage of drugs in a free market? (USA Today)

This editorial reporst that while the FDA and pharmaceutical industry debate the hows and whys, patients are stuck in limbo with life-threatening illnesses.

7. Candidate Cain disrespects African-American community (Detroit Free Press)

Trevor Coleman writes: "Imagine the reaction if a white presidential candidate said most African Americans have been "brainwashed" to vote for Democrats."

8. Meet Me at the Plaza (New York Times)

A 50-year-old bargain between the city and private developers gave New York hundreds of potentially useful spaces, but Jerold S. Kayden argues it clearly needs revising.

9. Obama in the Occupy Wall Street camp (Los Angeles Times)

With polls showing broad support for the movement, President Obama tries to turn the anger into an electoral advantage, says Doyle McManus.

10. Newt's surge (Washington Times)

The Republican party's disarray benefits the former speaker, writes Brett M. Decker -- and starts talk of a Gingrich-Palin ticket.

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Donald Trump is the Republican nominee. What now?

So a Clinton-Trump general election is assured – a historically unpopular match-up based on their current favourability ratings.

That’s it. Ted Cruz bowed out of the Republican presidential race last night, effectively handing the nomination to Donald Trump. “From the beginning I’ve said that I would continue on as long as there was a viable path to victory,” Cruz said. “Tonight, I’m sorry to say it appears that path has been foreclosed.”

What foreclosed his path was his sizeable loss to Trump in Indiana. Cruz had bet it all on the Hoosier State, hoping to repeat his previous Midwest victories in Iowa and Wisconsin. He formed a pact with John Kasich, whereby Kasich left the anti-Trump field clear for Cruz in Indiana in return for Cruz not campaigning in Oregon and New Mexico. He announced Carly Fiorina as his vice-presidential nominee last week, hoping the news would give him a late boost.

It didn’t work. Donald Trump won Indiana handily, with 53 per cent of the vote to Cruz’s 37 per cent. Trump won all of the state’s nine congressional districts, and so collected all 57 of the convention delegates on offer. He now has 1,014 delegates bound to him on the convention’s first ballot, plus 34 unbound delegates who’ve said they’ll vote for him (according to Daniel Nichanian’s count).

That leaves Trump needing just 189 more to hit the 1,237 required for the nomination – a number he was very likely to hit in the remaining contests before Cruz dropped out (it’s just 42 per cent of the 445 available), and that he is now certain to achieve. No need to woo more unbound delegates. No contested convention. No scrambling for votes on the second ballot. 

Though Bernie Sanders narrowly won the Democratic primary in Indiana, he’s still 286 pledged delegates short of Hillary Clinton. He isn’t going to win the 65 per cent of remaining delegates he’d need to catch up. Clinton now needs just 183 more delegates to reach the required 2,383. Like Trump, she is certain to reach that target on 7 June when a number of states vote, including the largest: California.

So a Clinton-Trump general election is assured – a historically unpopular match-up based on their current favourability ratings. But while Clinton is viewed favourably by 42 per cent of voters and unfavourably by 55%, Trump is viewed favourably by just 35 per cent and unfavourably by a whopping 61 per cent. In head-to-head polling (which isn’t particularly predictive this far from election day), Clinton leads with 47 per cent to Trump’s 40 per cent. Betting markets make Clinton the heavy favourite, with a 70 per cent chance of winning the presidency in November.

Still, a few questions that remain as we head into the final primaries and towards the party conventions in July: how many Republican officeholders will reluctantly endorse Trump, how many will actively distance themselves from him, and how many will try to remain silent? Will a conservative run as an independent candidate against Trump in the general election? Can Trump really “do presidential” for the next six months, as he boasted recently, and improve on his deep unpopularity?

And on the Democratic side: will Sanders concede gracefully and offer as full-throated an endorsement of Clinton as she did of Barack Obama eight years ago? It was on 7 June 2008 that she told her supporters: “The way to continue our fight now, to accomplish the goals for which we stand is to take our energy, our passion, our strength, and do all we can to help elect Barack Obama, the next president of the United States.” Will we hear something similar from Sanders next month? 

Jonathan Jones writes for the New Statesman on American politics.