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How trailing Abbott could still make the ballot paper

Some of 100 undeclared Labour MPs may yet nominate -- merely to create the perception of choice.

With only seven nominations, Dianne Abbott is trailing in last place among those who are seeking to get past the 33 MPs mark before nominations close on Wednesday (the day of the NS's evening debate between the candidates who make it into the contest).

Most write her off. Yet it is worth noting -- as Adam Boulton of Sky has done today -- that there are still 100 MPs yet to nominate. (And as well as today's hustings at the GMB, there is also one before MPs this evening.) It is also important to remember that when the contest itself is decided, a number of MPs will be voting for different candidates from the ones they nominated.

There are signs that there may yet be a surge in favour of Abbott once MPs have absorbed the social, ethnic and gender similarities behind the leading candidates.

Adam Boulton explains:

Currently David Miliband is on the grid with 62 backers, brother Ed has 49 and Ed Balls is on 33.

So far Burnham has just 21 nominations, McDonnell ten and Abbott seven.

But there over 100 unsecured Labour MPs out there who could ensure that all six candidates are runners.

Burnham told me on Sunday Live that he's confident of making it (David Miliband has hinted his surplus supporters could help out).

There is also an uneasy awareness in Labour ranks that the three nominated candidates so far are all white, middle-class, Oxbridge-educated, fortysomething men.

That could lead to a sudden surge of nominations for Abbott, especially since some on the centre and right of the party want a left-wing candidate so that he or she (McDonnell or Abbott) can be seen to be defeated.

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Tags: Labour leadership

3 comments

Gerry Rooney's picture

Albeit that weight of support already leans to the Right, and that a blatant leftist agenda might arguably allow a right-wing media to successfully frighten the moderate majority of voters at the next election, the nomination of Diane Abbott at this venture, whatever the eventual vote for leader, seems desireable. Encouragement must be evident for greater depth and breadth of debate about shared values and future options than was possible in the pre-election period. It would be strengthening, not weakening, to recognise and welcome diverse strands in the tapestry of opinion, rather than to shut down, decry, or deny. Good leadership will respect the breadth, absorb the good, utilise the tension.

In so far as there may be a democratic deficit consequent on the disconnect between the elected representatives and the trust or confidence placed in them by the citizens, then this has been increasingly not solely due to publicised scandals and corruption but more, I believe, due to the teflon-gap between, on the one hand, the conversation held by the politician-cum-PR-bureaucrat with their own like, and on the otherhand the free-flow of interested and informed debate by myriad modes in contemporary techno-media-facilitated society. If the official parameters, scope or time of debate is too curtailed, or if widely held concerns are not respectfully adverted to, then there is danger that the committed, value-based, and democratically responsible denizens conclude that leaders are not listening, only want power & control to serve vested intersts, and will again be hell-bent on driving through targets and partisan dogma which may prove as alienating or damaging as the War. As with banks and money markets, so with politicians and levers of power, the masses are looking for change, for signs of inclusivity,for rebalance towards greater equity, for representative democracy, even in the process as in the project.

Badger's picture

Afraid someone can't add up here. There are 258 Labour MP's and so far 182 have nominated [a figure which is slightly higher in other reports] leaving 76, not 100 left to nominate. To bring all of the bottom three up to 33 each, 61 of the 76 would need to carefully allocate their nominations to them in a coordinated way.Sounds very unlikely to me.

Sue Davies's picture

The LP hierarchy won't want Diane Abbott or John McDonnell to stand because they are terrified of the popularity of 'real' Labour socialists with the grass root membership....

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