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Measuring Glasgow North East

Triumph for Labour; disaster for SNP

The scale of the Labour victory in the Glasgow North East byelection in the seat of the former Speaker Michael Martin has surprised some commentators, and no doubt angered the rightwing Tory blogosphere. Early this morning the new MP for the region, Willie Bain, and the Scottish Secretary Jim Murphy hailed the result as a personal endorsement of Gordon Brown and his handling of the economy. We will see.

What is clear is that the result is disastrous for the supposedly insurgent Scottish National Party. Coming after recent polls showing -- as always -- a clear majority of Scots in favour of remaining in the Union with England that is greater than the sum of its parts, this outcome will be a bitter disappointment to seperatists and a relief to Labour whose lead over the SNP has now jumped from 16.3 per cent to 39.4 per cent -- in a swing of 11.5 per cent.

With this, and the wave of sympathy created for Brown by the Sun's own goal on his letters to the families of the fallen in Afghanistan, this has -- unfashionable though it may be to admit it -- been a relatively good week for the Prime Minister.

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4 comments from readers

Colin
13 November 2009 at 13:30

I think it's just proof of the pudding that Labour is the only party the people see as being capable of leading the country. This should be seen as a 'Massive' blow to the Tory pretenders.

Luddite.
13 November 2009 at 17:55

You realy have no idea what's heading your way.

POLITICAL WIPE-OUT !!

iainmorse
14 November 2009 at 15:57

er..what? look at the 33% of people who bothered to vote .....this was no big victory for Labour. The % of those voting is down from the last election and represents two things -1) that Labour retained its core vote in this constituency getting PART OF IT out 2) that the SNP failed to mobilise their vote.

My guess is that as England moves Tory the Scots will instinctively though not massively move Labour. But they may still want the SNP in control of the Scottish Parliament-there is certainly no appetite here for a return to the Scottish Labour one party state -we have tasted freedom.

beak
16 November 2009 at 22:16

Colin - are you for real?

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