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If the Lib Dems want a coalition with Labour, they need to start work now

In 2010, the centre–left failed the people of this country. It must never do so again.

Business Secretary Vince Cable. Photograph: Getty Images.
Which way will social liberals like Vince Cable turn if there's another hung parliament? Photograph: Getty Images.

Dear Liberal Democrats,

As your party gathers in Brighton, the end game of your amazing governing odyssey, and whatever life takes place after it, can no longer be avoided. And the question is this, given it's impossible to imagine you are going to govern alone, who would you rather form a coalition with in less than two and half years' time: the Conservatives, Labour or simply the biggest party?

The electorate will help you make the actual decision, of course. If the numbers say it has to be the Tories again, then you must decide how to deal with that – coalition or confidence and supply? But I ask again - not what you think might happen but what do you want to happen and, therefore, what will you do to make it happen?

As someone who has long argued and worked for a progressive alliance in British politics, I can understand the maths and electoral reality. Being the third party means hoping no one has overall control and therefore a share of power for you. I can also understand how difficult it is to be a junior partner in a coalition. You have helped show that coalitions can work. People may not like the policies, just like any single party government, but they cannot say it's been weak. But it's not strong government, whether single party or coalition, that we ultimately want, but governments with the right sense of purpose and direction.

You can’t be blamed for the electoral outcome, but what you can't be forgiven for is not trying to achieve the best possible result.  If you genuinely don’t care which party you deal with, or if you would rather stick with the devil you know - then fine. But if you would rather see a progressive centre-left coalition then A) good and B) how are you going to help create the conditions in which you get one?

Now, I know your first reaction will be "but what about bloody Labour". What indeed? I’ve written endlessly about the party's problems and will continue to do so, but for all of Labour's faults, most of its hearts beat to the same rhythm as yours. It is on the side of poor and the dispossessed.

Of course, my party, which I'll turn to next week, has to grow up and decide whether it wants to stay in the wilderness or govern in partnership in the event of a hung parliament.  It’s a huge test. In a recent survey, 57 per cent of Labour List readers said they didn't want to talk to the Lib Dems. Unison general secretary Dave Prentis has said he will halt a pact. If Labour doesn’t secure a majority, one can only presume that they would rather have another centre-right coalition. So it won't be easy. Labour has a cultural revolution to go through to be part of the modern world.

It's likely that the test is coming. The pollster John Curtice has long predicted a hung parliament at the next election. He recently wrote, "the hung parliament brought about by the 2010 election was no accident. It was a consequence of long-term changes in pattern of party support that mean it is now persistently more difficult for either Labour or the Conservatives to win an overall majority". Bookmakers, too, think the next parliament will be hung.

In 2010, the centre–left collectively failed the people of this country. It must never do so again. It was a dereliction of duty that no one had done the policy work or built the relationships required for a progressive coalition. The numbers made it tough, but we weren’t even ready before the polls closed. Shall we leave it to Michael Gove and David Laws to stitch it up again?

That’s why we have to build relationships now – through policy, ideas debates and campaigns. We might find we have more in common than we think. Everything good about liberalism is social – it was New Liberalism that founded the welfare state and Beveridge who gave it its post-war form. It was Keynes who helped rebuild the post war economy and it is a Keynes we need today. On Europe, constitutional reform, climate change, civil liberties, a Plan B or Plan C, the best of both parties would provide a half-decent programme for government. Labour needs to be more liberal. The Liberals needs to be more social. So can we start to sketch out the outlines of a new coalition agreement to rebuild Britain? This doesn’t mean either party losing its identity or distinctiveness, it does mean preparing for the best feasible outcome.

So tell Vince Cable to keep texting Ed Miliband and Labour’s leader to keep texting back. Ed Balls should continue to find ways to agree with St. Vince and vice versa. Peter Hain should keep stating the obvious: that Labour should prepare for coalition with the Lib Dems because it will struggle to win an overall majority at the next election.

As the Tories shift right and Labour tries to refashion itself under Miliband, who do you really want to work with next time? Charles Kennedy, Shirley Williams, Tim Farron, Ming Campbell, Paddy Ashdown, Simon Hughes – what do you want given you won't win alone? And if you want it, what are you prepared to do about it?  

The political crime would not be to react as best you can to the verdict of the people – it would be to have failed to even try and build something different and better before the people speak and in, so doing, influence what they might say.  For that, we all have a responsibility.

Enjoy your seaside break – and I look forward to your answers on a postcard.

Neal

Neal Lawson's column appears weekly on The Staggers.

14 comments

Geraint's picture

Richard, Blair is only a short chapter in Labour's history. For most of it's history, Labour was the party of civil liberties, and will be usch again. Moreover the Lib Dem record on civil liberties is already more than a little damaged.

give peace a chance's picture

So,
Blair was just an aberation?!
sorry, who supported the illegal wars in Iraq and Afghanistan which resulted in the slaughter of 100's of thousnads of innocent lives, who supported the vicious attacks on civil libertes in this country?Who cosied up so close to big business as to make the tories seem almost anti-establishment?..........
Why would we want a return of the right in British politics?

give peace a chance's picture

So,
Blair was just an aberation?!
sorry, who supported the illegal wars in Iraq and Afghanistan which resulted in the slaughter of 100's of thousnads of innocent lives, who supported the vicious attacks on civil libertes in this country?Who cosied up so close to big business as to make the tories seem almost anti-establishment?..........
Why would we want a return of the right in British politics?

give peace a chance's picture

So,
Blair was just an aberation?!
sorry, who supported the illegal wars in Iraq and Afghanistan which resulted in the slaughter of 100's of thousnads of innocent lives, who supported the vicious attacks on civil libertes in this country?Who cosied up so close to big business as to make the tories seem almost anti-establishment?..........
Why would we want a return of the right in British politics?

Richard Thomas's picture

For this Lib Dem, Labour's authoritarianism and attacks on civil liberties were what made me oppose any form of dalliance with them. Has Labour changed its spots or do the spirits of Blair, Straw and Blunkett still determine policies?

Mrs.Josephine Hyde-Hartley 's picture

Actually, it's the spirit of voluntarism, not the political persuasions of any actors or agents concerned (political or otherwise) that affects and determines policy as it happens ie in action.

But it's a poor do when ordinary members of the public have a job to make the public services work properly. It's becoming a job even to take one's kids to school I find, in view of

lisacat1999's picture

If the Lib Dems want a coalition with Labour, they should pull out of their current coalition now. Not after 4+ years of facilitating the most right wing Conservative government in at least two generations.

Barrie J's picture

Why on earth would anyone want to vote for the Lib Dems?
Vote Lib Dems - get Tory policy 'red in tooth and claw'.
Vote Lib Dems - Get New Labour - who currently don't seem to know what policies they want.
Better idea - vote for someone who will do us the least damage, no the most.

Linda_Jack's picture

TOMMY5D a very lazy response! Actually, 2/3 of Liberal Democrats have always self identified as socially liberal which certainly isn't "socialist". Of course, with 25% of our members having legged it, that ratio may be shifting. Don't forget that we had very successful socially liberal coalitions with Labour in Scotland and Wales. I would suggest that is more likely to be because we have far more shared values, after all, Liberal Democrats include ex Liberals and ex SDP. And as for the Tories doing more for the poor, er.....what planet are you on? I don't remember hearing of 150 people committing suicide due to benefit cuts under Labour - and the fact that we are complicit in those changes which hit the poorest hardest - that is what is hardest to stomach.

Geraint's picture

Tommy5D, you seem to be living in a dream world. The ConDem coalition is doing a lot ot hurt the poorest in society, taking away benefits, tax credits, employment, workers rights, damaging reforms to the exam system in England.

Labour has done alot to help the poor, with the NHS, tax credits, increasing child benefit, the minimum wage, ensuring wortkers had decent rights, etc. Labour has always helped the poorest in society, far more than the Fib Dems, and far far more than the Tories. Also, what is "liberal" about the Lib Dems?

Geraint's picture

The problem with a Labour-Lib Dem coalition is that Labour will want to reverse some of the things that the Conservative-Lib Dem coalition has done, it be very difficult for the Lib Dems to agree to backtrack on their own record in government. It much easier for the larger party to ditch things if it returns to government by itself, since they can blame the smaller party. (in Wales, Welsh Labour dropped the badger cull that it agreed with during it's coalition with Plaid) But for the junior party, u-turning on things you previous did in government with a party of a different hue, just looks bad, it looks unprincipled.

Moreoever, the Lib Dems might not be in a position to offer anyone a coalition after the next election. If the election results are as bad as the polling currently suggests, then that could have conquences for the party, internally.

tommy5d's picture

Errm... there's nothing Liberal about Labour and most of us Lib Dems don't want to be more "social", by which of course, you mean socialist.

And the idea that Labour are on the side of the poor is laughable. The Tories have done more to help the working classes than Labour ever have...

W Barter's picture

Labour also needs to learn about civil liberties, and a fair justice system, before the Lib Dems would be happy going near them. There's only one party in British politics that doesn't believe a race to the right over sentencing is a good idea, and that is the Lib Dems. That is enough for me to be proud to be a member.

Mark Dragilocevic's picture

Spot on. Labour need to work on their own substance and policies instead of relying on the Lib Dems to act as an inevitable prop for a prospective Labour minority government.

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