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The modernisation of the Conservative Party is not complete

We must not appear uncomfortable with multicultural Britain.

David Cameron at last year's Conservative conference. Photograph: Getty Images.
David Cameron delivers his keynote speech to delegates at last year's Conservative conference. Photograph: Getty Images.

Yesterday’s Daily Telegraph included an opinion piece from my colleague Damian Green arguing, among other things, that if the Conservative Party gives the impression that it doesn't like modern Britain, it is very unlikely that modern Britain will like it.

Fraser Nelson, the editor of the Spectator, has responded on the magazine's Coffee House blog, arguing that Damian’s analysis is about ten years out of date. Fraser is one of the most articulate and passionate champions of the Conservative cause, but he’s wrong about this on two counts.

First, he argues that the war has already been won. "The Tory Party has moved on" he says, pointing to some of the most impressive members of the 2010 intake. It is certainly true that the war within the Conservative Party has been largely won - most of my colleagues accept the need to appeal beyond the core Conservative vote, to talk about issues like the NHS, the environment and equality as well as more traditional Tory fare like tax, crime and immigration, though a few still don’t get it. But the real war always was and is external, not internal.

Take ethnic minority electors, a growing segment of the electorate: if Fraser really thinks that the war is won, he should take a look at the results of the Ethnic Minority British Election Study or Lord Ashcroft’s recent polling. I suspect that Fraser would reply that it is the imaginative policy thinking of some of my colleagues that will change attitudes among these voters, not vague talk of being comfortable with modern Britain. And to a degree, he would be right - but policy on its own isn’t the answer. Most voters don’t have a detailed knowledge of each party’s policies (they do however pick up on remarks that directly affect them - a surprising number of black and minority ethnic voters in my constituency know that the Prime Minister attacked multiculturalism in an otherwise excellent speech on security in Munich in February 2011) - they decide how to vote based on their perception of what each party stands for. And if you have a damaged brand it colours the perception of all your policies. Take the example Fraser gives: he argues that many people are concerned about immigration and are quite capable of separating this from concerns about race. He is absolutely right - black and minority voters in my constituency are just as concerned as everyone else about the level of immigration and the resulting pressure on public services. But if voters think a party is uncomfortable with multicultural Britain, they will draw conclusions about the motivation behind its immigration policy.

Fraser’s second error is to view modernising the Conservative Party as being about appealing to ethnic minority voters, the LGBT community and metropolitan liberals. To be fair to him, he’s not alone in having this view - and it’s hardly surprising that many people have that impression because these are the groups that the modernisers of the last 1990s/early 2000s tended to talk about. But you could equally talk about public sector workers, Fraser’s fellow Scots or those who live in the great cities of the north and the midlands.

The real war, then, is to change perceptions of the Conservative Party among millions of people whose values on issues like the family, reward for hard work, crime and Europe are Conservative but who do not think of themselves as Conservatives. More people tell pollsters that they would never vote Conservative than say they would never vote Labour. This is not something we should take pride in.

David Cameron won a battle in 2010, securing an additional two million Conservative votes, but the war has not been won - indeed, arguably, we have gone backwards since 2010, particularly among public sector workers because of the painful decisions we have had to take to deal with the financial mess we inherited. It must be won if we want to see a majority Conservative government.

Gavin Barwell is the Conservative MP for Croydon Central.

27 comments

A Realist's picture

What they mean is, that because conservatives have alienated the countryside green types, the middle class public sector worker types, the squeezed middle, pensioners, savers, the young and the traditional working class voter, those on benefits, the euroscepics and lib dem and labour swing voters, they have no choice but to hope they can tap in to some sort of traditional patriarchal type of ethnic minority that favours a state free conservatism with no health and safety or red tape and is a bit religious and would love to employ people on less than the minimum wage.

Barry Ewart's picture

The modernisation of the Tory Party is a myth - they are just pretending and giving it a try whilst they pursue their class interests. The Tories are generally politically thick, socialised into voting Tory and all their m class ignorance of and prejudice against w class life, trade unions, left politics is fed and reinfoced by the right wing media. Labour needs to politically educate the general m class to try to win them to the progressive m class. Modern Tories? - just read Tory MP for Shipley in his campaign for barbarism and a return to the death penalty recently visited Death Row in America and the creep even sat in the execution chair! Suppose you can fool some of the people - tax cuts for millionaires, cuts in corporation tax, tax cuts for private landlords multiple properties, private inroads NHS etc Same old Tories, same old nasty party but of course we now have a govt which is really A COALITION OF TORIES!

Stuart Eels's picture

UPNORTHKID

You prove my point rather well.

hugh markey's picture

Cameron is such an oxymoron!

Dusty Bin

upnorthkid's picture

You weren't fit for the 19th Century. You wrecked the country in the 20th Century. And you shouldn't be let anywhere near power in this one. You owe your current tenure to the behaviour of one man and his name is Clegg not Cameron. Until you can recruit a chancellor who understands how an economy works, an education secretary who understands what ordinary people want from our education system and a health secretary who believes the NHS should be a public service, not a privatised brand you'll remain unfit for power for years to come.

JW's picture

Say goodbye to your seat at the next election. No amount of slimey PR talk is going to cover over the awful mess you've made of our country in the name of greed and selfishness.

Stuart Eels's picture

The article, as I would expect from someone like him is a babbling collection of words that tries to mean everything and nothing to the average voter, sadly all too typical of the "modern" Tory party. The really sad thing is that, they, the Lib/Dems and Labour are all of the same background, most have never worked in the real world and have no grasp of whats going on there.

Sadly, it seems nor do most of the people who have left comments.

Gareth's picture

I'd be interested to hear your thoughts on "the real world" and "what's going on", Stuart.

Posh Tosh's picture

Free SS lapel badges and fake Iron Crosses imported from Asia with every new application for a Tory Liebour passport as long as they are used against the English.

Hitler is content at the rise of State socialism within the UK.

Gareth's picture

"...the war has not been won - indeed, arguably, we have gone backwards since 2010, particularly among public sector workers because of the painful decisions we have had to take to deal with the financial mess we inherited."

Might I suggest that it's this gutless, selective denial of responsible that the public sector workers see through? The policy direction your coalition government have taken were not, and never were, the only possible options available to it. Pretending that you have no choice convinced no one. A government with vision would have taken ownership of their decisions, and by arguing with conviction, sought to persuade others of their appropriateness.

This government, by contract, has become the master of blaming anyone and everyone for every "difficult decision" which you "inherited" (how revealing that word is!) You are far too keen to paint the public sector as lazy, inefficient, inert, a hotbed of vested interest. (Michael Gove is perhaps the most prominent example of this.) Yet those of us who work in the public sector know differently, see the damage that cuts are doing to the public services to which we dedicate so much of our time and energy, and feel the vulnerability of having our jobs threatened, our professionalism undermined and our working conditions eroded. Are you surprised that so few of us support you?

Posh Tosh's picture

The central hair parting on Cameron is missing - all that separates him from Mr Hitler!

Millerman's picture

".....indeed, arguably, we have gone backwards since 2010, particularly among public sector workers”. No sh*t Gavin! I am a public sector worker and Gavin Barwell is my local MP. It is fair to say that a large number of his constituents are also public sector workers - the UKBA headquarters are in his constituency. Yet he has done diddly squat in representing his constituents who work in the public sector, when it has come to swingeing job cuts, attacks on pensions etc - he's just not been interested. In my experience he has merely towed the Conservative party line and has offered not one jot of support as a constituency MP. The public sector is hemorrhaging jobs in Croydon, but Barwell is wedded to the idea that the private sector will step in and create the jobs. Strange when you consider that firms like Nestlé’s are upping sticks and moving out of the town and unemployment is rising in this particular part of SE London. So Gavin is it any surprise that that public sector workers don't support your party? No - I thought not.

Let's face it's picture

If you only look out for the interests of the few you will only get a few votes.

Simple really.

Andytheonlyhammer's picture

The most amusing bit of this article is a referance to the Tory party reaching out to public sector workers. There is nothing the Tory party has done tomake anyone who has ever worked in the NHS feel that they have any good intentions at all towards either NHS staff or patients. Tory policy on health is all about openning up markets for big business and to hell with anyone else.

stevem1940's picture

What he means is the Party has not yet gone all the way back to its right wing class ridden roots

Oliver Hudson's picture

How can the Tory party claim to have achieved true modernisation when on the recent debates over both equal marriage and Lords reform, the traditionalist bulk of the party appears to have come out all guns blazing in favour of perpetuated discrimination and closed-circle high politics respectively. If this Conservative Party has really moved decidedly into the 21st Century, then it could at least get the basics right: support for outnumbered minorities suffering discrimination and an impression of governing primarily in the interests of the many over the privileged few would be a good start.

Bieneosa's picture

Gavin,

Why were you "surprised" that a large number of Black and Minority Ethnic voters in your constituency knew that David Cameron attacked multiculturalism? It was widely reported across a number of media outlets.

You talk about a "war to change perceptions". While I think your point is valid, I also think you are missing a basic premise: the issue of trust, which guides our perception. In my opinion, trust levels across all political parties is low. Perhaps before you focus on changing perceptions, you should first address how to build trust. This is linked to policy, and the simple act of doing what you promise. Broken promises and policy u-turns do not build trust. A good example of this locally in Croydon is the three Conservative councillors who pledged to oppose the incinerator whilst canvassing for votes, but voted in favour of it earlier this year.

In essence, actions speak louder than words and whether you tick the box of 'ethnic minority', 'Scottish', 'public sector worker' or all three, trust is always going to lead the way in guiding people's perceptions.

A. Cole's picture

The elephant in the room...

HOW HAS MASS IMMIGRATION BENEFITTED THE WHITE WORKING CLASSES??

Andytheonlyhammer's picture

it was never intended to benefit the white working class vote it was intended to benefit big business.

A. Cole's picture

This is why the Labour Government of 1997-2010 opened the borders to mass immigration....so they would reward Labour with their votes!

Robert Taggart's picture

The Tory Party should be uncomfortable with contemporary Blighty - most of their voters are and a majority of all voters are.
The trick will be in the use of rhetoric - sound too soft = sound too left = lost native voters, sound too hard = sound too right = lost alien voters. Cameo pleases nobody, Milibund convinces nobody, Cleggy... huh !

Benjamin Rae's picture

What's underpinning Tory 'modernisation' is the assumption is that the electorate are stupid. Changing policy around issues like lgbt rights is overdue but that doesn't mean rank and file Tories are happy with it.
On the surface they've tried to appear more acceptable. However, on central economic issues, distribution of wealth and employment opportunity and rights the Tories are clearly to the right of even Thatcher. The assault on disabled people is something even Thatcher didn't do also.
They are every bit as repulsive as Tories of the past just more flexible around issues outwith economic and employment policy.

DMyers's picture

Anyone who thinks the Tories have changed, other than in outward appearance, is seriously deluded. They've shown time and again in the last two years, on issues as diverse as social security (NOT welfare, as they'd like to call it) to (utter lack of) banking reform they are showing their true colours: attacking the most vulnerable while feathering the nests of the rich. People wanted Labour out, not Tories in. Unfortunately the Lib Dems (who most people will never vote for again) failed to understand this and landed us with a Tory government in all but name. People have seen through the veneer now, and the Tory vole will collapse at the next election too.

Comar's picture

Also, correct me if I am wrong but was not the term "Welfare State" coined by the British Labour Party back in the 1940s. As is too often the case it is the left which is redefining terms in this case, not the right.

Comar's picture

What option did the Lib Dem's have in your humble opinion but to form a government with the Tories, if as you say the electorate wanted Labour out? Surely that was the only valid moral choice. Unless there was a 3rd option available to them which I am missing.

The Lib Dem's have punched about their weight in this coalition. Sadly they only have 57 seats in the commons to the Tories 306. Labour only returned 258 MPs so the country certainly didn't vote for them. Like all junior coalition partners the Lib Dems get blamed for the bad decisions and not get credit for the good ones or the times they held the government back.

Herbert's picture

It's not only the Tories who like to call social security 'welfare'. It's the Labour party and the Guardian. You've recognised the nudge involved. Social security is something we contribute to and take out from when we need it; welfare is doled out reluctantly. People who insist on saying 'welfare' know exactly what they're doing, and that includes the Labour party.

Comar's picture

Your definition is meaningless for those who live on the governments ticket as a matter of course rather than dipping in occasionally. There are large numbers of people who take out far more than they put in, if they ever have. In some places in Newcastle (where I am from) there are 3 generations who haven't worked. I don't know that the government are doing all the right things to end this shocking waste of human talent but surely we need to try.

If we start to deal with these problems, we can produce the 'social security' system you'd clearly like to see. Maintaining a drip feed to everyone for any indeterminate period of time is not what you described above. Might I ask what you would do to produce the system you describe.

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