Labour is set for three by-election victories

Louise Mensch's resignation means that Labour stands to win three by-elections on 15 November.

Louise Mensch's resignation means that there will now be three by-elections on 15 November: Corby, Cardiff South and Manchester Central. Of note is that Labour stands to win all three. It currently has a majority of 4,709 in Cardiff and a majority of 10,430 in Manchester. It lost Corby to the Tories in 2010 after holding the seat for 13 years but should have little trouble overturning the Tories' majority of 1,951.

A triple by-election defeat is not a happy prospect for David Cameron as he seeks to relaunch his administration. Conversely, it will strengthen Ed Miliband's reputation as a winner (Labour has won five by-elections since he became leader), leaving Bradford West as the only blot on his record.

Here's the full result from Corby in 2010.

Louise Bagshawe (Conservative) 22,886 (42.2%) +2.3%

Phil Hope (Labour) 20,935 (38.6%) -4.5%

Portia Wilson (Liberal Democrats) 7,834 (14.5%) +1.7%

Roy Davies (British National Party) 2,525 (4.7%) +4.7%

Majority: 1,951 (3.6%)

David Cameron with Labour leader Ed Miliband at Westminster Hall. Photograph: Getty Images.

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.

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It's Gary Lineker 1, the Sun 0

The football hero has found himself at the heart of a Twitter storm over the refugee children debate.

The Mole wonders what sort of topsy-turvy universe we now live in where Gary Lineker is suddenly being called a “political activist” by a Conservative MP? Our favourite big-eared football pundit has found himself in a war of words with the Sun newspaper after wading into the controversy over the age of the refugee children granted entry into Britain from Calais.

Pictures published earlier this week in the right-wing press prompted speculation over the migrants' “true age”, and a Tory MP even went as far as suggesting that these children should have their age verified by dental X-rays. All of which leaves your poor Mole with a deeply furrowed brow. But luckily the British Dental Association was on hand to condemn the idea as unethical, inaccurate and inappropriate. Phew. Thank God for dentists.

Back to old Big Ears, sorry, Saint Gary, who on Wednesday tweeted his outrage over the Murdoch-owned newspaper’s scaremongering coverage of the story. He smacked down the ex-English Defence League leader, Tommy Robinson, in a single tweet, calling him a “racist idiot”, and went on to defend his right to express his opinions freely on his feed.

The Sun hit back in traditional form, calling for Lineker to be ousted from his job as host of the BBC’s Match of the Day. The headline they chose? “Out on his ears”, of course, referring to the sporting hero’s most notable assets. In the article, the tabloid lays into Lineker, branding him a “leftie luvvie” and “jug-eared”. The article attacked him for describing those querying the age of the young migrants as “hideously racist” and suggested he had breached BBC guidelines on impartiality.

All of which has prompted calls for a boycott of the Sun and an outpouring of support for Lineker on Twitter. His fellow football hero Stan Collymore waded in, tweeting that he was on “Team Lineker”. Leading the charge against the Murdoch-owned title was the close ally of Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn and former Channel 4 News economics editor, Paul Mason, who tweeted:

Lineker, who is not accustomed to finding himself at the centre of such highly politicised arguments on social media, responded with typical good humour, saying he had received a bit of a “spanking”.

All of which leaves the Mole with renewed respect for Lineker and an uncharacteristic desire to watch this weekend’s Match of the Day to see if any trace of his new activist persona might surface.


I'm a mole, innit.