The US needs a debate on wages, not tax cuts
Wages have stagnated for 30 years - people just don't have enough money.
By admin Published 13 July 2012 11:34
President Barack Obama is gleefully awaiting another showdown with Congressional Republicans over the question of whether to allow the Bush-era tax cuts to expire for the richest one per cent of Americans.
I say "gleefully" for two reasons. One, Obama lost this fight last fall when Republicans forced him to trade extending tax cuts for extending jobless insurance. Yes, the GOP actually said it wouldn't give relief to the unemployed unless Obama agreed to give the rich more money, and Republicans didn't pay a political price for that. The other reason Obama is "gleefully" awaiting another showdown is that Republicans will finally pay that price in the form of their candidate, Mitt Romney.
Obama wants to extend the cuts on incomes under $250,000 a year but let them expire, as they are set to do at year's end, for people like himself who make more than $250,000. The Republicans are saying such a tax hike is going to hurt small business owners, which is what they usually say when they no plausible pretext for protecting the super-rich.
It's going to be fun to watch but we need more than fun in our political discourse. Far more than a debate on tax cuts, we need a debate on wages. We have paid the lowest tax rate in 30 years, according to the Congressional Budget Office. While that has surely mitigated the effects of the recession, it hasn't gotten us out of it, because the fundamental problem with the economy is that people don't have enough money. I'm not being cheeky. Wages have stagnated for 30 years.
More importantly, our conception of the recession is backwards. Lack of demand is what's keeping the economy from thriving, not supply. But we drank the Kool-Aid of supply-side economics back when Reagan was president, so it's no longer possible to see the importance of raising aggregate demand. The debate is so upside down now that a Republican Congressman from Florida, when asked recently if he'd support a bill to raise the minimum wage, actually said: "Get a job." US Rep. Bill Young didn't seem to understand that minimum wage-earners have jobs. They just want a living wage.
Fortunately, another Congressman, Democrat Jesse Jackson Jr. of Chicago, has introduced legislation to raise the federal minimum wage from $7.25 to $10 an hour (some states add to the federal rate for their own minimum wage). It's unlikely Congress will take up debate, not with an election looming, but even if it were to pass the bill by some miracle, it wouldn't be enough for a family of four to live above the poverty line.
It would come close but it could be much better.
In March, the lefty Center for Economic and Policy Research released a report using the three most commonly used benchmarks: inflation, average wages and productivity. If minimum wage kept up with inflation since 1968 (when minimum wage was at its peak value), it would be $10.52 an hour. If it kept up with the average production worker's earnings, it would be at $10.01. Both of these benchmarks have been stable over the years, but productivity has soared.
This means workers are working harder per hour but not being paid more for all that extra productivity. Workers give, bosses take. So if the minimum wage had kept up with labor productivity since 1968, then it would be a staggering $21.72 a hour. The CEPR report notes that if workers received only half the productivity gains, the wage would be $15.34. A quarter would be $12.25, all of which is far higher than today's paltry $7.25.
It's going to be a long time before we shift from a debate on tax cuts to a debate on wages, but it will happen. It's not a question of if. There are too many Americans struggling too hard to get by. And if the minimum wage rose to only $12.25 an hour, the president wouldn't be the only who's gleeful.
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5 comments
Where in the world did you get the idea that a minimum wage is supposed to support a family of 4? Why not 5 or 6 or the entire extended family?
And if raising wages artificially above market rate is such a good idea then why don't we pay everyone 100,000 dollars a year? 200,000? Heck, let's just pay everybody 1,000,000 dollars a year?
Are you yet beginning to see the flaws in your logic?
the current middle class American psyche is quite a mystery, akin to Stockholm Syndrome. despite being bent over a barrel for decades having their pockets picked to pay for grotesque salaries of the 1 or 2 % at the top, you just have to say "The American Dream", and, "a fair society = Communism" and they bend over even more to allow the disaster to continue.
poor deluded fools. they keep kidding themselves that any day now it will be their turn again.
They might start by cutting the wages of 3rd rate solicitors - $150k pa - and all the other parasites who work for the city (council).
Money, like shite, floats to the top where the shite eaters gorge themselves until the economy tanks.If money is injected at the bottom, it'll go through more hands, benefit more people and the shite eaters will still be able to gorge themselves. But they want it all. Such is the fatal flaw of capitalism.
"unless Obama agreed to give the rich more money".
A classic from the author! It's our money! The Gvt takes it because they have bigger guns! The euro/socialist/lefty position is always "you may keep some of what we take" and the conservative position is " it's my money, have a healthy infrastructure and then get out of the way". It is not extending the Bush tax cuts, it is the Obama new tax.
Beyond some infrastructure, police, fire & National security, what more do the Feds really need to do? We have a Social Security system now (which is very poorly run), & Medicare/Medicaid (also an admin dung-pile). Leave it to the states.
The long-term welfare life ain't pretty...