Miliband should U-turn on a third runway before the coalition does
The Labour leader is missing a political opportunity.
By Rafael Behr Published 18 July 2012 16:28
There is more consensus in Britain’s economic policy debate than either Labour or the Tories like to admit. As my colleague George Eaton notes here, the Chancellor has discreetly embraced the Keynesian proposition that public spending on infrastructure (albeit hidden from the national balance sheet via loan guarantees) is needed to spur growth. Labour, meanwhile, are formally committed to a version of fiscal austerity – spending cuts and tax rises – over the long-term, only not at the same breakneck speed as the government.
There is also an emerging consensus that the UK needs a state-sponsored infrastructure upgrade as part of a strategic plan to boost international competitiveness. What that might mean in practice is less certain. One project that always comes up in the discussion is the expansion of airport capacity, which generally includes the idea of building a third runway at Heathrow. It is a project for which business leaders routinely clamour. The last Labour government gave its approval; the incoming coalition – honouring pledges made in opposition – killed the idea. Many Tories are now repenting that decision.
A coalition "aviation strategy review" which would consider reviving the Heathrow expansion has been delayed until the end of the year, largely because the Transport Secretary, Justine Greening is famously hostile to a third runway. Her Putney constituents don’t fancy having any more Jumbos booming over head. That problem might have been foreseen and some Tory MPs mutter that David Cameron ought to have thought of the potential conflict of interest when appointing Greening to the Transport portfolio. That he didn’t, say the Tory grumblers, is evidence of his cavalier attitude to appointments. (In the next sentence they usually point to the promotion of Chloe Smith to the job of economic secretary to the Treasury – a role sneerily said to have been given as part of a campaign of positive discrimination in favour of young women to rebalance the appearance of the Tory front bench away from older men.)
Greening’s opposition to a third runway at Heathrow is also said to have damaged her once close relations with the Chancellor, who is desperate for any ready measure that will noisily advertise his commitment to growth. Runway expansion has solid support among Tory MPs. A recent pamphlet by the Free Enterprise Group, a fiercely pro-business faction of Conservatives mostly from 2010 intake, called for not one new runway but two. The Lib Dems, meanwhile, remain opposed. Cancelling the third runway was an explicit commitment in the coalition agreement.
Significantly, that promise was contained in the section headed “Energy and Climate Change”. Opposition to aviation has traditionally been bundled up with arguments about the urgency to reduce the nation’s carbon footprint. Rightly or wrongly, the green agenda has now been well and truly trumped by craving for economic growth (and it was never that prominent among voters’ concerns). In political terms, the case against Heathrow expansion is getting harder to make.
There are members of the shadow cabinet who think Labour should swing behind the idea. It was, after all, their plan in the first place. But Ed Miliband, as former Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, is known to have been squeamish about the policy in government. In the race to be Labour leader he claimed to have considered resigning over the matter. Backing a third runway now would be a very personal U-turn.
That might well be a risk worth taking. Labour’s line at the moment is to offer constructive engagement with the government to help develop an aviation strategy – recognising the need to expand capacity and ready to consider all options. A third runway at Heathrow is not ruled out but the party is unwilling to go into specifics. Yet.
There is a political opportunity being missed here. Backing Heathrow expansion would show a capability to take specific policy decisions – and not altogether easy ones – instead of loitering behind well-intentioned, vague pieties. It would also sow a bit of discord in the government ranks, which is what the opposition likes to do. The point about the need for more airport capacity has effectively been conceded, so the environmental argument is much diminished. Ultimately reducing the UK's carbon footprint will be as much a question of cleaner planes as fewer flights. Eventually, the government will U-turn on the third runway. Miliband would be smart to get in there first.
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16 comments
Good site
prezent na chrzest
The best reason to not build extra capacity at Heathrow is because a large number of the existing slots are being taken up with short haul flights. Should these be relocated elsewhere? It should be considered.
"The amazing thing about this article is that the author appears to be entirely ignorant of the economic impacts of ignoring climate change. It's as though Stern was never born."
The Stern report was overblown. The basis of the current climate change hysteria is the belief that today's climate is the optimum climate, and any change will therefore be for the worse. That's a position which will take more than hand-waving to defend.
So showing "a capability to take specific policy decisions" is what's needed. Like Blair and going to war again and again.
Since when did acting boldly become more important than acting responsibly or listening to those who understand the consequences of our prospective decisions?
It's George Bush's 'strong government' idea - take a decision and stick to it, because that's what people want to see leaders do.
John McDonnell is my friend on Facebook, he has turned out to have been much less pro-IRA than successive Conservative and Labour Governments, he has only ever been Labour Left rather than the sort of sectarian Leftist things that eventually became New Labour, and he was kept off the ballot for Labour Leader because of a "Loony Left" proposal to tax the highest incomes at 50 pence in the pound (whatever happened to that barking mad idea?).
But even some of us who are open to persuasion about Heathrow naturally side with unions rather than with luvvies. At the same time, though, we don't like super-unions, in the way that we don't like big business, or central government's trampling on local government.
What to do?
Quite apart from the not so small matter of climate change, the whole country does NOT focus on London. (Which you may note is at the far south geographically and hence extremely inconvenient for many of us). If you want to say that an increasing number of flights is necessary (highly debatable), there could be far more use of regional airports. Currently large numbers of people fly to Heathrow to fly on to where to their final destination. At least we could cut out the travel to London if regional airports provided better services.
I also agree!
Well said, Alib!
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I have to say I think a 3rd runway would be disastrous. Not only is there the climate issue - there is the air pollution issue (we already know that 30,000 people die because of this every year in the UK).
There is also the support transportation network to consider. You simply cannot ferry in several thousand people a week and hope that the local roads can take it. They cannot. London is already well past tipping point with the traffic and this would put severe strain on the link roads.
The amazing thing about this article is that the author appears to be entirely ignorant of the economic impacts of ignoring climate change. It's as though Stern was never born.
He may think that securing a low carbon future can be "trumped" by growth, but the Chancellors in 2025 (as the new runways or airports come onstream in a destabilising climate) and beyond won't thank him for this short-sighted madness.
'Rightly or wrongly, the green agenda has now been well and truly trumped by craving for economic growth'.
Wrongly. Climate change is not going to go away merely because it has become unfashionable. Trying to pretend that economic growth, at any cost, is more important is simply delusional; the effects of unchecked climate change will place increasing limits on it, and will put it into permanent reverse, sooner rather than later. In fact, with the green agenda could be entirely compatible with a sustainable level of economic growth, given the political will to push green industries such as wind turbines. But obviously, that will is all too lacking.
Ed Miliband needs to demonstrate leadership on this issue over the posh boys who are only capable of running the "Tuck shop!!
Miliband IS a posh boy. He went to private school too. It may not have been Eton but it wasn't state.
@Neutring
If you spent 2 seconds checking you'd have learned that he went to Haverstock Comprehensive. The clue is in the name.
Ed Miliband needs to demonstrate leadership on this issue over the posh boys who are only capable of running the "Tuck shop!!
How much more concrete, noise, pollution and people moving everywhere do we need in this world?