The Staggers

The New Statesman’s rolling politics blog

Syndicate contentRSS

Homelessness surges by 25% as the cuts bite

Demand for affordable housing is rising but supply is falling.

Homelessness has increased by 25% in the last three years. Photograph: Getty Ima
New figures show that 50,290 families and individuals were classed as homeless in 2011/12, up from 40,020 in 2009/10. Photograph: Getty Images.

Amid the national euphoria induced by the Olympics, here's a grim reminder of the problems that remain. New figures out today show that homelessness has increased by 25 per cent over the last three years. According to data providers SSentif, 50,290 families and individuals were classed as homeless in 2011/12, up from 40,020 in 2009/10. Over the same period, spending on tackling homelessness fell from £213.7m to £199.8m. Correlation does not equal causation, of course, but it seems probable that the two trends are related. In Birmingham, for instance, where homelessness increased by 25 per cent, spending was reduced from £7.8 million to £5.5 million, a cut of 29 per cent. Although housing minister Grant Shapps has previously sought to deny it, the government's own figures show that social house completions fell by 97 per cent last year, with affordable housing down by 68 per cent. The problem is simple: demand is rising but supply is falling.

The largest rise in homelessness was in the east of England, with the number of cases rising from 3,660 in 2009/10 to 5,270 in 2011/12 - a 44 per cent increase. It's a similar story across the rest of the country. Homelessness is up by 34 per cent in London (from 9,460 to 12,720) and by 38 per cent in the south east (from 3,870 to 5,320). The only region to experience a fall in homelessness was the north east, where the number of households classed as homeless fell by 10 per cent from 2,010 to 1,800.

The government is understandably keen to point out that homelessness remains lower than for 28 of the last 30 years. But with unemployment expected to rise in the coming months and the full force of the Housing Benefit cap yet to be felt, today's figures are likely a harbinger of worse to come.

8 comments

joe hill's picture

From the Spectator:

The average disposable income is at its lowest point since 2003, according to figures released this afternoon by the Office for National Statistics. The statistics for the first quarter of this year show that take home income was an average of £273 a week, while real incomes per head fell by 0.6 per cent to £4,444 in Q1, which is the lowest since 2005.

The ONS points to rising prices as the primary cause of these falls, and there are obvious points to be made here about the cost of living. It’s currently one of the major reasons voters are giving for turning away from the Conservative party, and Labour’s Chris Leslie has already used the ONS’ stats to attack the government’s tax and benefits policies. He said this afternoon: ‘These figures show the harsh squeeze facing families and pensioners, which the government’s unfair policies are making worse. While millionaires will soon get a tax cut, millions of people on middle and low incomes are paying more because of the rise in VAT and cuts in tax credits.’

But there’s also an interesting paragraph in today’s ONS report about one of the causes of this drop in disposable income. It says:

‘Finally, sustained population growth led to incomes being spread across a greater number of people, and therefore further reduced the growth of actual income per head over the period.’

The Home Office has been quick to point out that population growth is largely fuelled by immigration, and is arguing that today’s figures therefore undermine the arguments that the pro-immigration lobby make that high immigration leads to a stronger economy. Damian Green put out a statement saying this:

‘ONS have today confirmed that the population growth caused by Labour’s uncontrolled immigration has reduced incomes. This Government is reforming all routes of entry so we can bring net migration back down to sustainable levels in the tens of thousands. Labour have opposed all our reforms and Ed Miliband still refuses to admit that immigration was too high when he was in government.’

Note, though, that ministers are not explicitly linking the Conservatives’ drive to cut net migration with the cost of living. Though the two issues are vote-winners, combining them would be too fraught with political difficulty: ministers will rightly want to steer clear of any statements that suggest they are pointing fingers at immigrants for ‘stealing our disposable incomes’.

joe bloggs's picture

"A significant proportion of immigrants work in the building industry, and so are part of the solution rather than part of the problem."

Not if you are one of the construction workers who has been put out of work by cheap immigrant labour.

andyg's picture

Does anyone know the population figures for the country over the period of the report?
(Minus children of course)

joe bloggs's picture

Er, the shortage of housing wouldn't be anything to do with the fact that NuLab let in nearly four million people? No, of course not. How dare i even THINK such a horrible thought.

Leon Wolfeson's picture

It's simply irrelevant - even without a single immigrant, the UK would be severely short of housing. Private house building didn't increase after Thatcher ended council house building.

joe hill's picture

So, the fact that the population of the UK has gone up by about 8% in fifteen years has NO bearing on housing?

Homo Sapiens's picture

A significant proportion of immigrants work in the building industry, and so are part of the solution rather than part of the problem.

mac496's picture

Sigh the shortage of affordable houses if in real terms wages have not matched rises in prices. That more people are out of work. That hostels and other support for people in difficulty have been cut.

But of course its the immigrants. In a right wing free market economy the movement of people is needed. Look at all the Brits abroad working and doing very well.Of course immigration brings no economic gain for the country or any country.

So dont dare think such I wont say horrible just plain stupid thing

Latest tweets