Labour: NHS to be a "defining issue" at the next election
Ed Miliband turns his attention to the coalition's disastrous health bill.
By Mehdi Hasan Published 17 February 2012 19:06Ramping up his recent attacks on the coalition's controversial health bill, Labour leader Ed Miliband today told nurses at the Royal Bolton Hospital that the NHS will be a:
defining issue
at the next general election.
He was instantly mocked for saying so by the usual suspects. I'm not sure why. As I said on Twitter this morning, it's not rocket science. The polls have Labour ahead of the Conservatives on the NHS (and the Opposition has doubled its lead over the Tories on health since the election); the health bill has so far been a PR disaster for the coalition (Cameron's "poll tax", in the helpful words of one of his Conservative cabinet colleagues); Miliband bests Cameron in PMQs every time the NHS comes up; and Cameron, of course, used the NHS to try and "detoxify" his party ahead of the last general election so there's no reason why Labour can't now use the health bill to try and retoxify the Tories.
Some on the right recognise this point. As the Spectator's Peter Hoskin observed:
If the NHS is the closest thing we have to a national religion, then the Labour leader is hoping to stir up some sectarian fervour.
And as ConservativeHome's Tim Montgomerie put it:
The NHS Bill is not just a distraction from all of this but potentially fatal to the Conservative Party's electoral prospects.
Or is it? Some have argued that the NHS doesn't win Labour general elections. That's arguable. Others say that the economy should be the "decisive issue". But, hold on, Miliband didn't say health would be "the" defining issue at the next election; he said it would be "a" defining issue. Get the difference? There's absolutely no reason why the economy (growth, jobs, living standards, vested interests, etc) and health can't both bedefining issues come 2015.
YouGov's Peter Kellner says:
It's possible the saga of the NHS could resemble that of Thatcher's privatisation: people, if asked, say they are against change, but not to the extent of switching their vote. The verdict that will matter will come after reform, when people can judge by results. If the Health Bill is enacted, patients and their relatives will be able to cast their votes at the next election on the basis of experience. If the much-maligned Andrew Lansley is proved right, and the NHS provides a better service, then there is no reason why the Tories will suffer.
However, if the Bill's critics are right, and the NHS deteriorates, then the electorate may exact fierce revenge. David Cameron has fought so hard to dispel old fears that the Tories don't really care about the NHS: those fears may come rushing back. If Ed Miliband has managed to restore at least partially Labour's reputation for competence, then we could see something that has happened only once before in the past 80 years: a Government being booted out after just one term in office.
Here's hoping, eh? And, indeed, as the False Economy website argues in a new factsheet, the health bill will lead to more bureaucracy, longer waiting times and "a postcode lottery on a scale not seen before". Good luck Dave!
On a side note, here's a link to my column in today's Independent, headlined: "Follow Obama, Ed, and get in touch with your inner populist". Enjoy!
Latest tweets
More from New Statesman
- Online writers:
- Steven Baxter
- Rowenna Davis
- David Allen Green
- Mehdi Hasan
- Nelson Jones
- Gavin Kelly
- Helen Lewis
- Laurie Penny
- The V Spot
- Alex Hern
- Martha Gill
- Alan White
- Samira Shackle
- Alex Andreou
- Nicky Woolf in America
- Bim Adewunmi
- Glosswitch
- Kate Mossman on pop
- Ryan Gilbey on Film
- Martin Robbins
- Rafael Behr
- Eleanor Margolis
- Tools and services:
- Polls
- Predictions
- Archive
- Magazine
- PDF edition
- RSS feeds
- Advertising
- Subscribe
- Special supplements
- Stockists




















24 comments
@Anthony Willmot - just a smutty schoolboy.
@ Marco - "Who the fuck apart from benefit scroungers and loony lefties will want Ed friggin Miliband PM?"
Oh, you complete idiot. Keep it up marco, the more you tories write stuff like this, the more the country can see how unhinged you all are.
Drop the Health Bill
http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/22670
TELL US WHAT'S IN THE SECRET RISK REGISTER ABOUT THE NEW HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE BILL!
http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/27426
At teh 2001 election tony Blair said "You don't get it , If we win this Election with Another landslide ,the Tories will never be able to stand on A Election manifesto with the Position of destroying the NHS again" The 2010 election prove dthis the Toires couldn't stnad on A polciy of top down changes to the NHS, tehy had to stand on the policy of not changing it and then secretly did it, the way Medhi's choice of Laoubr leader has made Labour un electable ,It's inevitable the tories can win the Next election and as they Know they can win, they can for the first time In 14 years be able to try to win An eleciton with NHS cuts.
Medhi do you really feel that the way to get Labour to win the next election is to rely on the idea that the Public won't let the Tories destroy the NHS agian ,like they did in the 80's LAobur had that view in 92 and look waht happened there, It was only A credible laobur party in 2001 that stopped the Tories trying to destroy the NHS, You've rid laobur of credibility and let the tories win in 2015.
NHS, Nhs, nhs... boring, Boring, BORING !
John P Reid - You've rid labour of credibility and let the tories win in 2015.
I agree with this.
God forbid you or any of your loved one's ever need the NHS, eh Robert!
"Labour: NHS to be a "defining issue" at the next election."
There is public tut-tutting about coalition NHS reforms, but this is not what concerns voters today and there is not enough public anger out there to bring about an election defeat. Unpopular NHS reforms will not be interpreted as a Labour victory. If our remote political class were to step outside from that isolated bubble at Westminster to engage with the public now and again then they would know this - if the NHS is going to be Milibands defining issue then he has lost the next general election.
"It's possible the saga of the NHS could resemble that of Thatcher's privatisation..."
Labour needs to drop trying to link everything this coalition government does with Thatcher. The average punter on the street does not swallow this cr@p. Voters point the finger firmly at New Labour for their troubles - not Thatcher. Unfortunately, what we see in the current shadow cabinet are those same 'New Labour' faces who implemented Blair/Browns unpopular policies with almost authoritarian zeal - well with this line-up, frankly I can't see Miliband winning a raffle let alone a general election
@Marathonman. Pater needed just such several times these last two years.
But, unlike moi, he paid into 'the system' all his working life.
For the record, the NHS has never / ever featured in our thinking / calculating when voting.
Won't the economy be the biggest defining issue at the next election as it is impossible for the UK to turn round its deficit by then? If GDP growth is low as well it guarantees the economy will be the number 1 issue.
i think one thing worth noting is that the tories have actually promised to spend more on the NHS than new labour, this is because the tories wanted to protect NHS spending but cut more from other parts of the budget and labour wants the cuts to be more evenly spread which means the tories wanting to spend more on the NHS than labour - quite an absurd position really (this is what andy burnham has actually stated).
'It's possible the saga of the NHS could resemble that of Thatcher's privatisation...'
In the sense that if they are returned at some point in the future Labour will leave the NHS 'reforms' in place, regardless of their impact on the rest of us. Remember: the railways and the utilities?
Ed just needs to remind people how this whole charade is the nail in the coffin of an advanced democracy. If professionals and the public speak overwhelmingly against a plan, you listen and act accordingly not push through what you and your well healed friends deem to be suitable. Last time I checked, that was pretty close to the opposite of democracy.
i personally feel the NHS would be more accountable and be better able to serve the needs of patients if the 'front line' can make the decisions necessary rather than unaccountable and centralized structures such as PCT's and SHA's.
I think aspects of the bill deliver a very common sense approach, personally i think we would have more influence if we were able to state aspects we agree with (centralized control structures are bad) rather than opposing wholesale.
A defining issue will be whether Ed Mili is the labour leader or not. If he is, labour will not win. He has improved slightly recently but not much or enough.The tories might not win outright, which will be interesting as the lib dems are going to get slaughtered and will not be there in sufficient numbers to form a coalition with them, but they will still do better than labour with Ed at the helm.The NHS bill is a disaster and no one trusts the tories with the NHS and yet people still vote for them. Or rather i should say the English still vote for them.
Face facts labour are screwed, the coalition are doing a fantastic job in turning the Country around, no amount of nonsense will take away from the central fact the tories are far stronger than labour on the ECONOMY stupid. By the election unemployment will be falling, growth will be back to trend and tax cuts will be on the agenda. Who the fuck apart from benefit scroungers and loony lefties will want Ed friggin Miliband PM?
"...use the health bill to try and retoxify the Tories."
Just on a point of language, 'retoxify', while I understand its meaning, seems indicative of Labour's dilemma. There is no need to retoxify the Tories, they are toxic enough. It is simply a case of exposing them, letting them do naturally what they do, and keeping the attention on their failings.
The Conservatives would have us believe that healthcare is something we can all buy with insurance (through companies they no doubt own), but we already have insurance, national insurance. I think when people start to see their loved-ones die waiting on lists they will realize that while late trains are certainly an inconvenience, late operations are far more costly. It took a huge effort for waiting lists to be brought down (under Labour) and it seems people have become complacent about this. The Tories seem to be trying to palm off the failures of the city, and the housing bubble, to the NHS.
Imagine Owen Jones and Laurie Penny having a baby together.
What sort of lefty abomination would that be ?
Like a gay Sean Penn, with flowers in his hair, dancing to "California Dreaming" while high on 1960s acid, afterall only the best acid would do.
Marco sounds almost sane until the end when he starts going on about lefties and scroungers and who wants Milliband? I expect that he would say the same thing about any Labour leader. Anthony Willmot sounds like he is the one on acid. The quality of the acid is probably not really good either.
I think there is a certain amount of rightwing American influence here, since we are hearing talk about how the country can't afford any sort of welfare state stuff now, so it will be necessary to get rid of the public NHS. We are also seeing this in Canada, and in many other countries. Anything which is public from the BBC to the arts to the NHS, anything public, somehow becomes a great weight on honest taxpayers. I expected this when the Tories took power behind the figleaf of alliance with the LibDems. I think if I were in Scotland I might be looking for the exit also.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9xibovqF_I
It will probably be too late when we have another more honest government. Just like it is too late for our north see oil and gas, our utilities and pensions etc. All sacrificed on the alter of Tory treachery, corruption and greed. The NHS destruction was never put to the electorate, they have no mandate for any of this.
Europe, the NHS and 'John Major's White-fronts' let 'New Labour' find their political platform in the 90s.
Before this nasty bill, Clegg and the PM had the stage covered from left to right!
Now, Prime Minister David Cameron end this nonsense before it's to late.